Shane Markey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, across both codes, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.40). Rides mostly for Ross O'Sullivan — 51% of rides in the window.
The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 1% strike, Fair A/E 0.22 and −92.50 to a £1 stake over 102 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ross O'Sullivan supplies 51% of the rides and edges the rider's average (4.6% vs 2.3%, A/E 0.58). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 97 rides (0% strike, −97.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 172 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 172 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 July 2022 to 9 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Shane Markey's strike rate?
- Shane Markey has won 4 of 172 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Shane Markey do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 42 rides (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Shane Markey ride most for?
- Ross O'Sullivan, with 87 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.6%).
- Is Shane Markey in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Shane Markey's Fair A/E?
- 0.40, from 172 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.