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Jockey profile

Neil Ryan

118 rides in the lifetime window · 86 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2025
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–118
Wins / Runs
8.5%
Strike rate
n=118
24 (20%)
Placed
1.44
n=118 · 1.16 incl. margin
+7.70
£1 level stake
n=118 at SP · +6.5%
£150k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, across both codes, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.44). Rides mostly for Noel Meade — 48% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 118 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.8% Noel Meade: 12.3% from 57 Claiming: 8.7%
The read

Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 8.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.51 and +10.70 to a £1 stake over 115 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Noel Meade supplies 48% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.3% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.76) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (15.6%, n=45) and on Soft going (13.6%, n=44). The market has also underrated the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 1.50 across 73 rides (9.6% strike, +17.20 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 35 rides, 8.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tara Handicap Hurdle at Navan (Dec 2021, £23,600).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.1%−0.4
n=86 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +19.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+2.6
n=9 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −4.80
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.8%+0.3
n=34 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +3.50
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 3.90 · £1 +7.20
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.7%+0.2
n=115 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +10.70
Big fields · 14+ runners
9%+0.5
n=67 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +25.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+11.5
n=5 · A/E 3.84 · £1 +12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 8.5% · n=35
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 15.6% vs 8.5% · n=45
On Soft going 13.6% vs 8.5% · n=44
With Noel Meade 12.3% vs 8.5% · n=57
On Good going 5.6% vs 8.5% · n=36
In Hurdle races 9.6% vs 8.5% · n=73 · A/E 1.50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 73 7 9.6% +17.20
Flat 31 3 9.7% +4.50
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 44 6 13.6% +11.50
Good 36 2 5.6% +13.00
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −2.00
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −7.80
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 15 2 13.3% +4.00
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Kilbeggan 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 7 2 28.6% +33.50
Dundalk (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 3 1 33.3% +4.50
Navan 3 1 33.3% +14.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 1 20% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 2 50% 2.70 +6.20
2nd–3rd fav 17 2 11.8% 0.83 −3.00
4th–6th fav 31 3 9.7% 1.38 +4.50
7th+ in betting 66 3 4.5% 1.87 +0.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 77 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 50% 0 2 0 0 0
Hurdle 73 87.7% 3 3 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mickey Cohen (IRE) 6 0 1 10 Aug 25
Charlie Luciano (IRE) 4 1 1 7 May 24
Skippin Court (IRE) 4 1 1 19 Aug 22
Saddle In The Rain (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Aug 22
I Don't Get It (IRE) 4 0 2 17 Mar 22
Poets Cottage (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Sep 24
Ben Thomson (IRE) 3 1 2 26 Dec 21
The Rebel County (IRE) 2 0 0 2 Jun 24
Costanuci (IRE) 2 1 2 2 Nov 23
Highland Charge (IRE) 2 1 1 5 Aug 23
Monoxide (GB) 2 0 0 18 Jun 23
Hudson Duster (IRE) 2 0 0 11 Jun 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 86 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00008021101750027
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNoel Meade
48% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.76
TrainerRWSR£1
Noel Meade 57 7 12.3% +40.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
10
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£150k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 4 wins
Futurum Regem (IRE) — Tara Handicap Hurdle (grade B) Navan · Dec 2021 · Grade B
£23,600
Lunar Power (IRE) — McHale Mayo Handicap Hurdle Ballinrobe · May 2023
£17,700
Highland Charge (IRE) — Writech Handicap Hurdle Kilbeggan · Jul 2023
£14,750

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Doyen (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,392 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
U S Navy Flag (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,419 runs since 2022 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 184.
Famous Name (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,514 runs since 2016 (102 horses).
Bobby's Kitten (USA) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,675 runs since 2020 (144 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,970 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,420 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 132.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 118 · newest first

The latest 50 of 118 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 April 2019 to 10 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 May 24 Killarney The Rebel County (IRE)T: Noel Meade Torc Travel Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil Ryan's strike rate?
Neil Ryan has won 10 of 118 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Neil Ryan ride most for?
Noel Meade, with 57 rides since 2008 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.3%).
What is Neil Ryan's Fair A/E?
1.44, from 118 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).