Neil Ryan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, across both codes, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.44). Rides mostly for Noel Meade — 48% of rides in the window.
Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 8.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.51 and +10.70 to a £1 stake over 115 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Noel Meade supplies 48% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.3% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.76) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (15.6%, n=45) and on Soft going (13.6%, n=44). The market has also underrated the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 1.50 across 73 rides (9.6% strike, +17.20 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 35 rides, 8.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tara Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2021, £23,600).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 118 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 118 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2019 to 10 August 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Neil Ryan's strike rate?
- Neil Ryan has won 10 of 118 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Neil Ryan ride most for?
- Noel Meade, with 57 rides since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.3%).
- What is Neil Ryan's Fair A/E?
- 1.44, from 118 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.