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Trainer profile

K A Heffernan

88 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 47 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
2–88
Wins / Runs
2.3%
Strike rate
n=88
8 (9%)
Placed
0.72
n=88 · 0.57 incl. margin
−71.67
£1 level stake
n=88 at SP · −81.4%
£26,274
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.3
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−0.4
n=52 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −40.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 1.9% vs 2.3% · n=52 · A/E 0.68
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 63 2 3.2% −46.67
Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 29 1 3.4% −24.67
Good 24 0 0% −24.00
Heavy 22 1 4.5% −10.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 19 1 5.3% −14.67
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Limerick 12 1 8.3% +0.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 1 100% 5.42 +3.33
4th–6th fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
7th+ in betting 75 1 1.3% 0.63 −63.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.6% completed · 67 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 25% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 63 81% 2 1 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Vegas Raider (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 23 1 5 7 Sep 26
Oldtown To Emly (IRE) 13 0 0 9 Jun 25
Princess Fiadh (IRE) 8 0 0 11 Apr 25
Nicolas Fortune (IRE) 7 0 0 21 Apr 25
Coolshine (IRE) 6 0 0 8 Sep 26
Ranger Billy (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 5 0 1 24 Aug 26
Rose Of Glenhest (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Jul 25
Eden Gardens (IRE)from David Marnane 2 0 0 8 Apr 22
Kalinka De Loire (FR) 1 0 0 7 Sep 26
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eoin Doyle (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
3300000090000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Geoghegan 15 1 6.7% −3.00
Mr P J Cawley 7 0 0% −7.00
Jack G Gilligan 4 0 0% −4.00
Philip Donovan 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Gilligan 4 1 25% +0.33
J J Slevin 4 0 0% −4.00
Ryan Treacy 3 0 0% −3.00
Tom Kelly 3 0 0% −3.00
Alex Harvey 3 0 0% −3.00
Phillip Enright 3 0 0% −3.00
Keith Donoghue 2 0 0% −2.00
Rory Cleary 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
2
Archived wins
£36,336
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Vegas Raider (IRE) — Broderick's Electric Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Ballinrobe · Aug 2024
£6,195
Brilliant Question (IRE) — Follow Limerick Racecourse On Instagram Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Limerick · Jan 2024
£5,900

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kendargent (FR) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,226 runs since 2008 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 253.
Gutaifan (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,755 runs since 2008 (301 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,171 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Sandmason (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.4% of 492 runs since 2008 (66 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.4% from 130.
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,824 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,935 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 181 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 January 2006 to 8 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is K A Heffernan's strike rate?
K A Heffernan has won 2 of 88 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is K A Heffernan's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 88 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).