What is Ned Curtis's strike rate?

Ned Curtis has won 47 of 442 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ned Curtis do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 5 wins from 48 rides (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ned Curtis ride most for?

Nicky Henderson, with 89 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (21.3%).

What is Ned Curtis's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 441 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ned Curtis

442 rides in the lifetime window · 260 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2021

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

47–442

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=442

124 (28%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=441 · 0.83 incl. margin

−134.62

£1 level stake

n=441 at SP · −30.5%

£285k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, across both codes, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (51 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 442 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 34.9% when favourite Nicky Henderson: 21.3% from 89 LTO winners: 19.6% Claiming: 11% Rode the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.6% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.87), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=85, Fair A/E 0.72). Nicky Henderson supplied 20% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.3% vs 10.6%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in NH Flat races (25%, n=36) and on Good to Soft going (19.6%, n=46). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 3% over 67 rides, 7.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10%−0.6

n=260 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −88.99

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.6%+9.0

n=51 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −0.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.8%−0.8

n=92 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −30.30

When favourite

34.9%

n=43 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −10.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11%+0.4

n=383 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −113.12

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−5.9

n=85 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −48.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.6

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In NH Flat races 25% vs 10.6% · n=36

With Nicky Henderson 21.3% vs 10.6% · n=89

On last-time-out winners 19.6% vs 10.6% · n=51

On Good to Soft going 19.6% vs 10.6% · n=46

Over 6f – 7f 3% vs 10.6% · n=67

In Class 4 16.2% vs 10.6% · n=74

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 264 24 9.1% −45.63

Hurdle 126 12 9.5% −67.63

NH Flat 36 9 25% −12.09

Chase 16 2 12.5% −9.27

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 137 9 6.6% −75.51

Soft 88 7 8% −54.75

Good 84 11 13.1% −35.05

Good to Firm 50 6 12% −10.87

Good to Soft 46 9 19.6% +18.81

Heavy 32 4 12.5% +12.75

Firm 5 1 20% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 54 3 5.6% −18.00

Lingfield 48 5 10.4% −24.13

Wolverhampton (AW) 27 1 3.7% −25.38

Auteuil (FR) 15 0 0% −15.00

Windsor 13 2 15.4% +11.00

Newbury 13 3 23.1% +9.50

Huntingdon 12 2 16.7% −5.27

Warwick 11 3 27.3% +10.00

Cheltenham 10 0 0% −10.00

Brighton 10 2 20% +18.00

Fontwell 10 3 30% −2.75

Leicester 9 1 11.1% −6.25

Kempton 9 1 11.1% −6.75

Sandown 9 1 11.1% −4.00

Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 157 18 11.5% −36.80

Class 5 112 11 9.8% −17.25

Class 4 74 12 16.2% −16.07

Class 3 45 5 11.1% −22.50

Class 2 11 1 9.1% +0.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 51 16 31.4% 0.94 −13.50

2nd–3rd fav 98 13 13.3% 0.80 −38.62

4th–6th fav 132 13 9.8% 1.25 −9.50

7th+ in betting 160 5 3.1% 0.92 −73.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gypsy Rider (GB) 10 1 4 14 Nov 14

Rainbow Riches (IRE) 8 0 0 21 Feb 13

Polly's Pursuit (IRE) 7 1 4 26 Apr 18

Balmoral Castle (GB) 6 3 4 4 May 15

Classic Mission (GB) 6 0 5 18 Jan 15

Claude Greenwood (GB) 6 0 1 19 Mar 14

High 'n Dry (IRE) 6 0 2 9 Feb 13

Play The Blues (IRE) 6 0 1 9 Jan 13

Dispol Grand (IRE) 6 2 2 22 Oct 12

Spirit of Coniston (GB) 6 0 0 26 Jun 12

Clean Bowled (IRE) 6 4 5 11 Apr 12

Laughing Luis (GB) 5 2 2 2 Mar 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 260 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1151691492277101010

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNicky Henderson

20% of all rides
21.3% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Nicky Henderson 89 19 21.3% −20.32

Paul Midgley 64 6 9.4% +13.00

Roger Curtis 61 8 13.1% +0.37

Jonathan Portman 45 6 13.3% −1.50

Kim Bailey 31 4 12.9% −11.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

£285k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 13 wins

Protek Des Flos (FR) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Dec 2017 · Class 2

£11,574

Balmoral Castle (GB) — Oldham Seals 50th Anniversary Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2014 · Class 3

£9,338

Hes No Trouble (IRE) — Gravitas Magazine Handicap Chase Huntingdon · Nov 2019 · Class 4

£7,798

Notable horses

Clean Bowled (IRE) Balmoral Castle (GB) Dispol Grand (IRE) Laughing Luis (GB) Malton Rose (IRE) Nomoreblondes (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ishiguru (USA) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.

Halling (USA) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 50% · 5–10

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,784 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Selkirk (USA) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

Westerner (GB) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,826 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Princely Heir (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 6.7% of 420 runs since 2008 (23 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 442 · newest first

The latest 50 of 442 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 November 2011 to 9 December 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Dec 21 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Minella For Me (IRE)T: D Cottin Prix Domingo Perea (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 12/1

25 Nov 21 Compiegne (FR) Grey Byrd (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Vertige (Chase) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 26/1

25 Nov 21 Compiegne (FR) Wardama (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix de Craon (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 61/1

25 Nov 21 Compiegne (FR) Cuvee Du Golfe (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix du Treport (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 40/1

14 Nov 21 Auteuil (FR) Grey Byrd (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Robert de Lipowski (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 40/1

17 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Princesse D'Angers (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Sapin (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 5 ran 4th 26/1

07 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Valse A Quat'temps (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Amati (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 10 ran 8th 77/10

07 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Link And Ball (FR)T: E Lecoiffier Prix Achille-Fould (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 41/1

23 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Kenzya (FR)T: D Cottin Prix Colombelles (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 9/1

19 Jun 21 Auteuil (FR) Ich Bin Da Tek (FR)T: Hugo Merienne Prix Port Said (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 35/1

29 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Patricien (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Gopal (Hurdle) (Claimer) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran UR 76/10

29 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Enrique Adventure (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Valmajour (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 88/1

08 May 21 Auteuil (FR) Patricien (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Fauche le Pre (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 81/1

06 May 21 Compiegne (FR) Le Meteque (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 8th 12/1

21 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Forlas D'Airy (FR)T: D Gleize Prix Arthur Veil-Picard (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran PU 148/1

12 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Air De Salsa (FR)T: J Merienne Prix de l'Ile de Re (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 63/1

04 Apr 21 Auteuil (FR) Patricien (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Kashnil (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 53/1

03 Apr 21 Fontainebleau (FR) Doctor Dex (IRE)T: Tom George Prix Entreprise S.N. Dubuisson (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 7 ran 5th 10/1

01 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Patricien (FR)T: F-M Cottin Prix Orvilliers (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 9th 44/1

01 Apr 21 Compiegne (FR) Emak D'Airy (FR)T: Hugo Merienne Prix d'Abbeville (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran F 68/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ned Curtis's strike rate?: Ned Curtis has won 47 of 442 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ned Curtis do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 5 wins from 48 rides (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ned Curtis ride most for?: Nicky Henderson, with 89 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (21.3%).
What is Ned Curtis's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 441 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.