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Jockey profile

Miss S Ahern

212 rides in the lifetime window · 104 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2023
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–212
Wins / Runs
5.7%
Strike rate
n=212
40 (19%)
Placed
1.04
n=211 · 0.91 incl. margin
−87.00
£1 level stake
n=212 at SP · −41.0%
£135k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, across both codes, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Rides mostly for Sean Aherne — 50% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 212 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Sean Aherne: 6.7% from 105 First rides: 5.8% Claiming: 5.8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). Sean Aherne supplies 50% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (10.3%, n=39).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.8%+0.1
n=104 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −40.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+4.3
n=10 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −5.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−5.7
n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.8%+0.1
n=207 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −82.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.4%−4.3
n=74 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −61.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 10.3% vs 5.7% · n=39
With debutants 2.9% vs 5.7% · n=34
With horses switching code 3.4% vs 5.7% · n=59
In Hurdle races 7.9% vs 5.7% · n=63
On Soft going 7.8% vs 5.7% · n=64
Off a 8-14-day break 7.9% vs 5.7% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 65 3 4.6% −35.00
Hurdle 63 5 7.9% −19.50
NH Flat 55 3 5.5% −24.50
Chase 29 1 3.4% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 67 4 6% −33.50
Soft 64 5 7.8% −4.50
Heavy 49 3 6.1% −17.00
Good to Soft 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 29 1 3.4% −14.00
Tramore 22 3 13.6% +15.00
Killarney 18 1 5.6% −5.00
Thurles 16 2 12.5% −2.50
Limerick 15 1 6.7% −7.50
Clonmel 14 2 14.3% +3.00
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Listowel 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 9 0 0% −9.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 20 2 10% 0.83 −8.50
4th–6th fav 65 8 12.3% 1.67 +14.50
7th+ in betting 126 2 1.6% 0.54 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Analyse That (IRE) 31 2 7 4 Mar 20
Stolen Moment (IRE) 18 2 5 14 Apr 23
Georgina Burgess (IRE) 7 0 0 5 Apr 21
James Eclipse (IRE) 6 1 2 5 Aug 18
Toor Moon (IRE) 5 0 0 27 Dec 22
Chosen Hour (IRE) 5 1 1 31 May 21
Isourbell (IRE) 5 0 0 6 Apr 15
Go Be A Hero (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Jul 17
Contessa Margerita (IRE) 4 0 1 3 Apr 14
Shean Glory (IRE) 3 0 1 24 Feb 22
Section Fifty Two (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Jun 21
Kilbeg Bernie (IRE) 3 0 0 30 Nov 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 104 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
91311556348070
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardSean Aherne
50% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 1.09
TrainerRWSR£1
Sean Aherne 105 7 6.7% −33.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
12
Archived wins
£135k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 2 wins
James Eclipse (IRE) — Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race Listowel · Sep 2017
£8,008
Kilderry Prince (IRE) — Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102) Tramore · Jan 2019
£7,392
Justforjames (IRE) — Pegus Horse Feed Point-to-point Flat Race Cork · Apr 2015
£6,900

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Wareed (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 7.8% of 510 runs since 2009 (50 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Court Cave (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,975 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Tajraasi (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.8% of 329 runs since 2009 (19 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.9% from 103.
Aizavoski (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.7% of 746 runs since 2018 (60 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 141.
Double Eclipse (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 616 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 229.
Well Chosen (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 12.7% of 1,926 runs since 2008 (156 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 212 · newest first

The latest 50 of 212 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 November 2012 to 1 July 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 22 Thurles Toor Moon (IRE)T: Ms M Flynn Munster Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss S Ahern's strike rate?
Miss S Ahern has won 12 of 212 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Miss S Ahern ride most for?
Sean Aherne, with 105 rides since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.7%).
What is Miss S Ahern's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 211 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).