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Trainer profile

Thomas P Cummins

179 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2020
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
10–179
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=179
35 (20%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=179 · 0.79 incl. margin
−63.62
£1 level stake
n=179 at SP · −35.5%
£119k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 179 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.3%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well over 2m5f – 3m (11.1%, n=36). The record read poorly on Good going — 1.4% over 73 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.46 across 74 runners (2.7% strike, −61.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Aughnacurraveel (IRE) — 5 wins from 33 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.6
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
7.7%+2.1
n=13 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +3.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%+0.7
n=128 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −35.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 11.1% vs 5.6% · n=36
On Good going 1.4% vs 5.6% · n=73
Off a 31-60-day break 2.1% vs 5.6% · n=47
Over 1m5f – 2m 2.7% vs 5.6% · n=74
With horses switching code 3.1% vs 5.6% · n=65
In NH Flat races 2.9% vs 5.6% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 79 4 5.1% −40.12
Flat 56 4 7.1% −19.50
NH Flat 35 1 2.9% −1.00
Chase 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 73 1 1.4% −56.00
Soft 47 2 4.3% −28.00
Good to Firm 19 4 21.1% +31.88
Heavy 19 1 5.3% −10.00
Standard (AW) 11 2 18.2% +8.50
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Listowel 21 1 4.8% −12.00
Clonmel 19 0 0% −19.00
Limerick 18 1 5.6% −12.00
Tramore 17 1 5.9% +0.00
Tipperary 16 2 12.5% +29.00
Killarney 15 0 0% −15.00
Galway 13 1 7.7% −10.12
Dundalk (AW) 11 2 18.2% +8.50
Thurles 9 0 0% −9.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 5 1 20% +3.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 2.05 +3.38
2nd–3rd fav 23 2 8.7% 0.72 −6.00
4th–6th fav 64 3 4.7% 0.76 −39.00
7th+ in betting 88 3 3.4% 1.25 −22.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fairy Court (IRE)from Michael John O'Connor · then W P Mullins 35 2 10 8 Sep 15
Aughnacurraveel (IRE)from Garry Ducey 33 5 13 19 Aug 18
Silver Sally (IRE) 19 0 3 24 Sep 15
Millie Le Bach (IRE) 14 2 6 18 Sep 15
The Golden Punto (IRE) 13 0 0 16 Aug 18
Brown Eyed Joe (IRE) 12 0 0 17 Oct 14
Rock On Bach (IRE)from Ms Alice Curran 10 0 0 1 Nov 18
James Eclipse (IRE)then Michael John O'Connor 9 1 2 6 Dec 18
Go Be A Hero (IRE) 7 0 0 20 Jul 17
Three Oscars (IRE) 7 0 0 31 Aug 15
Bohernagore (IRE)then Zoe Davison 6 0 1 8 Oct 15
Kilbeg Bernie (IRE) 5 0 0 21 Feb 19
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
130140607713000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr M J O'Connor
17% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.85
RiderRWSR£1
Mr M J O'Connor 31 2 6.5% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
10
Archived wins
£119k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 4 wins
Aughnacurraveel (IRE) — Club Limerick Chase Limerick · Jul 2014
£11,040
Aughnacurraveel (IRE) — Kilbeggan Patrons Club Hurdle Kilbeggan · Sep 2013
£10,695
James Eclipse (IRE) — Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race Listowel · Sep 2017
£8,008
Notable horses
Aughnacurraveel (IRE) Fairy Court (IRE) Millie Le Bach (IRE) James Eclipse (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tajraasi (USA) 7.7% · 5–65
Progeny have won 8.8% of 329 runs since 2008 (19 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.9% from 103.
Court Cave (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,921 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Bach (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Verglas (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Double Eclipse (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.1% of 616 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.1% from 229.
Beat of Drums (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.7% of 65 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 179 · newest first

The latest 50 of 179 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 April 2012 to 23 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Sep 20 Listowel Ballycurrane Boy (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race20f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 125/1
07 Sep 20 Galway Ballycurrane Boy (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Galway Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 6th 150/1
22 Aug 20 Killarney Ballycurrane Boy (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan BoyleSports This Is Betting (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Yielding · 5 ran 4th 25/1
21 Feb 19 Thurles Kilbeg Bernie (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Killinan Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1
06 Dec 18 Clonmel James Eclipse (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Next Meeting Thursday January 10th (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 66/1
30 Nov 18 Limerick Kilbeg Bernie (IRE)J: Miss S Ahern Follow Limerick Races On Twitter Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 14 ran 7th 25/1
12 Nov 18 Thurles Kilbeg Bernie (IRE)J: Miss S Ahern Go Racing At Thurles Racecourse Flat Race20f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1
01 Nov 18 Clonmel Rock On Bach (IRE)J: Miss S Ahern Powerstown Demesne (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good · 12 ran 8th 50/1
21 Oct 18 Cork James Eclipse (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Book Your Christmas Party At Cork Racecourse (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good · 6 ran 6th 28/1
12 Oct 18 Downpatrick Rock On Bach (IRE)J: Simon Torrens MB McGrady & Co, Accountants Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 33/1
20 Sep 18 Clonmel Rock On Bach (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Lisronagh Opportunity Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 50/1
09 Sep 18 Listowel James Eclipse (IRE)J: David Mullins Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 12 ran 10th 25/1
19 Aug 18 Tramore Aughnacurraveel (IRE)J: A E Lynch McCarthys Irish Bar, Lexington Handicap Chase (0-123)22f · Good · 10 ran 7th 50/1
19 Aug 18 Tramore Rock On Bach (IRE)J: Andrew Ring Tramore Amusement & Leisure Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 16 ran 13th 33/1
16 Aug 18 Tramore Rock On Bach (IRE)J: Miss S Ahern Marthas & The Ritz Bar (Ladies) Maiden16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 100/1
16 Aug 18 Tramore The Golden Punto (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe O'Neills Bar Handicap Hurdle (80-95)21f · Good · 16 ran 14th 20/1
06 Aug 18 Cork Kilbeg Bernie (IRE)J: Miss S Ahern Ticket Sales Online At corkracecourse.ie Flat Race19f · Good · 14 ran 7th 33/1
05 Aug 18 Galway James Eclipse (IRE)J: Miss S Ahern Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro-Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 20/1
26 Jul 18 Limerick Kilbeg Bernie (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Ladbrokes Munster National 14th October Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 7th 10/1
26 Jul 18 Limerick Rock On Bach (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Follow Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 17 ran 15th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas P Cummins's strike rate?
Thomas P Cummins has won 10 of 179 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Thomas P Cummins's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 179 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).