What is Nathan Evans's strike rate?

Nathan Evans has won 167 of 2,015 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nathan Evans do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 11 wins from 95 rides (11.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Nathan Evans ride most for?

Michael Easterby, with 1,069 rides since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 108 (10.1%).

What is Nathan Evans's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 2,001 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Nathan Evans

2,015 rides in the lifetime window · 765 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2025 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

167–2,015

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=2,015

487 (24%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=2,001 · 0.84 incl. margin

−617.66

£1 level stake

n=2,015 at SP · −30.7%

£1.75m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (168 rides). Rides mostly for Michael Easterby — 53% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,015 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 28.7% when favourite Michael Easterby: 10.1% from 1,069 LTO winners: 16.1% Claiming: 11% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Nottingham (16.3%, n=49) and Chelmsford (AW) (15.2%, n=66) — all clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.1% (n=168, Fair A/E 0.97). Michael Easterby supplies 53% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The standout partner of the record: Bosham (GB) — 8 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.9%−2.4

n=765 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −291.27

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.1%+7.8

n=168 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −24.15

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6%−2.3

n=315 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −162.75

When favourite

28.7%

n=157 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −1.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11%+2.7

n=848 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −216.62

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.6%−1.7

n=393 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −99.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.3

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 8.3% · n=168

With Tim Easterby 18.6% vs 8.3% · n=43

At Nottingham 16.3% vs 8.3% · n=49

With debutants 1.9% vs 8.3% · n=105

With Marjorie Fife 0% vs 8.3% · n=33

At Chelmsford (AW) 15.2% vs 8.3% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 545 48 8.8% −151.97

Good to Firm 476 33 6.9% −218.63

Good 453 38 8.4% −124.19

Good to Soft 274 21 7.7% −106.74

Soft 219 21 9.6% −7.63

Heavy 48 6 12.5% −8.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 247 21 8.5% −16.37

Redcar 143 15 10.5% −50.24

Beverley 134 10 7.5% −29.84

Thirsk 130 10 7.7% −21.00

Catterick 121 7 5.8% −50.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 121 7 5.8% −81.31

York 113 8 7.1% −31.75

Musselburgh 107 12 11.2% +10.25

Southwell (AW) 100 9 9% −49.87

Ripon 97 6 6.2% −58.40

Hamilton 95 11 11.6% −25.59

Doncaster 84 2 2.4% −67.00

Ayr 76 5 6.6% −37.75

Carlisle 70 7 10% −23.37

Pontefract 67 6 9% −12.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 674 54 8% −190.37

Class 6 597 45 7.5% −297.88

Class 4 404 45 11.1% −38.53

Class 3 177 16 9% −4.50

Class 2 149 7 4.7% −72.38

Class 7 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 191 51 26.7% 1.07 −5.90

2nd–3rd fav 345 57 16.5% 1.10 −16.26

4th–6th fav 552 37 6.7% 0.89 −201.50

7th+ in betting 927 22 2.4% 0.77 −394.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bosham (GB) 35 8 13 25 Apr 19

Magic City (IRE) 26 2 5 6 Aug 19

Gulf Of Poets (GB) 25 6 7 20 Jun 20

Bowson Fred (GB) 25 3 14 11 Sep 19

Miss Sheridan (IRE) 18 3 4 19 Sep 19

Qaffaal (USA) 18 1 9 9 Mar 19

Where's Jeff (GB) 17 4 6 2 May 21

Aldreth (GB) 17 2 12 26 Jul 20

Airglow (IRE) 16 2 6 12 Jul 20

Harvest Day (GB) 15 3 7 14 Apr 21

Holiday Magic (IRE) 15 1 5 23 Oct 19

Astraea (GB) 15 1 4 10 Sep 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 765 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

151081278875959

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Easterby

53% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Easterby 1,069 108 10.1% −173.73

Wilf Storey 56 4 7.1% −18.00

Tim Easterby 43 8 18.6% +14.76

Jim Goldie 34 4 11.8% +3.00

Marjorie Fife 33 0 0% −33.00

Ruth Carr 31 3 9.7% +25.00

Alan Berry 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

167

Archived wins

£1.75m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 49 wins

Hoofalong (GB) — William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup (Heritage Handicap) Musselburgh · Jun 2016 · Class 2

£62,250

Hoof It (GB) — Qatar Stewards' Sprint Handicap (Consolation Race For The Qatar Stewards' Cup) Goodwood · Jul 2016 · Class 2

£46,688

Flying Pursuit (GB) — Sky Bet Dash Handicap York · Jul 2018 · Class 2

£31,125

Notable horses

Bosham (GB) Gulf Of Poets (GB) Where's Jeff (GB) Bowson Fred (GB) Miss Sheridan (IRE) Harvest Day (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 14.1% · 14–99

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,982 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Champs Elysees (GB) 13.5% · 7–52

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,132 runs since 2013 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Elusive City (USA) 17.4% · 8–46

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,432 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Oasis Dream (GB) 18.6% · 8–43

Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,052 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Acclamation (GB) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Shamardal (USA) 22.9% · 8–35

Progeny have won 14.7% of 10,414 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,289. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,015 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,015 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2015 to 23 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Jul 25 Leicester Capricorn King (GB)T: Seb Spencer Every Race Live On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 5th 11/1

19 Jul 25 Ripon Draupnir (GB)T: Michael & David Easterby Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 16/1

18 Jul 25 Pontefract Perseus Way (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Babs Woolford Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good · 6 ran 4th 14/1

12 Jul 25 Chester Green Pursuit (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley St-Germain Hugo Spritz HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 22/1

12 Jul 25 Chester Acrisius (GB)T: Michael & David Easterby Cupiolo HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

11 Jul 25 Ascot Better And Better (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley JLL Children's Charities NurseryClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 5/2

10 Jul 25 Carlisle I Need Your Love (GB)T: Michael & David Easterby Dalston 'Confined' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 22/1

10 Jul 25 Carlisle Liberty Flame (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Rachael Bell Wealth Management Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 250/1

07 Jul 25 Ripon Edens Choice (GB)T: Michael & David Easterby ripon-races.co.uk Book Now For Saturday July 19th Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 6th 50/1

05 Jul 25 Leicester Fasnelli (IRE)T: Michael & David Easterby Dark Horse Chardonnay HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 66/1

04 Jul 25 Beverley Storm Call (IRE)T: Michael & David Easterby Wellocks Part Of The William Jackson Food Group HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 50/1

28 Jun 25 Chester Model Approach (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley Going Is Good HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 33/1

26 Jun 25 Leicester Lights Go Down (GB)T: Michael & David Easterby Dark Horse Ladies' Day Coming Next HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 15/2

21 Jun 25 Redcar Fasnelli (IRE)T: Michael & David Easterby Watch Race Replays At racingtv.com 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 100/1

21 Jun 25 Redcar Zarzyni (IRE)T: David & Nicola Barron Start Your Racing TV Free Trial HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 6/1

21 Jun 25 Redcar Angelica Catalani (GB)T: David & Nicola Barron Market Cross Jewellers HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 66/1

19 Jun 25 Wetherby Newyorkstateofmind (GB)T: Ruth Carr Watch Race Replays At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 20/1

17 Jun 25 Southwell (AW) Furrst Lady (IRE)T: Ruth Carr HighBet Weekly Racing Rewards Club Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 40/1

16 Jun 25 Carlisle Quintus Arrius (IRE)T: Peter Niven PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 17/2

16 Jun 25 Carlisle Tekitoff (GB)T: Danny Brooke PricedUp Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nathan Evans's strike rate?: Nathan Evans has won 167 of 2,015 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nathan Evans do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 11 wins from 95 rides (11.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Nathan Evans ride most for?: Michael Easterby, with 1,069 rides since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 108 (10.1%).
What is Nathan Evans's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 2,001 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.