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Jockey profile

Mathieu Calbrix

130 rides in the lifetime window · 83 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–130
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=130
28 (22%)
Placed
1.27
n=129 · 1.03 incl. margin
+38.60
£1 level stake
n=129 at SP · +29.9%
£156k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.27). When claiming the record reads 10% (84 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 130 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 8.4% Claiming: 9.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Chantilly (12.5%, n=48), clear of the rider's 7.7% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.7% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.76). The rider also reads well on Standard (AW) going (14%, n=57) and over 1m – 1m1f (11.7%, n=60).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.4%+0.7
n=83 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +45.40
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−7.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
15.4%+7.7
n=26 · A/E 2.55 · £1 +32.60
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.28 · £1 +1.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.5%+1.8
n=84 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +75.60
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.7%−4.0
n=54 · A/E 0.76 · £1 +22.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 14% vs 7.7% · n=57
At Chantilly 12.5% vs 7.7% · n=48
Over 1m – 1m1f 11.7% vs 7.7% · n=60
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.3% vs 7.7% · n=38
When claiming 9.5% vs 7.7% · n=84 · A/E 1.60
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 33.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 57 8 14% +86.70
Good to Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Soft 24 0 0% −23.00
Good 15 1 6.7% −11.50
Heavy 8 1 12.5% +12.40

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly 48 6 12.5% +84.50
Deauville (AW) 22 2 9.1% −10.80
Saint-Cloud (FR) 20 1 5% +0.40
Longchamp (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Strasbourg (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Amiens (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Le Touquet (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Nancy (FR) 2 0 0% −1.00
Lyon-La Soie (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Toulouse (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Argentan (FR) 1 1 100% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 4 12 2 16.7% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.28 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 23 3 13% 1.04 −7.50
4th–6th fav 28 1 3.6% 0.46 −16.80
7th+ in betting 76 5 6.6% 2.14 +61.40
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fearless Cheetah (FR) 7 3 3 25 Sep 25
Likethewind (FR) 5 0 0 28 Oct 26
La Ferretcapienne (FR) 4 1 1 19 Jul 26
Ocean Star (FR) 4 0 2 7 May 26
Borcano (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Mar 26
Mia Fast (FR) 4 0 0 12 Feb 26
Alicanto (FR) 4 0 0 5 Jul 25
Jonin (GB) 3 1 3 1 Oct 26
Burattina (IRE) 3 0 1 7 Aug 26
Bobby Jean (FR) 3 0 1 7 Aug 26
Yuna (FR) 2 0 0 28 Oct 26
Black Echo Take (FR) 2 0 0 23 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 83 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9170033009571713
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
F Bresson 17 3 17.6% +38.10
N Clement & F Hermans 16 1 6.3% −10.50
Jean-Pierre Carvalho 12 0 0% −12.00
Leonardo D Racco 10 0 0% −10.00
J Silva 10 0 0% −10.00
Gerard Rivases 4 1 25% +18.10
Mme A Wattel 4 1 25% −0.50
Caroline Auvray 4 0 0% −4.00
Mme J Soudan 3 0 0% −3.00
F-X Belvisi 3 0 0% −3.00
Charlotte Alesi 2 0 0% −2.00
V Devillars 2 1 50% +18.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
10
Archived wins
£156k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 5 wins
La Ferretcapienne (FR) — Prix de la Piste Sea Bird (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2025
£9,917
Fearless Cheetah (FR) — Prix de Barbery (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · May 2025
£9,091
Fearless Cheetah (FR) — Prix du Salon de Guise (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Sep 2025
£8,719

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tigron (USA) 42.9% · 3–7
Progeny have won 11.2% of 170 runs since 2017 (20 horses).
Toronado (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,913 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.
Cloth Of Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,252 runs since 2022 (198 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 190.
Hello Youmzain (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,039 runs since 2024 (165 horses).
Chachnak (FR) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 12.7% of 237 runs since 2024 (41 horses).
Dabirsim (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,170 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 257. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 130 · newest first

The latest 50 of 130 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2024 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Yuna (FR)T: Jean-Pierre Carvalho Prix De RoyeClass 3 · 11f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 22/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Go For It (FR)T: P Baudry Prix Du DaboClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 22/1
01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Jonin (GB)T: Mme A Wattel Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/2F
25 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Crin Noir (FR)T: D Le Geay Prix Du Val D'oiseClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 50/1
13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Rolexxa (FR)T: Mme V C Wilde Prix De La Zorn10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 9/1
04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Grand Chelem (FR)T: Pauline Menges Prix De VerderonneClass 3 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mathieu Calbrix's strike rate?
Mathieu Calbrix has won 10 of 130 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mathieu Calbrix do best at?
Chantilly by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 rides (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mathieu Calbrix in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mathieu Calbrix's Fair A/E?
1.27, from 129 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).