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Trainer profile

Dr Jon Scargill

80 runners in the last 5 seasons · 13 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–80
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=80
23 (29%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=80 · 0.78 incl. margin
−42.75
£1 level stake
n=80 at SP · −53.4%
£72,579
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.7%−1.1
n=26 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −7.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +0.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−8.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 2.9% vs 8.8% · n=34
In Class 6 11.9% vs 8.8% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 49 4 8.2% −30.88
Good 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% −2.75
Soft 5 2 40% +10.88
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 18 2 11.1% −10.38
Chelmsford City (AW) 18 2 11.1% −7.50
Kempton (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Yarmouth 8 1 12.5% −4.75
Leicester 6 1 16.7% −3.12
Southwell (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Windsor 4 1 25% +9.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Brighton 2 0 0% −2.00
Nottingham 1 0 0% −1.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 42 5 11.9% −12.87
Class 5 25 1 4% −19.50
Class 4 11 1 9.1% −8.38
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.07 +0.63
2nd–3rd fav 15 3 20% 1.25 −2.38
4th–6th fav 21 1 4.8% 0.60 −8.00
7th+ in betting 33 0 0% 0.00 −33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Astronomica (GB) 18 2 7 12 Oct 26
Placated (GB) 16 3 8 13 Jun 24
Vertical (GB)then Sarah Humphrey 10 0 1 14 Sep 23
Floridian (GB) 9 0 1 9 Jan 25
Love Poems (IRE) 7 1 4 17 Nov 22
Nothing But Love (GB) 5 1 1 23 Sep 26
Queen's Music (IRE)from Jack Channon 3 0 0 31 Aug 24
Didactic Patrick (GB) 3 0 0 18 Jan 24
La Poderosa (GB) 3 0 0 22 Sep 22
Mister Swift (GB) 2 0 0 10 Mar 22
Disarming (IRE) 2 0 0 2 Feb 22
Magnificentforce (GB)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 1 0 1 15 Jan 24
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00252520132008800
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGeorge Wood
46% of all rides
8.1% SR · A/E 1.02
RiderRWSR£1
George Wood 37 3 8.1% −15.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
48
Archived wins
£296k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Big Noise (GB) — John Smith's No Nonsense Handicap Leicester · Jul 2009 · Class 3
£10,904
Placated (GB) — Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 5
£10,468
Bobby Charles (GB) — Weatherbys Insurance Handicap Yarmouth · Oct 2005 · Class 4
£6,890
Notable horses
The Ginger Berry (GB) Big Noise (GB) Bobby Charles (GB) Asia Minor (IRE) Tacid (GB) Placated (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Belardo (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,703 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Archipenko (USA) 18.8% · 3–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,751 runs since 2008 (203 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 127.
Al Kazeem (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,262 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 127. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 415.
Postponed (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,562 runs since 2008 (164 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.1% from 450. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.1% from 137. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.5% from 200.
Camelot (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,680 runs since 2008 (752 horses).
Land Force (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,453 runs since 2008 (155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 635 · newest first

The latest 50 of 635 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 12 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Astronomica (GB)J: Robert Havlin Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 17/2
23 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Nothing But Love (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 12/1
01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Nothing But Love (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Daly Accounting Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 13/8
06 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Nothing But Love (GB)J: George Wood Knight Frank Cambridge Connections Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 18/1
06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Nothing But Love (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Expert Entertainment & Event Solutions Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 66/1
06 Jun 26 Lingfield Nothing But Love (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Free Tips On attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7.5f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 33/1
24 Jul 25 Doncaster Astronomica (GB)J: George Wood Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap (Rnd) (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 8th 2/1F
04 Jun 25 Ripon Astronomica (GB)J: George Wood Energy Oasis Your Net Zero Partner HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 7th 12/1
09 Jan 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Floridian (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Download The bet365 App Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 16/1
19 Dec 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Floridian (GB)J: Frederick Larson Sky Bet Matchday Assist Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 40/1
01 Nov 24 Newmarket Astronomica (GB)J: George Wood Cologne's 63rd Preis Von Europa HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good · 14 ran 4th 13/2
15 Oct 24 Leicester Astronomica (GB)J: George Wood leicesterraces Next Meeting Monday 28th October HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 16/5F
03 Oct 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Floridian (GB)J: George Wood Betfair Exchange Selling HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 15 ran 12th 50/1
14 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) Astronomica (GB)J: George Wood Libra Utility Engineering Services Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 7/1
11 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) Floridian (GB)J: George Wood Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 50/1
31 Aug 24 Lingfield (AW) Queen's Music (IRE)J: William Carver Libra Utility Construction Services Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 80/1
30 Jul 24 Yarmouth Queen's Music (IRE)J: George Wood Happy Retirement Robert Cooper Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 66/1
19 Jun 24 Nottingham Astronomica (GB)J: George Wood Host Your Conference At Nottingham Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 15/2
13 Jun 24 Yarmouth Placated (GB)J: George Wood Quinnbet Acca Bonus HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 5/1
27 May 24 Leicester Queen's Music (IRE)J: George Wood Rainbows Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dr Jon Scargill's strike rate?
Dr Jon Scargill has won 7 of 80 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Dr Jon Scargill in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Dr Jon Scargill's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 80 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).