Richard Thomas
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 6% (32 rides).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=142, Fair A/E 0.34). John E Long supplied 22% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.9%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well over 1m5f – 2m (10.2%, n=49). The record read poorly on Soft going — 0% over 41 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 32redpoker.com Handicap at Epsom Downs (Oct 2005, £17,400). The standout partner of the record was Efisio Princess (GB) — 6 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,688 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,688 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 November 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Richard Thomas's strike rate?
- Richard Thomas has won 30 of 677 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richard Thomas do best at?
- Brighton by strike rate: 4 wins from 48 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Richard Thomas ride most for?
- John E Long, with 152 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.9%).
- What is Richard Thomas's Fair A/E?
- 0.83, from 674 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.