Rhys Flint
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 140 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (154 rides).
The record is strongest at Market Rasen (18.6%, n=43), clear of the rider's 10% baseline. It is weakest at Warwick (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.4% (n=154, Fair A/E 1.24), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=312, Fair A/E 0.60). John Flint supplied 24% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 0.96). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (26.3%, n=57). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Cleanevent Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham (Nov 2008, £28,505). Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,419 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,419 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 May 2007 to 15 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Rhys Flint's strike rate?
- Rhys Flint has won 141 of 1,408 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Rhys Flint do best at?
- Market Rasen by strike rate: 8 wins from 43 rides (18.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Rhys Flint ride most for?
- John Flint, with 340 rides since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (10.3%).
- What is Rhys Flint's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 1,403 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.