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Trainer profile

Carole Ikin

90 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2016 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–90
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=90
9 (10%)
Placed
0.61
Fair A/E
n=90 · 0.52 incl. margin
−48.00
£1 level stake
n=90 at SP · −53.3%
£10,375
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%+1.2
n=58 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 0% vs 2.2% · n=44
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.2% · n=37
In Hurdle races 2.9% vs 2.2% · n=70 · A/E 0.74
In Class 5 1.7% vs 2.2% · n=58 · A/E 0.46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 70 2 2.9% −28.00
Chase 18 0 0% −18.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 44 0 0% −44.00
Good to Firm 18 1 5.6% +11.00
Good to Soft 15 0 0% −15.00
Soft 11 1 9.1% +2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 18 0 0% −18.00
Southwell 11 0 0% −11.00
Stratford 10 1 10% +19.00
Towcester 10 0 0% −10.00
Uttoxeter 10 0 0% −10.00
Fakenham 5 0 0% −5.00
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Hereford 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontwell 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 58 1 1.7% −45.00
Class 4 30 1 3.3% −1.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 23 1 4.3% 0.83 −10.00
7th+ in betting 63 1 1.6% 0.63 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.3% completed · 88 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 18 50% 1 3 5 0 0
Hurdle 70 84.3% 0 0 10 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tarkesar (IRE)from P A Blockley 24 1 3 31 Mar 12
Massams Lane (GB)from George Baker 20 1 2 25 Jun 14
Satindra (IRE)from Conor Dore 17 0 2 12 Feb 12
Shinjiru (USA)from P A Blockley 6 0 0 11 May 08
Mix N Match (GB)from Polly Gundry · then Nick Ayliffe 5 0 1 23 Jul 14
Mirage Prince (IRE)from Simon Lewis 3 0 0 11 Aug 11
Titfer (IRE)from John Holt · then Gerald Ham 3 0 0 3 Jun 09
Rime Avec Gentil (FR)from Bernard Llewellyn 2 0 0 21 Sep 14
Velvet Cloud (IRE) 2 0 1 2 Jul 14
Longwood Lad (IRE)from P T Flavin 2 0 0 10 Sep 13
Fear Anti (IRE)from Gerard Cully 2 0 0 28 Dec 09
Thenford Lad (IRE)from Tim Vaughan 2 0 0 28 Jun 09
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P A Blockley (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000800025
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Quinlan 26 1 3.8% −13.00
Tom Messenger 10 0 0% −10.00
Nathan Sweeney 7 0 0% −7.00
David Bass 6 1 16.7% +23.00
Miss Gina Andrews 5 0 0% −5.00
Alain Cawley 5 0 0% −5.00
Matt Griffiths 4 0 0% −4.00
Peter Carberry 3 0 0% −3.00
Jason Maguire 2 0 0% −2.00
Tom Cheesman 2 0 0% −2.00
Adam Wedge 2 0 0% −2.00
Lee Edwards 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£13,283
Prize money
2009
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Massams Lane (GB) — Bpm Media Handicap Hurdle Stratford · Aug 2009 · Class 4
£3,903
Tarkesar (IRE) — digibet.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Dec 2008 · Class 5
£2,740
Notable horses
Tarkesar (IRE) Massams Lane (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Desert Prince (IRE) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Lahib (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Lil's Boy (USA) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 6.2% of 401 runs since 2008 (48 horses).
Broad Brush (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 0% of 6 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Fath (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 145 · newest first

The latest 50 of 145 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 June 2005 to 31 August 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Aug 16 Southwell Runitagainsam (GB)J: Alain Cawley Join At The Races On Facebook 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 100/1
21 Sep 14 Uttoxeter Rime Avec Gentil (FR)J: Alain Cawley Brewers Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1
09 Sep 14 Worcester Duchess of Doom (IRE)J: Alain Cawley Big Macmillan Coffee Morning Raceday 26th September Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran PU 100/1
06 Sep 14 Stratford Rime Avec Gentil (FR)J: Alain Cawley Andy Townsend Memorial Supported By Pertemps Network Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 9th 20/1
23 Jul 14 Worcester Mix N Match (GB)J: Mikey Ennis Worcester News Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 13th 25/1
02 Jul 14 Worcester Velvet Cloud (IRE)J: Peter Carberry BellBet.com Offers You World Cup Value Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 50/1
25 Jun 14 Worcester Massams Lane (GB)J: Alain Cawley World Cup Live Updates At footballscores.com Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 100/1
10 Jun 14 Worcester Velvet Cloud (IRE)J: Peter Carberry 32Red Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 100/1
10 Sep 13 Worcester Longwood Lad (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Download Our Iphone App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 50/1
28 Aug 13 Worcester Longwood Lad (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan A & A Racing Oncourse Bookmakers Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 100/1
18 Oct 12 Uttoxeter Mix N Match (GB)J: Miss Gina Andrews BetVictor Thank TheDerbyWalk And RacingTips Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 7/1
12 Sep 12 Uttoxeter Massams Lane (GB)J: Joe Cornwall 32Red Casino Conditional Jockeys' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran PU 150/1
30 Aug 12 Stratford Massams Lane (GB)J: Nathan Sweeney At The Races Virgin 534 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 50/1
29 Aug 12 Worcester Mix N Match (GB)J: Nathan Sweeney Book Christmas Parties At Worcester Racecourse Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 25/1
21 Aug 12 Worcester Mix N Match (GB)J: Matt Griffiths Dine In The Severn Restaurant Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 17 ran 2nd 66/1
18 Aug 12 Market Rasen Massams Lane (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Echo And Telegraphs 'Hands And Heels' Selling Hurdle (Conditionals And Amateurs)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 150/1
24 Jul 12 Bangor-on-Dee Mix N Match (GB)J: Matt Griffiths Flintshire Mind Wellbeing Centre Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 50/1
31 Mar 12 Stratford Tarkesar (IRE)J: Nathan Sweeney Tim Dawes Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 66/1
27 Mar 12 Hereford Massams Lane (GB)J: Nathan Sweeney Thermolast Roofing Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 13/2
15 Mar 12 Towcester Tarkesar (IRE)J: Nathan Sweeney Free Bets At Gg.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Carole Ikin's strike rate?
Carole Ikin has won 2 of 90 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Carole Ikin's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 90 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).