What is Killian Hennessy's strike rate?

Killian Hennessy has won 25 of 408 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Killian Hennessy do best at?

Curragh by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Killian Hennessy ride most for?

Denis Gerard Hogan, with 64 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.7%).

What is Killian Hennessy's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 408 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Killian Hennessy

408 rides in the lifetime window · 245 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

25–408

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=408

75 (18%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=408 · 0.73 incl. margin

−196.42

£1 level stake

n=408 at SP · −48.1%

£385k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).

Deterministic profile computed from 408 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Oct Denis Gerard Hogan: 4.7% from 64 First rides: 6.9%

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −187.92 to a £1 stake over 374 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Denis Gerard Hogan supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.7%, A/E 0.91). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.9%, n=39). The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.59 across 101 rides (4% strike, −72.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BoyleSports Ulster Derby at Down Royal (Jun 2023, £59,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.9%+0.8

n=245 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −101.42

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.4%+15.3

n=28 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +3.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.3%−2.8

n=60 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −47.00

When favourite

22.7%

n=22 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −4.75

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.6%−0.5

n=374 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −187.92

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.1%−1.0

n=197 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −72.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%+5.7

n=17 · A/E 2.73 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 17.9% vs 6.1% · n=39

With A P O'Brien 16.7% vs 6.1% · n=48

With C&D winners 15.2% vs 6.1% · n=33

With J S Bolger 11.4% vs 6.1% · n=35

With Miss Katy Brown 2.5% vs 6.1% · n=40

Off a 8-14-day break 4% vs 6.1% · n=101

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 407 25 6.1% −195.42

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 99 7 7.1% −58.17

Standard (AW) 99 5 5.1% −31.50

Soft 78 6 7.7% −33.50

Good to Firm 58 3 5.2% −31.75

Heavy 52 4 7.7% −19.50

Good to Soft 21 0 0% −21.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 93 5 5.4% −25.50

Curragh 32 2 6.3% −19.00

Naas 27 3 11.1% −7.25

Leopardstown 26 2 7.7% −4.00

Gowran Park 26 0 0% −26.00

Navan 24 1 4.2% −17.00

Cork 23 1 4.3% −15.00

Fairyhouse 15 2 13.3% −2.67

Tipperary 14 0 0% −14.00

Limerick 14 0 0% −14.00

Brighton 12 2 16.7% +2.50

Listowel 12 2 16.7% +8.50

Killarney 12 2 16.7% +2.00

Galway 11 2 18.2% −1.50

Down Royal 10 1 10% −6.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 22 1 4.5% −15.50

Class 5 19 1 5.3% −11.00

Class 1 17 2 11.8% −6.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 25 5 20% 0.80 −7.75

2nd–3rd fav 62 15 24.2% 1.74 +35.83

4th–6th fav 85 1 1.2% 0.17 −76.50

7th+ in betting 236 4 1.7% 0.59 −148.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Secret Memories (IRE) 9 1 2 19 Jul 18

Wicket (GB) 7 0 0 15 Aug 18

Ettie Hart (IRE) 7 1 4 13 Oct 16

Maarek (GB) 6 1 2 4 Nov 18

Turbine (IRE) 6 0 0 20 Oct 18

Stormy Air (GB) 6 1 2 15 Oct 18

Polymnia (GB) 6 0 0 15 Apr 18

Victorious Secret (IRE) 6 0 1 1 Nov 17

Highlife Dancer (GB) 5 0 0 5 Sep 16

My Giddy Aunt Rose (IRE) 4 0 0 23 Oct 20

Gopsies Daughter (IRE) 4 1 1 29 Sep 18

Queen Rabab (IRE) 4 0 1 23 Aug 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 245 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0008658810700

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDenis Gerard Hogan

16% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Denis Gerard Hogan 64 3 4.7% −41.50

A P O'Brien 48 8 16.7% −10.67

Miss Katy Brown 40 1 2.5% −23.00

Mick Channon 38 2 5.3% −23.50

J A Stack 37 3 8.1% −7.00

J S Bolger 35 4 11.4% −9.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£385k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 7 wins

Tower Of London (IRE) — BoyleSports Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap) Down Royal · Jun 2023

£59,000

Nobel Prize (IRE) — Woodford Reserve Ballysax Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) · Jul 2020 · Group 3

£29,500

Salt Lake City (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Irish EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed) Killarney · Aug 2023 · Listed

£25,075

Notable horses

Sirici (IRE) Secret Memories (IRE) Ettie Hart (IRE) Stormy Air (GB) Maarek (GB) Sarmadee (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 22.2% · 6–27

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,203 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Intense Focus (USA) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,630 runs since 2013 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.5% from 349. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.5% from 384.

Bushranger (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,890 runs since 2010 (950 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

No Nay Never (USA) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,380 runs since 2018 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 187.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 408 · newest first

The latest 50 of 408 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 July 2012 to 5 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 23 Curragh Erato (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Finale Stakes (Listed)12f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 33/1

05 Nov 23 Curragh Autumn Winter (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Castle Star Standing At Capital Stud Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden8f · Heavy · 20 ran 2nd 6/4F

01 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Hallowed (USA)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1

22 Oct 23 Leopardstown Farnborough (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Manguard Plus Handicap8f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 4/1F

21 Oct 23 Leopardstown Double Agent (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden8f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 10/1

21 Oct 23 Leopardstown Get (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 10/1

21 Oct 23 Leopardstown The Caribbean (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Killavullan Stakes (Group 3)7f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 28/1

21 Oct 23 Leopardstown Autumn Winter (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 10/1

20 Oct 23 Dundalk (AW) Londoner (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Gateway Hotel Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/1

17 Oct 23 Gowran Park Old Faithful (FR)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden8.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 5/2

15 Oct 23 Naas Dame Kiri (USA)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)12f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 50/1

14 Oct 23 Naas Chemistry (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 8/1

12 Oct 23 Curragh Agenda (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Bill Hanlon Memorial Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 3rd 17/2

07 Oct 23 Curragh Fighter (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Shoda Market Cafe Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden9f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 8/1

06 Oct 23 Dundalk (AW) Battle Cry (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)7f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 16/1

05 Oct 23 Thurles Gleaning (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 17/2

04 Oct 23 Navan South Pole (IRE)T: A P O'Brien NavanRacecourse.ie Maiden8f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 7/2

01 Oct 23 Tipperary Brave And Bold (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden9f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 33/1

30 Sep 23 Killarney Chantilly (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden8f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd EvensF

26 Sep 23 Cork Flight Of Fancy (IRE)T: A P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Fillies Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Killian Hennessy's strike rate?: Killian Hennessy has won 25 of 408 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Killian Hennessy do best at?: Curragh by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Killian Hennessy ride most for?: Denis Gerard Hogan, with 64 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.7%).
What is Killian Hennessy's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 408 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.