Skip to content
Trainer profile

S G Carey

166 runners in the last 5 seasons · 37 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 90% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
20–166
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=166
55 (33%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=166 · 0.89 incl. margin
−58.24
£1 level stake
n=166 at SP · −35.1%
£271k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11).

Deterministic profile computed from 166 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10%−2.0
n=40 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −17.12
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%−2.9
n=11 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −6.50
Debutants · first career start
5%−7.0
n=20 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −16.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−12.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
26.1%
n=23 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −4.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.7%−0.3
n=77 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −27.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 21.3% vs 12% · n=47
On Good going 18.4% vs 12% · n=38
In NH Flat races 17.1% vs 12% · n=35
With a new jockey booking 8.5% vs 12% · n=106
Over 2m5f – 3m 15.2% vs 12% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 10 12.5% −16.87
NH Flat 35 6 17.1% −10.25
Chase 34 4 11.8% −14.12
Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 69 9 13% −12.36
Good 38 7 18.4% −5.00
Good to Soft 36 4 11.1% −17.88
Heavy 20 0 0% −20.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 21 4 19% −4.50
Downpatrick 15 7 46.7% +25.13
Ballinrobe 13 2 15.4% −8.50
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 11 2 18.2% −4.12
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 8 1 12.5% −2.50
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 1 20% +6.00
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +2.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 27 7 25.9% 0.97 −4.49
2nd–3rd fav 36 9 25% 1.57 +6.25
4th–6th fav 51 2 3.9% 0.57 −32.00
7th+ in betting 52 2 3.8% 1.21 −28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.4% completed · 114 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 34 82.4% 1 0 4 1 0
Hurdle 80 93.8% 0 2 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Banntown Girl (IRE)from A L T Moore 15 2 9 28 Jan 24
The Nagger Reidy (GB) 14 2 7 8 Mar 26
Better Times (IRE) 13 1 1 3 Oct 26
Lilannbee (GB) 9 1 3 5 Oct 26
Brosna Queen (IRE) 9 2 2 20 Sep 26
Asphalt Cowboy (IRE) 9 3 4 1 Jun 26
High Notions (IRE) 8 1 3 14 Jun 26
Mill House Creek (GB) 8 1 2 6 Jul 24
Hutchie (IRE)from Ms Debbie Hartnett 8 1 2 18 Feb 24
Sittingonthefence (IRE) 8 1 3 23 Aug 23
Cause For Comment (FR)from W P Mullins 5 1 4 22 May 26
I'm A Rocket Man (IRE) 5 0 2 27 Sep 25
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A L T Moore (3) and J P Dempsey (3); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Peter Maher (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0018014180142320025
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr M N Sharpe 17 2 11.8% −7.00
J J Slevin 16 3 18.8% +15.00
Michael Kenneally 13 3 23.1% +9.50
Danny Mullins 12 0 0% −12.00
Ricky Doyle 10 2 20% −3.37
Mr P W Mullins 9 3 33.3% +1.38
Mr P A King 7 1 14.3% −2.50
Sean Flanagan 6 0 0% −6.00
Miss A B O'Connor 5 1 20% −0.50
Mr P J Cawley 4 0 0% −4.00
Miss J Townend 3 0 0% −3.00
Aidan Kelly 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
25
Archived wins
£322k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 7 wins
Better Times (IRE) — Kevin Ross Bloodstock 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle Downpatrick · Mar 2026
£14,725
The Nagger Reidy (GB) — Mercedes Benz South Dublin Handicap Hurdle Leopardstown · Dec 2025
£10,915
Asphalt Cowboy (IRE) — Dennison Commercials, Volvo Truck Hunters Chase Downpatrick · May 2025
£10,325
Notable horses
Banntown Girl (IRE) Asphalt Cowboy (IRE) The Nagger Reidy (GB) Brosna Rocco (IRE) Brosna Queen (IRE) Better Times (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 23.1% · 6–26
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Stowaway (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Kayf Tara (GB) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,739 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Hillstar (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 7.5% of 738 runs since 2008 (88 horses).
Order Of St George (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.
Affinisea (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,250 runs since 2008 (197 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 209 · newest first

The latest 50 of 209 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 November 2020 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Eastern Whisper (GB)J: Mr P W Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 1st 5/2F
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Danny Gilligan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 15/8
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Better Times (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 9/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Brosna Queen (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 8th 16/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Ifuknowuknow (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Dunleath Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 1st 7/2
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Better Times (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 8th 25/1
04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 20/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Paddy Smyth Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 80/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Michael Kenneally WTW Willis Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Electric Galway Irish EBF Mares Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 13th 33/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Lilannbee (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On August 29th Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 4th 3/1
14 Jun 26 Downpatrick High Notions (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Cab Plant Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Good · 14 ran 7th 5/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Brosna Queen (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 10 ran 1st 11/4J
01 Jun 26 Listowel Asphalt Cowboy (IRE)J: Mr P A King Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding · 11 ran PU 12/1
31 May 26 Kilbeggan High Notions (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Midland Veterinary Handicap Hurdle (0-100)15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 15/2
30 May 26 Tramore Gunner Girl (IRE)J: Mr P A King Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Mares) Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 25/1
30 May 26 Tramore Better Times (IRE)J: Mr J W Hendrick Racing TV Handicap Chase22f · Good · 11 ran 7th 10/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Cause For Comment (FR)J: Mr P W Mullins Albert Bartlett Hunters Chase29f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 5/4F
22 May 26 Downpatrick Asphalt Cowboy (IRE)J: Mr R James Albert Bartlett Hunters Chase29f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 1st 6/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Cebu City (IRE)J: Mr R James Down Royal Corporation Of Horsebreeders Maiden Hunters Chase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S G Carey's strike rate?
S G Carey has won 20 of 166 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is S G Carey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S G Carey's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 166 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).