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Trainer profile

T J Nagle Jr

67 runners in the last 5 seasons · 12 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 95 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–67
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=67
16 (24%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=67 · 0.63 incl. margin
−41.50
£1 level stake
n=67 at SP · −61.9%
£43,390
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.5%+2.0
n=31 · A/E 1.91 · £1 −17.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 4.5% · n=34
On Soft going 0% vs 4.5% · n=32
With claiming riders up 6.5% vs 4.5% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 35 1 2.9% −29.00
Chase 18 2 11.1% +1.50
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 32 0 0% −32.00
Good 13 2 15.4% +6.50
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 12 0 0% −12.00
Clonmel 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Limerick 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 4 1 25% +8.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 0.86 −1.00
4th–6th fav 20 2 10% 1.39 −0.50
7th+ in betting 38 0 0% 0.00 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.4% completed · 53 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 18 72.2% 0 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 35 80% 0 1 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Noble Talent (IRE) 24 2 5 2 Aug 26
Rebel Waltz (IRE) 11 1 4 10 Oct 23
Unheralded (IRE) 9 0 2 11 Jun 23
Whatchukno (IRE) 5 0 0 12 May 25
Fongs Way (IRE)then Jimmy Frost 4 0 0 11 Dec 22
Miss Blanco (IRE) 3 0 1 2 Aug 25
Getamotive (IRE) 3 0 1 3 May 24
Four Horsemen (IRE)then Karl Thornton 3 0 3 11 Apr 22
Johns Wood (IRE) 2 0 0 7 Aug 23
Croissant (IRE) 1 0 0 29 May 25
Tobi Kanobee (IRE)then Claire Hitch 1 0 0 28 Oct 24
Oh Really (IRE) 1 0 0 29 May 24
All 12 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 12 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 12 had their first archived run here.

3 have since run for another yard; 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
500000200000200
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Geoghegan 16 2 12.5% −2.50
Danny Mullins 13 1 7.7% −1.00
J J Slevin 10 0 0% −10.00
Mr Finian Maguire 6 0 0% −6.00
Anna McGuinness 3 0 0% −3.00
Cian Quirke 2 0 0% −2.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr H C Swan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr P Verling 1 0 0% −1.00
Ms I M Kingston 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr P Stefani 1 0 0% −1.00
Benjamin P Kennedy 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
51
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£699k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Bishop Looney (IRE) — Paddypower.com Cork Grand National Handicap Chase (0-150) (grade B) Cork · Nov 2011 · Grade B
£32,500
The Bishop Looney (IRE) — O'Connell Transport Cork Stayers Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) Cork · Dec 2008 · Grade 3
£26,040
The Sneezer (IRE) — Shamrock Handicap Chase (grade B) Gowran Park · Mar 2012 · Grade B
£24,375
Notable horses
The Bishop Looney (IRE) Alickadoo (IRE) The Sneezer (IRE) Danse Away (IRE) Rebel Waltz (IRE) Best Value (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 6.7% · 3–45
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,985 runs since 2016 (1,030 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Gatewood (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 6.6% of 106 runs since 2022 (19 horses).
Dansant (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.9% of 545 runs since 2014 (64 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.8% from 110.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,871 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 722 · newest first

The latest 50 of 722 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 2 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Noble Talent (IRE)J: J J Slevin Kinlay Hostel Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 80/1
06 Jun 26 Punchestown Noble Talent (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Ladbrokes 'Get More With Racing Bet Builder' Handicap Chase25f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 33/1
10 Apr 26 Wexford Noble Talent (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Visitwexford.ie Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 18/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Noble Talent (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Social Packs For The Easter Festival Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 25/1
02 Mar 26 Leopardstown Noble Talent (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Dublin National Handicap Chase28.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran PU 50/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Noble Talent (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase19.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 16th 28/1
04 Oct 25 Gowran Park Noble Talent (IRE)J: Danny Mullins William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Chase20f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 8/1
02 Aug 25 Galway Miss Blanco (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Salthill Hotel Irish EBF Mares Flat Race17f · Good · 15 ran 15th 40/1
10 Jun 25 Sligo Miss Blanco (IRE)J: Mr P A King Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 20/1
29 May 25 Limerick Croissant (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/1
17 May 25 Wexford Miss Blanco (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 28/1
12 May 25 Killarney Whatchukno (IRE)J: Robbie Geoghegan Kerry Tool Hire Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 300/1
25 Apr 25 Kilbeggan Whatchukno (IRE)J: Robbie Geoghegan KilbegganRaces.com Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 11th 150/1
20 Apr 25 Cork Whatchukno (IRE)J: Robbie Geoghegan O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 250/1
01 Mar 25 Navan Noble Talent (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Nas Na Riogh Novice Handicap Chase (Listed)20.5f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 10/1
15 Feb 25 Gowran Park Noble Talent (IRE)J: Danny Mullins O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Careys Cottage Cup Handicap Chase20f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 9/2
31 Dec 24 Punchestown Noble Talent (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 7/2
26 Dec 24 Limerick Whatchukno (IRE)J: Mr P Verling JJ Kavanagh Buses Mares Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 9th 125/1
19 Nov 24 Limerick Whatchukno (IRE)J: Ms I M Kingston Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 66/1
09 Nov 24 Gowran Park Noble Talent (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Chase20f · Good · 16 ran 1st 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is T J Nagle Jr's strike rate?
T J Nagle Jr has won 3 of 67 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is T J Nagle Jr's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 67 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).