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Jockey profile

Michael Stenson

76 rides in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2021
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–76
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=76
16 (21%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=76 · 0.66 incl. margin
−26.00
£1 level stake
n=76 at SP · −34.2%
£72,401
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 6.8%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.8%−0.8
n=52 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −21.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−6.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−6.6
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −2.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.8%+0.2
n=74 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −24.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−6.6
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.6% vs 6.6% · n=35
On first rides for the horse 5.8% vs 6.6% · n=52 · A/E 0.69
When claiming 6.8% vs 6.6% · n=74 · A/E 0.83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 41 3 7.3% −9.50
Chase 21 1 4.8% −10.00
Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
NH Flat 3 1 33.3% +4.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 28 3 10.7% +11.50
Soft 26 1 3.8% −18.00
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −10.50
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 7 1 14.3% −4.50
Kilbeggan 7 1 14.3% +14.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 6 0 0% −6.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Thurles 3 1 33.3% +4.50
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Curragh 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.58 −3.50
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.50 −2.00
4th–6th fav 21 3 14.3% 2.08 +15.50
7th+ in betting 36 0 0% 0.00 −36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.8% completed · 62 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 66.7% 1 4 2 0 0
Hurdle 41 80.5% 2 2 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kildorrery (IRE) 7 2 3 15 May 19
Oscars Den (IRE) 4 1 2 27 Apr 19
Major Fawcett (GB) 4 0 1 28 Sep 18
Rossvoss (GB) 3 0 1 24 Feb 18
Make Up Your Mind (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Aug 17
Living's Boy An Co (FR) 2 0 0 15 Apr 21
Cherokee Bill (GB) 2 0 0 26 Dec 19
Stoneford (IRE) 2 0 0 12 Sep 19
Universal Focus (GER) 2 0 0 15 May 19
War Child (GB) 2 0 0 15 Dec 18
Sam King (IRE) 2 0 0 8 Sep 18
Old Castletown (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Jun 17
All 52 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0251300000101108
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
T M Walsh 29 4 13.8% +18.50
Noel Meade 17 1 5.9% −14.50
Ross O'Sullivan 8 0 0% −8.00
F Flood 3 0 0% −3.00
Michael Winters 2 0 0% −2.00
Gavin Cromwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Denis Hickey 1 0 0% −1.00
C A McBratney 1 0 0% −1.00
Paul Nolan 1 0 0% −1.00
J T R Dreaper 1 0 0% −1.00
Patrick Magee 1 0 0% −1.00
Peter Fahey 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
5
Archived wins
£72,401
Prize money
2019
Best season · 2 wins
Oscars Den (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Navan · Feb 2019
£11,088
Kildorrery (IRE) — Coral Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing Beginners Chase Punchestown · Oct 2018
£8,932
Diol Ker (FR) — Signsplus Hurdle Limerick · Dec 2020
£7,965
Notable horses
Kildorrery (IRE) Oscars Den (IRE) Diol Ker (FR) Dewcup (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arakan (USA) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Oscar (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Sir Percy (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,150 runs since 2008 (473 horses).
Medicean (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 76 · newest first

The latest 50 of 76 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 October 2013 to 23 April 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Apr 21 Kilbeggan Momus (IRE)T: Noel Meade Congratulations Minella Times Beginners Chase22f · Good · 13 ran 5th 7/2
23 Apr 21 Kilbeggan Paris The Lad (IRE)T: Patrick Magee KilbegganRaces.com Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)19.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 40/1
15 Apr 21 Limerick Living's Boy An Co (FR)T: Noel Meade Kilmallock (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 12/1
17 Mar 21 Down Royal He'sthewon (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Yielding · 20 ran F 11/2
13 Jan 21 Naas Two Shoe Tom (IRE)T: Peter Fahey Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-116)19f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 13/2
29 Dec 20 Leopardstown Top Of The Charts (FR)T: Gavin Cromwell Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123)21f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 20/1
26 Dec 20 Limerick Diol Ker (FR)T: Noel Meade Signsplus Hurdle20f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 6/4F
29 Nov 20 Fairyhouse Hymie Weiss (IRE)T: Noel Meade Bar One Racing Giving Cash Back Daily (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 9/1
01 Nov 20 Cork Cap York (FR)T: Noel Meade Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Chase (0-150) (Grade B)28f · Soft · 19 ran 4th 16/1
31 Oct 20 Down Royal Night Combat (IRE)T: Noel Meade Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 5/1
25 Oct 20 Wexford Whisper In Court (IRE)T: Paul Stafford Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 11th 40/1
10 Oct 20 Fairyhouse Russian Bill (IRE)T: Noel Meade Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-116)21f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 12/1
19 Sep 20 Navan Hes A Hardy Bloke (IRE)T: Noel Meade BarOneRacing Telebetting 1800 624 524 (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 3/1
31 Dec 19 Punchestown Papal Present (IRE)T: Michael Winters Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 15th 50/1
27 Dec 19 Limerick Living's Boy An Co (FR)T: Noel Meade Keith Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 17 ran 4th 25/1
26 Dec 19 Down Royal Cherokee Bill (GB)T: Noel Meade Adam & Ann Armstrong Memorial Irish EBF Beginners Chase20f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran UR 9/1
26 Dec 19 Down Royal Magheralagan (IRE)T: C A McBratney Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran PU 50/1
27 Oct 19 Wexford Jakoby (IRE)T: Noel Meade Casey Bros Supporting Their Local Racecourse Beginners Chase20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 14/1
27 Oct 19 Wexford In Your Shadow (IRE)T: Noel Meade Casey Cattle Slats Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 8/1
20 Oct 19 Cork Sellarbridge (IRE)T: Noel Meade Matchbook Betting Podcast (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 9/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Stenson's strike rate?
Michael Stenson has won 5 of 76 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael Stenson's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 76 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).