Mr B S Carey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.72). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 6.3% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.95). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 1% strike, Fair A/E 0.33 and −83.00 to a £1 stake over 100 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.43 across 70 rides (1.4% strike, −59.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 392 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 392 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 17 November 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr B S Carey's strike rate?
- Mr B S Carey has won 3 of 122 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Mr B S Carey's Fair A/E?
- 0.72, from 122 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.