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Jockey profile

Shane O'Callaghan

935 rides in the lifetime window · 434 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
57–935
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=935
226 (24%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=935 · 0.72 incl. margin
−393.40
£1 level stake
n=935 at SP · −42.1%
£954k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (59 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 935 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 6.3% 20.5% when favourite T M Walsh: 7% from 128 LTO winners: 10.2% Rides the favourite in 4% of races
The read

It is weakest at Down Royal (0% over 44 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 10.2% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.76). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −300.37 to a £1 stake over 434 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. T M Walsh supplies 14% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 0.81). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the HSS Hire Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2023, £59,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.7%−2.4
n=434 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −300.37
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10.2%+4.1
n=59 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −36.45
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.3%+0.2
n=205 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −35.50
When favourite
20.5%
n=39 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −16.31
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.8%−0.3
n=896 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −448.28
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.6%−0.5
n=515 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −164.07
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.1%−1.0
n=39 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Norman Lee 14.3% vs 6.1% · n=35
At Down Royal 0% vs 6.1% · n=44
With first-time headgear 0% vs 6.1% · n=43
At Clonmel 0% vs 6.1% · n=39
With debutants 0% vs 6.1% · n=34
With headgear back on 11.1% vs 6.1% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 632 38 6% −255.15
Chase 274 18 6.6% −135.25
Flat 19 0 0% −19.00
NH Flat 10 1 10% +16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 352 19 5.4% −197.12
Good 281 16 5.7% −109.79
Good to Soft 173 15 8.7% −20.24
Heavy 123 7 5.7% −60.25
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 105 3 2.9% −61.12
Limerick 78 3 3.8% −64.75
Downpatrick 71 7 9.9% +2.50
Tramore 64 6 9.4% −21.50
Ballinrobe 53 3 5.7% −37.95
Wexford 48 3 6.3% −24.00
Down Royal 44 0 0% −44.00
Fairyhouse 44 4 9.1% −5.12
Clonmel 39 0 0% −39.00
Cork 38 1 2.6% −33.67
Kilbeggan 38 4 10.5% −11.67
Killarney 37 2 5.4% −25.00
Sligo 34 3 8.8% −6.00
Thurles 30 2 6.7% −18.50
Gowran Park 28 2 7.1% −8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 41 2 4.9% −7.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 56 13 23.2% 1.06 −12.48
2nd–3rd fav 122 14 11.5% 0.82 −44.92
4th–6th fav 249 18 7.2% 0.95 −65.00
7th+ in betting 508 12 2.4% 0.82 −271.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.9% completed · 906 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 274 81.8% 8 13 29 0 0
Hurdle 632 86.2% 8 13 58 4 4
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Itsalonglongroad (GB) 25 3 8 8 Oct 26
Gaoth Chuil (IRE) 13 2 10 24 Apr 26
Kildorrery (IRE) 13 1 5 10 Jun 23
Be Fierce (IRE) 12 1 1 29 May 26
Ardera Ru (IRE) 12 4 8 3 May 24
Oskar High (IRE) 11 3 3 8 Sep 25
Ta Na La (USA) 11 1 5 25 Aug 25
Avandra (IRE) 9 0 2 7 Nov 26
Optional Mix (IRE) 9 1 3 28 Oct 24
Favori Logique (FR) 9 3 6 2 Jul 24
Cullenwaine (IRE) 8 1 4 28 Aug 26
Hanoi Jane (IRE) 8 1 4 3 Apr 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 434 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 10
Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
554448105101015
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardT M Walsh
14% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 0.81
TrainerRWSR£1
T M Walsh 128 9 7% −75.79
P J Rothwell 100 8 8% −1.25
Ross O'Sullivan 91 6 6.6% −64.12
Eoin Doyle 70 5 7.1% −17.50
C A McBratney 40 1 2.5% −33.00
Charles Coakley 38 4 10.5% −4.50
R K Watson 38 2 5.3% −15.50
Norman Lee 35 5 14.3% +13.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
57
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£954k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 13 wins
Hereditary Rule (IRE) — HSS Hire Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade A
£59,000
Ardera Ru (IRE) — BoyleSports Mares Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Mar 2024 · Listed
£26,550
Gaoth Chuil (IRE) — Pertemps Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) Leopardstown · Dec 2023
£17,700
Notable horses
Ardera Ru (IRE) Itsalonglongroad (GB) Oskar High (IRE) Favori Logique (FR) Gaoth Chuil (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 12.8% · 5–39
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,218 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Getaway (GER) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,040 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,898 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Lawman (FR) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,432 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Mountain High (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,246 runs since 2011 (184 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 935 · newest first

The latest 50 of 935 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2018 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Dark Berkshire (IRE)T: P. J. Rothwell Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (Div I)16f · Good · 16 ran 8th 25/1
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) That's About Right (IRE)T: P. J. Rothwell Horse & Jockey Handicap Steeplechase18f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 10/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) How Decc (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 13th 7/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)T: T M Walsh Matchbook 50/50 Series Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 80/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Avandra (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 20/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Classy Cc (IRE)T: Harry Cleary Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Party President (IRE)T: David O'Sullivan Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 10/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Vroomvroomboo (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 12th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 15/2
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Dusky Night (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 4th 9/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Fervida (IRE)T: J A Berry William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 16/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Scathach (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 10th 10/1
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Club Manager (GB)T: Ross O'Sullivan Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 4/1F
25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Backinbusiness (IRE)T: P J Rothwell William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran PU 33/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Johnny Cakes (FR)T: P J Rothwell Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/2
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Dark Berkshire (IRE)T: P J Rothwell End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 9th 9/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Maxios Lady (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 9/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Woodstream Lad (IRE)T: David O'Sullivan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 5th 100/30F
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Likable Chancer (IRE)T: Daniel John Howard Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 50/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)T: Norman Lee Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 4/1J
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) How Decc (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 4th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 17 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Shane O'Callaghan's strike rate?
Shane O'Callaghan has won 57 of 935 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane O'Callaghan do best at?
Kilbeggan by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 rides (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane O'Callaghan ride most for?
T M Walsh, with 128 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (7%).
Is Shane O'Callaghan in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane O'Callaghan's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 935 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).