What is P Hughes's strike rate?

P Hughes has won 23 of 413 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P Hughes do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 45 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P Hughes?

Robbie Moran, with 50 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).

What is P Hughes's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 413 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P Hughes

413 runners in the lifetime window · 60 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2014

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

23–413

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=413

60 (15%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=413 · 0.69 incl. margin

−208.42

£1 level stake

n=413 at SP · −50.5%

£272k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 60 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 413 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Robbie Moran: 2% from 50

The read

Robbie Moran rode 12% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2% vs 5.6%, A/E 0.44). The yard also read well in NH Flat races (11.4%, n=35) and off a 8-14-day break (9.4%, n=64). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 1.9% over 54 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.44 across 83 runners (2.4% strike, −46.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse (Apr 2006, £141,500). The stable star of the record was Farmer Brown (IRE) — 6 wins from 19 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.3%−1.3

n=93 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −34.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−5.6

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−2.0

n=28 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −11.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+5.5

n=9 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +17.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−5.6

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

38.1%

n=21 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +6.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.1%−0.5

n=178 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −104.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−0.8

n=21 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In NH Flat races 11.4% vs 5.6% · n=35

With Tim Carroll 10.2% vs 5.6% · n=49

Off a 8-14-day break 9.4% vs 5.6% · n=64

Off a 31-60-day break 1.9% vs 5.6% · n=54

Over 2m5f – 3m 2.4% vs 5.6% · n=83

With Robbie Moran 2% vs 5.6% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 185 11 5.9% −122.62

Chase 122 5 4.1% −40.00

Flat 71 3 4.2% −42.50

NH Flat 35 4 11.4% −3.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 144 11 7.6% −14.00

Heavy 121 6 5% −96.80

Good 62 2 3.2% −47.50

Good to Firm 38 1 2.6% −35.62

Good to Soft 36 3 8.3% −2.50

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fairyhouse 45 4 8.9% −22.75

Wexford 35 3 8.6% −23.25

Punchestown 33 2 6.1% −11.00

Gowran Park 32 1 3.1% −23.00

Navan 24 0 0% −24.00

Thurles 23 2 8.7% +6.50

Clonmel 23 1 4.3% −8.00

Limerick 20 3 15% −5.62

Tramore 18 0 0% −18.00

Downpatrick 16 1 6.3% −10.50

Naas 16 1 6.3% −14.00

Cork 15 0 0% −15.00

Killarney 14 0 0% −14.00

Listowel 12 2 16.7% −2.80

Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 24 1 4.2% −19.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 24 9 37.5% 1.62 +5.58

2nd–3rd fav 42 5 11.9% 0.88 −16.00

4th–6th fav 75 4 5.3% 0.80 −35.00

7th+ in betting 272 5 1.8% 0.60 −163.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.9% completed · 307 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 122 58.2% 11 5 35 0 0

Hurdle 185 90.8% 1 0 13 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Speed Dial (GB) 37 5 11 22 Mar 14

Rossbeigh (IRE)from David Loder · then G A Kingston 34 3 10 2 Feb 11

Prince Of Forwards (GB) 33 3 7 22 Mar 14

Caduceus (IRE) 30 5 7 17 Mar 14

Raise The Goblet (IRE)from William Haggas 25 2 5 5 Dec 13

Crowned Supreme (IRE)from Liam McAteer 20 0 1 2 Jun 13

Coastal Command (GB)from Roger Charlton 16 0 1 9 May 13

Pillar of Hercules (IRE)from Sir Henry Cecil · then Ferdy Murphy 13 2 4 4 Oct 08

The Gripper (IRE)then Rachel Hobbs 11 0 1 5 Oct 10

Point Barrow (IRE) 11 0 1 1 May 09

Dawn Assault (IRE)from Paul Cole 11 0 0 30 Aug 08

View Mount Prince (IRE)then Ms Margaret Mullins 10 0 3 1 Feb 09

All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Liz Doyle (3) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9395681208306

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobbie Moran

12% of all rides
2% SR · A/E 0.44

RiderRWSR£1

Robbie Moran 50 1 2% −46.50

Alan Crowe 49 3 6.1% +16.50

Tim Carroll 49 5 10.2% −3.50

P W Flood 33 3 9.1% −25.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.16m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Point Barrow (IRE) — Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National Fairyhouse · Apr 2006 · Grade A

£141,500

Farmer Brown (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle (Handicap) Galway · Aug 2007 · Grade A

£127,400

Point Barrow (IRE) — Pierse Leopardstown Handicap Chase Leopardstown · Jan 2007 · Grade A

£65,100

Notable horses

Farmer Brown (IRE) Speed Dial (GB) Caduceus (IRE) Rossbeigh (IRE) Point Barrow (IRE) Prince Of Forwards (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Medicean (GB) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Alhaarth (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).

Luso (GB) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).

Sonus (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 7.7% of 469 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11% from 109.

Almutawakel (GB) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 8% of 664 runs since 2008 (43 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.6% from 112.

Balmont (USA) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 9.6% of 384 runs since 2008 (29 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.2% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,139 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,139 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 30 May 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 May 14 Tramore Bend The Rules (IRE)J: Robbie Moran Book Online At Tramore-racecourse.com Handicap Chase (0-95)22f · Good · 16 ran 13th 25/1

22 Mar 14 Gowran Park Prince Of Forwards (GB)J: A P Heskin Holiday In Kilkenny Handicap Chase (0-116)25f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 20/1

22 Mar 14 Gowran Park Speed Dial (GB)J: A E Lynch www.gowranpark.ie Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 15 ran 5th 25/1

17 Mar 14 Wexford Caduceus (IRE)J: Mark Enright Arctic Tack Stud Veterans Handicap Chase19f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 25/1

09 Mar 14 Naas Speed Dial (GB)J: Mark Enright Naas Supporters Handicap Hurdle (0-140)19f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 13th 25/1

02 Mar 14 Leopardstown Bend The Rules (IRE)J: A P Heskin Leopardstown Club Members Handicap Chase (0-109)21f · Soft · 16 ran PU 33/1

15 Feb 14 Gowran Park Bend The Rules (IRE)J: Chris Timmons Join Us On Saturday 8th March For Kilkenny G.A.A. Day Beginners Chase18f · Heavy · 15 ran F 66/1

08 Feb 14 Naas Speed Dial (GB)J: Chris Timmons Tote Super Trifecta Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 4th 11/1

08 Feb 14 Naas Bend The Rules (IRE)J: Chris Timmons Tote Account 50 Free Bets Beginners Chase16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran F 100/1

23 Jan 14 Gowran Park Bend The Rules (IRE)J: Chris Timmons PMF Accountants Beginners Chase18f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 80/1

23 Jan 14 Gowran Park Caduceus (IRE)J: A P Heskin Goffs Thyestes Handicap Chase (Grade A)25f · Soft · 18 ran PU 25/1

22 Jan 14 Fairyhouse Prince Of Forwards (GB)J: Chris Timmons Follow Fairyhouse On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-109)23f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 9th 33/1

19 Jan 14 Fairyhouse Speed Dial (GB)J: Chris Timmons Fairyhouse For Fundraisers Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 25/1

15 Dec 13 Navan Speed Dial (GB)J: Chris Timmons Beauparc Handicap Hurdle (81-123)16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 9th 33/1

05 Dec 13 Clonmel Teelin Star (IRE)J: John Cullen Kilsheelan Beginners Chase19f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran F 12/1

05 Dec 13 Clonmel Raise The Goblet (IRE)J: Jonathan Moore Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 16/1

01 Dec 13 Fairyhouse Caduceus (IRE)J: A P Heskin Bar One Racing Porterstown Handicap Chase (0-140) (grade C)29f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 25/1

28 Nov 13 Thurles Prince Of Forwards (GB)J: Michael Darcy www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Chase (0-116)22f · Good · 12 ran 8th 20/1

28 Nov 13 Thurles Speed Dial (GB)J: Ben Dalton Killinan Beginners Chase18f · Good · 12 ran 7th 33/1

21 Nov 13 Thurles Speed Dial (GB)J: Ben Dalton www.thurlesraces.ie Beginners Chase18f · Yielding · 16 ran 10th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Hughes's strike rate?: P Hughes has won 23 of 413 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Hughes do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 45 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Hughes?: Robbie Moran, with 50 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).
What is P Hughes's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 413 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.