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Trainer profile

Daniel Kubler

713 runners in the lifetime window · 104 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2020 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
70–713
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=713
176 (25%)
Placed
1.04
n=710 · 0.90 incl. margin
−233.46
£1 level stake
n=713 at SP · −32.7%
£375k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 713 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun Fresh horses: 10.1% 45.3% when favourite George Downing: 6.5% from 93 Claiming riders: 10.1% Sent off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 1.2% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.37). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.56 and +23.75 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. George Downing rode 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.5% vs 9.8%, A/E 0.95). The yard also read well at trips under 6f (19.4%, n=103). The stable star of the record was Outrage (GB) — 8 wins from 38 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.1%+0.3
n=109 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +23.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.5%+2.7
n=24 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +25.00
Debutants · first career start
1.2%−8.6
n=81 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −68.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.5%−1.3
n=47 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −16.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.1%−2.7
n=14 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +7.00
When favourite
45.3%
n=53 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +16.41
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.1%+0.3
n=69 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −36.11
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 21.6% vs 9.8% · n=51
At trips under 6f 19.4% vs 9.8% · n=103
With Richard Kingscote 18.9% vs 9.8% · n=74
With debutants 1.2% vs 9.8% · n=81
On last-time-out winners 18.2% vs 9.8% · n=66
With Steve Drowne 0% vs 9.8% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 385 39 10.1% −136.05
Good to Firm 139 19 13.7% −22.26
Good 89 6 6.7% −16.00
Good to Soft 49 3 6.1% −35.90
Soft 36 1 2.8% −32.75
Firm 11 2 18.2% +13.50
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 121 14 11.6% −31.47
Kempton (AW) 114 8 7% −45.05
Chelmsford (AW) 61 4 6.6% −37.00
Lingfield (AW) 42 6 14.3% −16.15
Windsor 31 1 3.2% −25.00
Lingfield 29 4 13.8% −17.52
Newcastle (AW) 28 6 21.4% +8.62
Salisbury 26 3 11.5% −6.50
Chepstow 23 2 8.7% −4.50
Bath 21 2 9.5% +11.00
Brighton 21 6 28.6% +8.60
Goodwood 20 0 0% −20.00
Southwell (AW) 19 1 5.3% −15.00
Newbury 19 1 5.3% +15.00
Nottingham 16 1 6.3% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 284 23 8.1% −152.17
Class 6 265 37 14% −20.79
Class 4 118 8 6.8% −27.00
Class 3 20 2 10% −7.50
Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 63 25 39.7% 1.37 +12.41
2nd–3rd fav 135 23 17% 1.03 −19.87
4th–6th fav 247 14 5.7% 0.76 −109.00
7th+ in betting 268 8 3% 0.94 −117.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Outrage (GB)then Daniel & Claire Kubler 38 8 14 16 Jul 20
Chitra (GB)then Daniel & Claire Kubler 26 7 12 9 Jul 20
Passing Star (GB)from Charles Hills 19 1 3 17 Sep 18
Av A Word (GB) 18 4 8 29 Sep 17
Mutineer (GB) 17 2 4 24 Jan 18
Arishka (IRE) 15 2 5 14 Dec 19
Solent Meads (IRE) 15 1 3 27 Oct 17
Who'sthedaddy (GB) 15 2 3 23 Jul 16
Trimoulet (GB) 15 4 7 2 May 16
Karnage (IRE) 14 1 4 18 Oct 16
Shamiana (GB)from Gerard Butler 14 0 5 3 Mar 15
Permanent (GB)then Eric Alston 13 0 1 29 Aug 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 104 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eric Alston (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Daniel & Claire Kubler (5); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
961481111814116218
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGeorge Downing
13% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.95
RiderRWSR£1
George Downing 93 6 6.5% −47.00
Richard Kingscote 74 14 18.9% +12.10
Luke Morris 40 6 15% −9.27
Steve Drowne 34 0 0% −34.00
Timmy Murphy 34 3 8.8% −6.50
Tom Queally 31 3 9.7% −3.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
70
Archived wins
£375k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 11 wins
Outrage (GB) — Betway Sprint Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Jan 2019 · Class 3
£11,321
Outrage (GB) — Betway Sprint Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Nov 2018 · Class 3
£9,452
Involved (GB) — Thyme People Handicap Chester · Sep 2019 · Class 4
£6,728

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 18.2% · 8–44
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Duke Of Marmalade (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,539 runs since 2008 (307 horses).
Sea The Moon (GER) 24.1% · 7–29
Progeny have won 12% of 4,543 runs since 2008 (500 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 804.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,818 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Teofilo (IRE) 29.2% · 7–24
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,074 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.
Royal Applause (GB) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 713 · newest first

The latest 50 of 713 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 March 2012 to 16 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Jul 20 Bath Lovers' Gait (IRE)J: Liam Keniry visitbath.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Firm · 9 ran 1st 16/1
17 Jul 20 Chepstow Hydraulic (GB)J: Liam Keniry NB Civils & Surfacing Ltd Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 100/1
16 Jul 20 Sandown Outrage (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Claremont HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 40/1
26 Jun 20 Newmarket Chitra (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Heed Your Hunch At Betway HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 12/1
21 Jun 20 Wolverhampton (AW) King's Counsel (GB)J: Adam McNamara Standeford HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniel Kubler's strike rate?
Daniel Kubler has won 70 of 713 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel Kubler do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Daniel Kubler?
George Downing, with 93 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.5%).
What is Daniel Kubler's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 710 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).