Matt Cosham
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (70 rides). Rode mostly for David Evans — 47% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.9% (n=70, Fair A/E 1.46), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.29). David Evans supplied 47% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 8.6%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (13.6%, n=184). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.3% over 43 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.38 across 97 rides (3.1% strike, −67.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 729 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 729 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 August 2007 to 12 February 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Matt Cosham's strike rate?
- Matt Cosham has won 62 of 719 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Matt Cosham do best at?
- Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 79 rides (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Matt Cosham ride most for?
- David Evans, with 337 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (11.3%).
- What is Matt Cosham's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 714 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.