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Jockey profile

Mr P J Cawley

48 rides in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 100 days ago 94% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–48
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=48
3 (6%)
Placed
0.59
Fair A/E
n=48 · 0.47 incl. margin
−45.25
£1 level stake
n=48 at SP · −94.3%
£17,947
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
25%
KTB at a glance First rides: 3.2% Claiming: 2.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.2%+1.1
n=31 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −28.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +0.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.3%+0.2
n=44 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −41.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.1
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2.1% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 33 0 0% −33.00
Chase 8 0 0% −8.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00
Flat 3 1 33.3% −0.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00
Good 8 1 12.5% −5.25
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sligo 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.07 +0.75
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
7th+ in betting 37 0 0% 0.00 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.6% completed · 41 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 8 87.5% 0 0 0 1 0
Hurdle 33 72.7% 0 2 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Presenting Dylan (IRE) 8 0 0 27 Sep 23
The Vegas Raider (IRE) 3 0 1 28 May 24
Kilgorey (IRE) 3 0 1 29 Oct 22
Positive Energy (IRE) 2 0 0 25 May 26
Bid Up (IRE) 2 0 0 30 Jan 26
Nicolas Fortune (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Jun 24
Boxing Great (IRE) 1 1 1 6 Aug 26
Donegal Danny (IRE) 1 0 0 20 Oct 24
Yukon (IRE) 1 0 0 28 Jun 24
The Gray Ghost (IRE) 1 0 0 7 May 24
Loughrask Rainbow (IRE) 1 0 0 30 Jan 24
Baltinglass Hill (IRE) 1 0 0 26 Dec 23
All 34 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00··000170000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Brian Francis Cawley 15 0 0% −15.00
K A Heffernan 7 0 0% −7.00
Mrs Y Dunleavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Stephen Gerard Carey 4 0 0% −4.00
Patrick G Kelly 2 0 0% −2.00
Brian M McMahon 2 0 0% −2.00
Michael J McDonagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Ms M Flynn 1 0 0% −1.00
Darren Collins 1 0 0% −1.00
Keelan Dempsey 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss Shauna Larkin 1 0 0% −1.00
Shane Patrick O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
17
Archived wins
£227k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 7 wins
Boxing Great (IRE) — Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Aug 2026
£12,000
Macgiloney (IRE) — Linden Foods Hurdle Down Royal · Aug 2019
£11,820
Generator City (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Chase Clonmel · Oct 2019
£11,820
Notable horses
Drive The Bus (IRE) Helly Hansum (IRE) Mister Butler (IRE) Fenno's Storm (IRE) Licklighter (IRE) Brosna Rocco (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,497 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Kendargent (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,255 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.
Ribchester (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9% of 2,781 runs since 2021 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15% from 120. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 216.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Make Believe (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,632 runs since 2019 (298 horses).
Sholokhov (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,285 runs since 2008 (424 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 482 · newest first

The latest 50 of 482 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 November 2010 to 6 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Boxing Great (IRE)T: Karl Thornton Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap15f · Good · 9 ran 1st 7/4F
25 May 26 Ballinrobe Positive Energy (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley McHale Tiger Roll Beginners Chase17f · Good · 12 ran 9th 150/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Positive Energy (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley FRS Fencing Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 24 ran 19th 100/1
30 Jan 26 Catterick Bid Up (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley racingtv.com/freetrial Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 11/1
26 Dec 25 Down Royal Bid Up (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley BAR 1 Betting Handicap Chase (0-100)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 9th 25/1
20 Oct 24 Limerick Donegal Danny (IRE)T: Michael J McDonagh John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Good · 17 ran 14th 125/1
28 Jun 24 Cartmel Yukon (IRE)T: James Moffatt Dinosaurs Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 14 ran PU 40/1
17 Jun 24 Kilbeggan Nicolas Fortune (IRE)T: K A Heffernan Kilbeggan (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 66/1
28 May 24 Ballinrobe Nicolas Fortune (IRE)T: K A Heffernan QuinnBet Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 66/1
28 May 24 Ballinrobe The Vegas Raider (IRE)T: K A Heffernan FBD Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 25/1
07 May 24 Ballinrobe The Gray Ghost (IRE)T: David Harry Kelly Harrington Concrete & Quarries Flat Race17f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 25/1
30 Jan 24 Limerick Loughrask Rainbow (IRE)T: Brian M McMahon Follow Limerick Racecourse On Twitter (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 200/1
26 Dec 23 Down Royal Baltinglass Hill (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Soft · 19 ran 18th 20/1
21 Nov 23 Limerick The Vegas Raider (IRE)T: K A Heffernan Mr Binman Christmas Racing Festival 26th - 29th December Handicap Hurdle (80-102)21f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 66/1
12 Nov 23 Naas The Nagger Reidy (GB)T: Stephen Gerard Carey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 150/1
11 Nov 23 Gowran Park Gate Lanterns (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley Proficient Engineering Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 300/1
29 Oct 23 Galway French Hill (IRE)T: Miss Shauna Larkin Front Door 4-Y-O Fillies (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 16 ran 8th 33/1
28 Oct 23 Galway Merry Moves (IRE)T: Mrs Grainne M O'Connor COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 25/1
27 Sep 23 Sligo Presenting Dylan (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley Leo Mcmorrow Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)21f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 28/1
25 Sep 23 Roscommon Saynothinatall (IRE)T: Darren Collins Boyle Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr P J Cawley's strike rate?
Mr P J Cawley has won 1 of 48 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr P J Cawley's Fair A/E?
0.59, from 48 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).