What is Lorcan Murtagh's strike rate?

Lorcan Murtagh has won 90 of 1,341 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lorcan Murtagh do best at?

Bangor-on-Dee by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 rides (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Lorcan Murtagh ride most for?

Barry Murtagh, with 289 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (2.1%).

Is Lorcan Murtagh in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Lorcan Murtagh's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 1,339 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Lorcan Murtagh

1,341 rides in the lifetime window · 569 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

90–1,341

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=1,341

310 (23%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=1,339 · 0.74 incl. margin

−529.97

£1 level stake

n=1,341 at SP · −39.5%

£1.00m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.86). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (98 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,341 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 39% when favourite Barry Murtagh: 2.1% from 289 First rides: 7% LTO winners: 19.4% Claiming: 7.2% Rides the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bangor-on-Dee (16.2%, n=37), Doncaster (16.1%, n=31) and Fontwell (14.3%, n=35) — all clear of the rider's 6.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.4% (n=98, Fair A/E 1.16). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −132.88 to a £1 stake over 201 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Barry Murtagh supplies 22% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (2.1% vs 6.7%, A/E 0.43). The standout partner of the record: Prince Khurram (GB) — 5 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%+0.3

n=569 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −146.92

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.4%+12.7

n=98 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −7.87

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.3%−1.4

n=320 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −160.06

When favourite

39%

n=59 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +12.12

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.2%+0.5

n=945 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −396.47

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.5%−2.2

n=201 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −132.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.7

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.4% vs 6.7% · n=98

At Bangor-on-Dee 16.2% vs 6.7% · n=37

At Doncaster 16.1% vs 6.7% · n=31

With Rose Dobbin 13.2% vs 6.7% · n=106

At Fontwell 14.3% vs 6.7% · n=35

With Barry Murtagh 2.1% vs 6.7% · n=289

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 882 54 6.1% −347.60

Chase 339 28 8.3% −144.50

NH Flat 103 7 6.8% −54.87

Flat 17 1 5.9% +17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 510 28 5.5% −302.87

Soft 336 27 8% −8.00

Good to Soft 334 24 7.2% −121.17

Heavy 122 8 6.6% −84.31

Good to Firm 25 3 12% +0.38

Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 98 6 6.1% +32.70

Hexham 88 4 4.5% −59.45

Carlisle 72 1 1.4% −67.00

Uttoxeter 71 3 4.2% −55.67

Kelso 67 4 6% −49.25

Perth 59 5 8.5% −37.00

Cartmel 56 3 5.4% −14.00

Catterick 49 5 10.2% +4.25

Musselburgh 48 2 4.2% −32.00

Newcastle 44 5 11.4% −15.75

Exeter 44 5 11.4% +3.03

Ayr 42 0 0% −42.00

Wetherby 42 3 7.1% −31.75

Southwell 40 4 10% +2.00

Bangor-on-Dee 37 6 16.2% +8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 578 37 6.4% −286.17

Class 4 577 39 6.8% −196.43

Class 3 103 8 7.8% −44.75

Class 2 48 4 8.3% −4.00

Class 6 23 2 8.7% +13.38

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 70 25 35.7% 1.34 +8.62

2nd–3rd fav 236 33 14% 0.86 −52.09

4th–6th fav 409 21 5.1% 0.68 −176.50

7th+ in betting 626 11 1.8% 0.64 −310.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.1% completed · 1,221 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 339 69% 10 16 78 1 0

Hurdle 882 78.8% 15 16 154 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Elixer (IRE) 23 0 5 17 Oct 21

Handy Hollow (IRE) 23 3 9 4 Sep 20

Border Victor (GB) 19 1 8 1 Mar 21

Samtu (IRE) 18 1 2 21 Dec 20

King's Chorister (GB) 18 1 4 18 May 17

Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR) 17 0 1 25 Mar 26

Baraboy (IRE) 17 0 5 16 Jan 22

Trouble In Paris (IRE) 16 0 5 22 Jul 17

Elusive Red (IRE) 15 0 2 25 Jun 23

Prince Khurram (GB) 13 5 6 6 Nov 19

Mister Don (IRE) 12 1 7 3 Feb 18

Speiriuil (IRE) 11 1 6 21 Apr 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 569 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

61085579104657

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBarry Murtagh

22% of all rides
2.1% SR · A/E 0.43

TrainerRWSR£1

Barry Murtagh 289 6 2.1% −164.00

Donald McCain 235 25 10.6% −71.12

Harry Fry 166 17 10.2% −66.98

Nigel Hawke 116 8 6.9% −42.00

Rose Dobbin 106 14 13.2% −33.25

Robin Dickin 43 3 7% −7.00

Hugh Burns 37 0 0% −37.00

Mike Sowersby 37 0 0% −37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£1.00m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 18 wins

Rocking Blues (FR) — Betfred Eider (Handicap Chase) Newcastle · Feb 2016 · Class 2

£53,176

William Of Orange (GB) — Smarkets Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Mar 2018 · Class 2

£30,950

Tawseef (IRE) — Coral Handicap Hurdle Cartmel · Aug 2017 · Class 2

£15,640

Notable horses

Prince Khurram (GB) Handy Hollow (IRE) Monjules (FR) Doktor Glaz (FR) Donnacha (IRE) Rocking Blues (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–41

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Getaway (GER) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,040 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Beat Hollow (GB) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Milan (GB) 0% · 0–24

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Teofilo (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,095 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 629.

Beat All (USA) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,341 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,341 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 September 2014 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Warwick River Don (IRE)T: Harry Ryall Pegasus Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 9/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Espiritu Park (GB)T: Harry Ryall Bridge Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 20/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Get On My Love (IRE)T: Harry Ryall Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 13th 100/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Chicago Storm (GB)T: Barry Murtagh Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran PU 125/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Al Qatem (GB)T: Barry Murtagh Green Howards Museum Richmond Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 100/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Bandjo (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 22/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford River Don (IRE)T: Harry Ryall EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 150/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon What's Your Game (IRE)T: Georgina Nicholls Peterborough Chase 6 December 2026 Book Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 22/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 4th 20/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Chicago Storm (GB)T: F P Murtagh Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 13th 150/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Ritaan (IRE)T: Georgina Nicholls tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 50/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 40/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Golden Maverick (FR)T: Tim Vaughan Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 7th 33/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Chicago Storm (GB)T: F P Murtagh Bridal Rooms Uttoxeter Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 80/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Scoresby (GB)T: Harry Ryall BRI Wealth Accumulation Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 1st 10/1

13 Jun 26 Hexham Chicago Storm (GB)T: Barry Murtagh Tileform Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 20/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot River Don (IRE)T: Harry Ryall Sun Racing Free Tickets With Sun Club Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 25/1

27 May 26 Newton Abbot Scoresby (GB)T: Harry Ryall Chris Wills Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/3

27 May 26 Newton Abbot G Whizz (GB)T: Harry Ryall Stock Exe Building Supplies Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 5th 200/1

10 May 26 Ludlow Joker Jack (IRE)T: Claire Hitch Lion Leintwardine Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lorcan Murtagh's strike rate?: Lorcan Murtagh has won 90 of 1,341 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lorcan Murtagh do best at?: Bangor-on-Dee by strike rate: 6 wins from 37 rides (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lorcan Murtagh ride most for?: Barry Murtagh, with 289 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (2.1%).
Is Lorcan Murtagh in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lorcan Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 1,339 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.