What is Tim Carroll's strike rate?

Tim Carroll has won 28 of 601 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tim Carroll do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 41 rides (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tim Carroll ride most for?

T G McCourt, with 65 rides since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.6%).

What is Tim Carroll's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 601 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tim Carroll

601 rides in the lifetime window · 325 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2016

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

28–601

Wins / Runs

4.7%

Strike rate

n=601

112 (19%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=601 · 0.60 incl. margin

−320.17

£1 level stake

n=601 at SP · −53.3%

£350k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 601 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance T G McCourt: 4.6% from 65 Claiming: 4.8%

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.42 and −255.25 to a £1 stake over 325 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. T G McCourt supplied 11% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.6%, A/E 0.80). The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (9.2%, n=98) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (8.3%, n=36).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.2%−2.5

n=325 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −255.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

6.1%+1.4

n=33 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −25.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−0.7

n=126 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −84.25

When favourite

30%

n=20 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +0.83

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.8%+0.1

n=579 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −298.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.2%+0.5

n=405 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −181.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.7

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 13.2% vs 4.7% · n=38

With Noel Meade 10.2% vs 4.7% · n=59

With P Hughes 10.2% vs 4.7% · n=49

Off a 8-14-day break 9.2% vs 4.7% · n=98

On first rides for the horse 2.2% vs 4.7% · n=325

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 8.3% vs 4.7% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 386 19 4.9% −205.42

Chase 113 5 4.4% −43.50

Flat 95 4 4.2% −64.25

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 170 4 2.4% −127.00

Soft 169 10 5.9% −37.12

Heavy 124 5 4% −89.50

Good to Firm 70 4 5.7% −30.80

Good to Soft 44 3 6.8% −26.75

Standard (AW) 24 2 8.3% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Navan 41 2 4.9% −30.25

Down Royal 41 3 7.3% −6.00

Kilbeggan 33 2 6.1% −10.50

Fairyhouse 31 2 6.5% −22.50

Downpatrick 30 2 6.7% −8.00

Cork 29 0 0% −29.00

Ballinrobe 28 0 0% −28.00

Wexford 28 3 10.7% −12.00

Gowran Park 27 1 3.7% −10.00

Galway 26 1 3.8% −17.00

Punchestown 25 0 0% −25.00

Sligo 24 0 0% −24.00

Clonmel 23 4 17.4% +7.88

Roscommon 23 2 8.7% +7.00

Dundalk (AW) 23 2 8.7% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 27 7 25.9% 1.41 −0.17

2nd–3rd fav 75 6 8% 0.66 −38.00

4th–6th fav 132 5 3.8% 0.57 −78.00

7th+ in betting 367 10 2.7% 0.85 −204.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81% completed · 499 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 113 61.1% 9 5 29 0 1

Hurdle 386 86.8% 11 4 33 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Speed Dial (GB) 14 3 7 12 May 13

Spring Hawk (IRE) 11 1 6 23 Jul 13

Down The Dale (IRE) 11 1 2 10 Jun 11

Ballyfinboy (IRE) 9 0 2 31 Aug 13

Blue Vic (IRE) 9 2 3 7 Jul 13

Fearnwood Girl (IRE) 9 0 0 25 Oct 12

Lady Brown (IRE) 8 0 1 22 Aug 13

Prince Of Forwards (GB) 8 1 2 17 May 13

Caduceus (IRE) 8 1 2 2 Apr 13

Son Of Moyne (IRE) 8 1 3 14 Feb 13

Monteriggioni (IRE) 8 0 2 27 May 11

Too Wild For Der (IRE) 7 0 1 18 Aug 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 325 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5711539541308

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardT G McCourt

11% of all rides
4.6% SR · A/E 0.80

TrainerRWSR£1

T G McCourt 65 3 4.6% −38.00

Noel Meade 59 6 10.2% −1.25

P Hughes 49 5 10.2% −3.50

Michael Mulvany 39 3 7.7% +13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£350k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 10 wins

Silverhand (IRE) — Freshways Handicap Hurdle Galway · Jul 2010

£32,500

Caduceus (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123) Clonmel · Mar 2012

£11,385

Bella Mana Mou (IRE) — Slane Handicap Hurdle Navan · Mar 2011

£10,005

Notable horses

Speed Dial (GB) Blue Vic (IRE) Down The Dale (IRE) Spring Hawk (IRE) Prince Of Forwards (GB) Caduceus (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Great Palm (USA) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 9.9% from 262.

Daylami (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Old Vic (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Hawk Wing (USA) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Luso (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 601 · newest first

The latest 50 of 601 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2009 to 20 November 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Nov 16 Cork Nice Vintage (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley Follow Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran PU 20/1

31 Oct 16 Galway Kilgefin Star (IRE)T: R P McNamara John Mulholland Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 15th 50/1

19 Oct 14 Naas Waste Of Time (IRE)T: P Meany Andrew & Bridget Kenny Memorial Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 4th 20/1

08 Oct 13 Tipperary Sergeant Grey (GB)T: P Hughes Tipperary Handicap Chase (0-109)17f · Good · 8 ran UR 20/1

08 Oct 13 Tipperary Waste Of Time (IRE)T: P Meany Follow Tipperary Races On Facebook Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 20 ran 11th 50/1

04 Oct 13 Gowran Park Island Rule (IRE)T: P Meany Gowran Park Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 10th 66/1

02 Oct 13 Sligo Teelin Star (IRE)T: P Hughes Frank O'beirne Memorial Beginners Chase17f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 7/2

27 Sep 13 Downpatrick Sergeant Grey (GB)T: P Hughes Jonjo Bright Trust Beginners Chase18.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 25/1

24 Sep 13 Ballinrobe Lord Lir (IRE)T: David M O'Brien Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109)22f · Good · 13 ran 6th 25/1

24 Sep 13 Ballinrobe Nifty Lass (IRE)T: Mervyn Torrens Sponsors Day At Ballinrobe Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 11th 20/1

21 Sep 13 Listowel New Phase (IRE)T: A J McNamara Allman Contracts Limited Beginners Chase17f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 11th 33/1

15 Sep 13 Listowel Wrong Way Corrigan (IRE)T: David M O'Brien Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle24f · Yielding · 18 ran 9th 11/1

06 Sep 13 Kilbeggan Sergeant Grey (GB)T: P Hughes Midland Breeders Supporting Kilbeggan Beginners Chase20f · Good · 14 ran 9th 50/1

06 Sep 13 Kilbeggan Come Follow Me (IRE)T: Arthur Goulding Moate Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th 20/1

06 Sep 13 Kilbeggan Bunty Lawless (IRE)T: Ms M Dowdall Blake Kilbeggan Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 20/1

05 Sep 13 Clonmel Wrong Way Corrigan (IRE)T: David M O'Brien 'my Canine Companion (autism Services For Children)' Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd 14/1

31 Aug 13 Killarney Ballyfinboy (IRE)T: J R Finn Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 17 ran 3rd 3/1F

23 Aug 13 Kilbeggan Come Follow Me (IRE)T: Arthur Goulding Martinstown Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 16 ran 6th 16/1

22 Aug 13 Bellewstown Lady Brown (IRE)T: P M Rogers Bet Online At Thetote.com Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 25/1

18 Aug 13 Tramore Too Wild For Der (IRE)T: Ms M Flynn Tramore Amusement Park & Leisure Centre Handicap Hurdle (80-102)21f · Good · 16 ran PU 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Carroll's strike rate?: Tim Carroll has won 28 of 601 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Carroll do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 41 rides (7.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tim Carroll ride most for?: T G McCourt, with 65 rides since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.6%).
What is Tim Carroll's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 601 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.