Skip to content
Trainer profile

John E Long

92 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2024 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
6–92
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=92
20 (22%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=92 · 0.84 incl. margin
−16.50
£1 level stake
n=92 at SP · −17.9%
£47,406
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%+1.8
n=12 · A/E 2.01 · £1 −3.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+10.2
n=6 · A/E 4.72 · £1 +2.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−6.5
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 12.5% vs 6.5% · n=40
At Lingfield (AW) 12.1% vs 6.5% · n=33
Over 6f – 7f 9.6% vs 6.5% · n=52
On Standard (AW) going 8% vs 6.5% · n=75 · A/E 1.26
In Class 6 5.1% vs 6.5% · n=79 · A/E 0.71
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 75 6 8% +0.50
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 33 4 12.1% +8.50
Kempton (AW) 30 2 6.7% +4.00
Brighton 10 0 0% −10.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 79 4 5.1% −23.50
Class 5 9 2 22.2% +11.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 40 4 10% 1.46 +3.50
7th+ in betting 39 2 5.1% 1.67 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Magicinthemaking (USA)from Mike Murphy 21 2 6 21 Feb 24
So Chic (IRE)from Charles Hills · then Stephanie Cassidy 12 1 4 4 Sep 24
Cape Greco (USA)from Gay Kelleway 9 0 0 18 Jun 22
Knockout Blow (GB)from Jim Boyle · then Stephanie Cassidy 7 2 4 19 Jun 23
Libbretta (GB) 7 0 1 22 Sep 22
Laurentia (IRE)from Laura Mongan · then Stephanie Cassidy 4 1 1 13 Aug 24
Cativo Ragazzo (GB) 4 0 0 3 Mar 22
Kitty Bennet (GB)from Ed Walker · then Stephanie Cassidy 1 0 0 30 Aug 24
Ladywantaway (IRE)from Roger Fell 1 0 0 10 Mar 23
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Stephanie Cassidy (5); 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
806025170000170
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
George Rooke 24 3 12.5% +4.50
Rhys Clutterbuck 12 0 0% −12.00
Trevor Whelan 10 0 0% −10.00
David Probert 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Liam Wright 7 0 0% −7.00
Hollie Doyle 6 1 16.7% +13.00
Sam Hitchcott 4 0 0% −4.00
Rob Hornby 4 0 0% −4.00
Gina Mangan 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Daniel Muscutt 3 0 0% −3.00
Kieran O'Neill 2 0 0% −2.00
Marco Ghiani 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
65
Archived wins
£300k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cativo Cavallino (GB) — Quantem Consulting Handicap (AWT) Lingfield (AW) · Jun 2010 · Class 4
£5,828
For Life (IRE) — Graybury Lane Handicap Lingfield (AW) · May 2009 · Class 4
£5,828
For Life (IRE) — HBLB Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Oct 2007 · Class 4
£4,728

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Wildcat Heir (USA) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.9% of 59 runs since 2008 (2 horses).
Cable Bay (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,706 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 640. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Cape Blanco (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.2% of 364 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,797 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Lethal Force (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.2% from 356.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,058 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,058 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 4 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Sep 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Liam Wright Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 40/1
07 Aug 24 Brighton Arlo's Sunshine (GB)J: Liam Wright Star Sports Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John E Long's strike rate?
John E Long has won 6 of 92 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John E Long do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 runners (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is John E Long's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 92 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).