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Trainer profile

Phillip Makin

617 runners in the last 5 seasons · 59 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
49–617
Wins / Runs
7.9%
Strike rate
n=617
175 (28%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=616 · 0.73 incl. margin
−292.85
£1 level stake
n=617 at SP · −47.5%
£632k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 617 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 29.7% when favourite Rowan Scott: 7.6% from 197 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (20.8%, n=53) and Musselburgh (14.3%, n=35) — all clear of the yard's 7.9% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.6% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.54). Rowan Scott rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.6%, A/E 0.83). The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (12.9%, n=62). The stable star of the record: Impressor (IRE) — 8 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.6%−4.3
n=55 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −29.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
5.9%−2.0
n=34 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +0.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.9
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.7%+1.8
n=31 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −3.50
When favourite
29.7%
n=37 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −4.14
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%−3.1
n=84 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −62.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22.9% vs 7.9% · n=48
At Hamilton 20.8% vs 7.9% · n=53
At Wolverhampton (AW) 0% vs 7.9% · n=34
At Musselburgh 14.3% vs 7.9% · n=35
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12.9% vs 7.9% · n=62
With C&D winners 12.1% vs 7.9% · n=99
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 610 49 8% −285.85
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 260 16 6.2% −174.13
Good 127 13 10.2% −13.01
Good to Firm 88 4 4.5% −39.50
Soft 66 8 12.1% −25.42
Good to Soft 53 4 7.5% −31.79
Heavy 23 4 17.4% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 163 12 7.4% −98.75
Southwell (AW) 56 4 7.1% −34.38
Hamilton 53 11 20.8% +28.38
Thirsk 52 4 7.7% −28.12
Ayr 37 1 2.7% −32.67
Musselburgh 35 5 14.3% +9.61
Wolverhampton (AW) 34 0 0% −34.00
Redcar 33 3 9.1% −16.00
Carlisle 27 4 14.8% +6.50
Beverley 26 2 7.7% −5.75
Doncaster 20 0 0% −20.00
York 14 0 0% −14.00
Chester 10 1 10% −5.00
Haydock 8 0 0% −8.00
Leicester 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 270 22 8.1% −133.30
Class 5 208 15 7.2% −114.37
Class 4 92 11 12% −2.51
Class 3 28 0 0% −28.00
Class 2 12 1 8.3% −7.67
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 52 15 28.8% 1.12 −4.68
2nd–3rd fav 124 17 13.7% 0.86 −37.17
4th–6th fav 208 12 5.8% 0.73 −91.00
7th+ in betting 233 5 2.1% 0.67 −160.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Impressor (IRE)from Marcus Tregoning 65 8 25 28 Sep 26
Captain Vallo (IRE) 52 3 19 24 Feb 26
Ganesha (GB) 40 4 12 12 Oct 26
She'sashambles (IRE) 35 1 11 19 Feb 26
Fast Fred (GB) 34 5 18 12 Sep 26
Impartiality (GB) 23 3 12 19 Oct 26
Lupset Flossy Pop (IRE)then Gary Brown 23 1 4 4 Dec 23
Annie Edson Taylor (GB)from Kevin Thomas Coleman 20 4 8 8 Oct 26
Military Leader (GB)from Charlie Appleby 19 3 12 9 Oct 26
Priapos (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 17 4 5 16 Oct 26
Na Scoitear (IRE) 16 1 4 29 Aug 23
Stelios (IRE) 15 0 1 11 Sep 23
All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from K R Burke (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Declan Carroll (3) and John Butler (3); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 10
Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
3031010898810158
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRowan Scott
32% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 0.83
RiderRWSR£1
Rowan Scott 197 15 7.6% −112.06
Sam James 91 10 11% −20.29
Shane Gray 83 4 4.8% −50.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
86
Archived wins
£1.01m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 17 wins
Hickory Lad (IRE) — Oddschecker British EBF Woodcote Stakes (Conditions Race) (GBB Race) Epsom Downs · Jun 2026 · Class 2
£38,655
Priapos (IRE) — Stablemate By AGMA Carlisle Bell Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£15,702
Fast Fred (GB) — Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Musselburgh · Apr 2026 · Class 4
£15,462
Notable horses
Impressor (IRE) Captain Vallo (IRE) Fast Fred (GB) Ganesha (GB) Annie Edson Taylor (GB) Priapos (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.1% · 9–81
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,780 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Mehmas (IRE) 5% · 3–60
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Showcasing (GB) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,584 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Profitable (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,412 runs since 2008 (357 horses).
Outstrip (GB) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,274 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.
Mayson (GB) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,365 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,728. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2019 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Pocket Change (IRE)J: Rowan Scott AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Impartiality (GB)J: Shane Gray Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/1
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Priapos (IRE)J: Oliver Carmichael Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 15/2
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Farabove The Limit (IRE)J: Sam James quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 3/1
12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Ganesha (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 9/1
12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Liveadream (GB)J: Sam James Kick Start Your Career With The SRA Selling StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 22/1
12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Lone Piper (GB)J: Miss Sophie Dobson Join Racing TV Now Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 100/1
10 Oct 26 York Hickory Lad (IRE)J: Sam James Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 15/2
09 Oct 26 York Military Leader (GB)J: Sam James William Hill Gold Weekend Autumn Mile Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 13th 22/1
08 Oct 26 Ayr Annie Edson Taylor (GB)J: Sam James Tennent's Lager Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 12/1
30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Priapos (IRE)J: Sam James Weatherbys Racing Bank Selling StakesClass 4 · 9f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 14/1
28 Sep 26 Hamilton Impressor (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 9/2
28 Sep 26 Hamilton Impartiality (GB)J: Shane Gray John Mackenzie And Hamish Macgregor Memorial Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 4/1
28 Sep 26 Hamilton Annie Edson Taylor (GB)J: Miss Pippa Brown Clearwater Dc Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 6/4F
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Binksy Boy (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 33/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Farabove The Limit (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 4/1
24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Bluestone Lady (IRE)J: Billy Garritty Follow @AtTheRaces On X Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 25/1
24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Liveadream (GB)J: Dougie Costello Follow @AtTheRaces On X Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 80/1
20 Sep 26 Hamilton Military Leader (GB)J: Sam James Big Drew Hunter Memorial Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 15/2
20 Sep 26 Hamilton Annie Edson Taylor (GB)J: Sam James Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Phillip Makin's strike rate?
Phillip Makin has won 49 of 617 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Phillip Makin do best at?
Hamilton by strike rate: 11 wins from 53 runners (20.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Phillip Makin?
Rowan Scott, with 197 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.6%).
Is Phillip Makin in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Phillip Makin's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 616 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).