As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2007100% of rides over jumps
Archive record 2005–2007
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 2 Jan 2005 to 8 Jun 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode 125 times in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.75).
Deterministic profile computed from 125 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 6.7%
The read
The market has consistently overbetclaiming rides: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −6.57 to a £1 stake over 105 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well on Good going (10.6%, n=47). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.56 across 85 rides (3.5% strike, −19.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −2.07
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.7%+1.1
n=105 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −6.57
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.9%+0.3
n=51 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −17.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Nicky Henderson13.9% vs 5.6% · n=36
On Good going10.6% vs 5.6% · n=47
On Good to Soft going2.9% vs 5.6% · n=34
In Hurdle races3.5% vs 5.6% · n=85
Over 1m5f – 2m7.1% vs 5.6% · n=56 · A/E 0.75
When claiming6.7% vs 5.6% · n=105 · A/E 0.84
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle8533.5%−19.00
NH Flat23313%+6.93
Chase1715.9%−14.50
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good47510.6%−0.57
Good to Soft3412.9%−8.00
Good to Firm1600%−16.00
Soft1500%−15.00
Heavy1119.1%+15.00
Firm100%−1.00
Standard (AW)100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon13323.1%+28.83
Newbury700%−7.00
Worcester7114.3%−4.90
Kempton600%−6.00
Fontwell600%−6.00
Taunton600%−6.00
Towcester600%−6.00
Exeter5120%+21.00
Ludlow500%−5.00
Cheltenham500%−5.00
Warwick500%−5.00
Plumpton400%−4.00
Doncaster400%−4.00
Newton Abbot400%−4.00
Wincanton400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 44324.7%−6.50
Class 33126.5%+1.00
Class 52200%−22.00
Class 617317.6%+12.93
Class 1500%−5.00
Class 2500%−5.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite9333.3%1.09+0.93
2nd–3rd fav1516.7%0.40−12.50
4th–6th fav3100%0.00−31.00
7th+ in betting7034.3%1.39+16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m5647.1%+7.93
2m1f – 2m4f4324.7%−11.00
2m5f – 3m2214.5%−19.50
Over 3m400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200526311.5%+8.10
20066523.1%−29.17
20073425.9%−5.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6734.5%−1.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners4012.5%−14.00
14-16 runners2713.7%−1.00
17+ runners2428.3%−16.17
8-10 runners2229.1%+14.50
5-7 runners1119.1%−8.90
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
2186000·000120
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
7
Archived wins
£53,106
Prize money
2005
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
All Star (GER) — totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle (0-120) Huntingdon · Nov 2005 · Class 3
£13,812
Maharbal (FR) — Conference Centre Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Jan 2005 · Class 3
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,041 runs since 2005 (151 horses).
Presenting (GB)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.9% of 22,745 runs since 2005 (1,876 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24% from 150.
Polish Precedent (USA)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,165 runs since 2005 (166 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.4% from 264.
Bob Back (USA)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,246 runs since 2005 (458 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.8% from 461.
Dushyantor (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,070 runs since 2005 (163 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 188. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.6% from 140.
Anshan (GB)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.9% of 6,232 runs since 2005 (572 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.3% from 862.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 125 · newest first
The latest 50 of 125 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 June 2007.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Sam Curling's strike rate?
Sam Curling has won 7 of 125 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is Sam Curling's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 125 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Sam Curling·SR 5.6%·A/E 0.75
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