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Jockey profile

Nathan Sweeney

303 rides in the lifetime window · 118 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Feb 2013
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
22–303
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=303
68 (22%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=302 · 0.77 incl. margin
−127.99
£1 level stake
n=303 at SP · −42.2%
£251k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Rode mostly for Bob Buckler — 53% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 303 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Bob Buckler: 6.9% from 160 Claiming: 7.8%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −68.37 to a £1 stake over 118 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Bob Buckler supplied 53% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.84). The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (16.2%, n=37) and beyond 3m (13.3%, n=45). The market has also underrated the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 1.30 across 57 rides (12.3% strike, +27.88 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 38 rides, 7.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.27 across 59 rides (1.7% strike, −47.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.9%−1.4
n=118 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −68.37
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+21.3
n=28 · A/E 2.19 · £1 +20.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
1.6%−5.7
n=62 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −50.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=14 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −0.62
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.8%+0.5
n=283 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −107.99
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.4%−5.9
n=71 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −66.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 16.2% vs 7.3% · n=37
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 7.3% · n=38
Beyond 3m 13.3% vs 7.3% · n=45
On Good to Soft going 1.7% vs 7.3% · n=59
Off a 8-14-day break 12.3% vs 7.3% · n=57
In Flat races 2.2% vs 7.3% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 122 9 7.4% −33.12
Chase 101 11 10.9% −30.37
Flat 45 1 2.2% −34.00
NH Flat 35 1 2.9% −30.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 82 7 8.5% −2.25
Soft 68 5 7.4% −33.00
Good to Soft 59 1 1.7% −47.00
Good to Firm 37 6 16.2% +0.63
Heavy 27 1 3.7% −23.25
Standard (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00
Firm 6 2 33.3% +0.88

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 23 1 4.3% −11.00
Wincanton 22 2 9.1% −14.62
Fontwell 19 2 10.5% +30.00
Plumpton 19 3 15.8% +3.38
Taunton 19 1 5.3% −14.50
Cheltenham 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Ascot 14 2 14.3% +2.00
Ffos Las 14 2 14.3% −5.75
Chepstow 13 1 7.7% −6.00
Towcester 13 2 15.4% −2.50
Newton Abbot 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Hereford 11 0 0% −11.00
Newbury 10 0 0% −10.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Kempton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 92 9 9.8% −29.25
Class 5 83 3 3.6% −41.62
Class 3 50 5 10% −20.62
Class 6 40 1 2.5% −29.00
Class 1 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Class 2 15 3 20% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 5 21.7% 0.89 −7.24
2nd–3rd fav 59 8 13.6% 0.90 −14.75
4th–6th fav 76 8 10.5% 1.31 +5.00
7th+ in betting 145 1 0.7% 0.24 −111.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.2% completed · 223 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 101 84.2% 4 5 6 0 1
Hurdle 122 86.1% 4 1 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ethiopia (GB) 18 3 5 4 Jul 11
The Sawyer (BEL) 17 2 4 10 Mar 12
Cullahill (IRE) 14 2 4 15 Apr 12
Flag Flier (GB) 9 0 3 12 Apr 12
Comadoir (IRE) 7 1 2 22 Feb 13
Domino Dancer (IRE) 7 3 3 22 Aug 12
Ultravox (USA) 7 3 3 25 Feb 12
Lavenoak Lad (GB) 7 1 3 24 Feb 12
Curragh Dancer (FR) 7 1 2 11 Apr 11
Ballygulleen (IRE) 7 1 1 18 Apr 10
Ballyegan (IRE) 6 0 3 1 Mar 11
Over The Flow (GB) 6 0 2 6 May 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 118 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
14331029250001400
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardBob Buckler
53% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.84
TrainerRWSR£1
Bob Buckler 160 11 6.9% −74.87
Simon Burrough 38 3 7.9% −24.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
22
Archived wins
£251k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 12 wins
The Sawyer (BEL) — Victorchandler.com Handicap Chase Ascot · Jan 2010 · Class 2
£43,834
The Sawyer (BEL) — Betfair Trophy Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Jan 2010 · Class 1
£28,505
Ultravox (USA) — Watch Racing UK On Sky432 'Fixed Brush' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Apr 2011 · Class 2
£13,010
Notable horses
Ethiopia (GB) Domino Dancer (IRE) Ultravox (USA) The Sawyer (BEL) Cullahill (IRE) Digital Media (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fleetwood (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 14.5% from 159. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 164. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 159.
Silver Patriarch (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Alflora (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Good Thyne (USA) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 5.6% of 503 runs since 2008 (69 horses).
Overbury (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Shambo (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.1% of 267 runs since 2008 (36 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 303 · newest first

The latest 50 of 303 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 September 2008 to 22 February 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Feb 13 Lingfield (AW) Comadoir (IRE)T: Jo Crowley Blue Square Bet HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 4/1F
28 Dec 12 Lingfield (AW) Comadoir (IRE)T: Jo Crowley 32 Bonus At 32Red.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 33/1
14 Dec 12 Lingfield (AW) Everybody Knows (GB)T: Jo Crowley 32Red.com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 20/1
05 Dec 12 Kempton (AW) Comadoir (IRE)T: Jo Crowley Book W.H.W.F. Tickets On 0844 579 3008 Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 14/1
22 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Everybody Knows (GB)T: Jo Crowley 32Red Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 33/1
21 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Sakhee's Pearl (GB)T: Jo Crowley Back Or Lay At betdaq.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 6/1
10 Nov 12 Doncaster Al's Memory (IRE)T: David Evans Betfred 'Bigger And Better' Goals Galore Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 19 ran 7th 18/1
07 Nov 12 Kempton (AW) Sakhee's Pearl (GB)T: Jo Crowley Back Or Lay At betdaq.com HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 8/1
31 Oct 12 Lingfield (AW) Opus Dei (GB)T: Alan McCabe attheraces.com Breeders' Cup Site Now Live Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 10th 16/1
27 Oct 12 Doncaster Al's Memory (IRE)T: David Evans Universal Recycling Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 17/2
26 Oct 12 Doncaster Duster (GB)T: Hughie Morrison Artsign Apprentice Handicap (Str)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 9/1
25 Oct 12 Southwell (AW) Toothache (GB)T: Garry Woodward Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 16/1
23 Oct 12 Lingfield (AW) Madame Scarlett (IRE)T: Jo Crowley New Lingfield Park Owners Group Maiden Auction Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 66/1
19 Oct 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Missing Agent (GB)T: David Evans 32Red Casino NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/1
19 Oct 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Dark Lane (GB)T: David Evans 32Red Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 4/1
12 Oct 12 Bath Temuco (IRE)T: David Evans 32Red.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 25/1
09 Oct 12 Brighton Lady Romanza (IRE)T: Brendan Powell Hardings Catering Services Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 6/1
28 Sep 12 Wolverhampton (AW) Madame Scarlett (IRE)T: Jo Crowley Like Us On Facebook Wolverhampton Racecourse Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 66/1
26 Sep 12 Kempton (AW) Wood Meister (GB)T: Kevin Tork Betdaq Casino Games Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 100/1
17 Sep 12 Brighton Comadoir (IRE)T: Jo Crowley Money Back On England T20. BetVictor.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Firm · 7 ran 3rd 7/2J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nathan Sweeney's strike rate?
Nathan Sweeney has won 22 of 303 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Nathan Sweeney ride most for?
Bob Buckler, with 160 rides since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (6.9%).
What is Nathan Sweeney's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 302 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).