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Trainer profile

Simon Pearce

426 runners in the last 5 seasons · 54 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
41–426
Wins / Runs
9.6%
Strike rate
n=426
100 (24%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=424 · 0.89 incl. margin
−49.43
£1 level stake
n=426 at SP · −11.6%
£428k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 426 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 40% when favourite Jack Mitchell: 17.3% from 75 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

It is weakest at Yarmouth (2.5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.62). Jack Mitchell rides 18% of the entries and beats the yard's average (17.3% vs 9.6%, A/E 1.29) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (17.4%, n=46) and at trips under 6f (15.6%, n=45). The stable star of the record: Storm Catcher (IRE) — 8 wins from 38 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%−5.8
n=78 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −47.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.5%+1.9
n=26 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −0.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.6
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13.3%+3.7
n=15 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +32.00
When favourite
40%
n=35 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +4.74
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.9%−0.7
n=56 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −24.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Jack Mitchell 17.3% vs 9.6% · n=75
Off a 8-14-day break 17.4% vs 9.6% · n=46
On last-time-out winners 17.5% vs 9.6% · n=40
At Yarmouth 2.5% vs 9.6% · n=40
At trips under 6f 15.6% vs 9.6% · n=45
With Paddy Bradley 15.2% vs 9.6% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 397 40 10.1% −31.43
Hurdle 26 1 3.8% −15.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 267 32 12% +12.36
Good 60 3 5% −40.12
Good to Firm 56 6 10.7% +21.33
Good to Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Soft 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 73 7 9.6% −25.75
Kempton (AW) 56 6 10.7% −32.29
Chelmsford City (AW) 50 7 14% +15.48
Wolverhampton (AW) 50 6 12% +46.17
Yarmouth 40 1 2.5% −11.00
Southwell (AW) 24 2 8.3% −2.50
Newcastle (AW) 14 4 28.6% +11.25
Leicester 9 1 11.1% −6.25
Doncaster 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Windsor 8 0 0% −8.00
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Nottingham 7 0 0% −7.00
Worcester 7 0 0% −7.00
Brighton 6 1 16.7% −1.67
Market Rasen 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 166 19 11.4% +12.21
Class 6 153 11 7.2% −73.54
Class 4 65 6 9.2% −4.27
Class 3 22 3 13.6% +0.50
Class 2 18 2 11.1% +17.67
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 42 15 35.7% 1.23 +3.24
2nd–3rd fav 75 10 13.3% 0.82 −28.17
4th–6th fav 128 10 7.8% 1.02 +13.50
7th+ in betting 181 6 3.3% 1.20 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Storm Catcher (IRE) 31 7 11 12 Mar 26
Abraaj (FR) 27 3 8 16 Jun 25
Trackman (GB) 26 0 4 22 Jul 26
Forager (GB) 21 5 7 6 Oct 26
Red Evelyn (GB)then John Butler 20 2 7 7 Jun 23
Seraphic (IRE)from Hugo Merienne · then David Killahena & Graeme McPherson 18 1 4 9 Jan 25
Dembe (GB)from Brett Johnson 16 4 6 3 Jul 25
Vision Of Hope (GB)from James Owen 14 0 3 31 Oct 24
Grigio (IRE) 14 1 3 9 Oct 24
Taravara (IRE)from Clive Cox 14 1 3 27 Jun 24
Full Intention (GB)from Lydia Pearce 14 2 2 16 Feb 23
Kit Gabriel (IRE)from Seb Spencer 13 1 4 18 Sep 26
All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lydia Pearce (3) and Henry Spiller (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for John Butler (4) and Ross Burdon (3); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
9229457511118716
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Mitchell
18% of all rides
17.3% SR · A/E 1.29
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Mitchell 75 13 17.3% +27.90
David Probert 42 5 11.9% −15.67
Paddy Bradley 33 5 15.2% +20.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
59
Archived wins
£540k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 12 wins
Storm Catcher (IRE) — William Hill Epic Value Racing League Race 26 Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Aug 2023 · Class 3
£25,770
Storm Catcher (IRE) — bet365 Chelmsford City Cup (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Chelmsford City (AW) · Aug 2025 · Class 2
£23,193
Dembe (GB) — Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2025 · Class 3
£18,319
Notable horses
Storm Catcher (IRE) Full Intention (GB) Noble Peace (GB) Forager (GB) Dembe (GB) Brazen Idol (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Showcasing (GB) 14.9% · 7–47
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,584 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Garswood (GB) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,919 runs since 2008 (163 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 132.
Cracksman (GB) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,787 runs since 2008 (232 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.5% from 103. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.3% from 264.
Vadamos (FR) 22.6% · 7–31
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,082 runs since 2008 (217 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 155.
Shalaa (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 140.
Dubawi (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,936 runs since 2008 (1,520 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 599 · newest first

The latest 50 of 599 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 November 2019 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Nuevo Slovo (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 40/1
06 Oct 26 Leicester Forager (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Everards Of Leicestershire Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 13/2
29 Sep 26 Bath Nuevo Slovo (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 12/1
29 Sep 26 Bath Forager (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Sw Hire Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st 18/1
18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kit Gabriel (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Pertemps Network Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 66/1
16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Nuevo Slovo (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Sea Deer Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 50/1
12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Cortado Girl (GB)J: Ray Dawson Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 80/1
09 Sep 26 Redcar Lesley Buckley (IRE)J: Shane Gray Visit Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 9th 40/1
03 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Forager (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 6/1
29 Aug 26 Sandown Nuevo Slovo (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Gamble Responsibly At Betmgm Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 66/1
27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Lesley Buckley (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 33/1
11 Aug 26 Nottingham Forager (GB)J: David Probert Oddschecker+ Subscription Service Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 18/1
09 Aug 26 Leicester Nuevo Slovo (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley ADS Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 28/1
31 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kit Gabriel (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 8/1
22 Jul 26 Worcester Trackman (GB)J: David Noonan Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 28/1
07 Jul 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kit Gabriel (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Get Raceday Ready HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 15/2
17 Jun 26 Worcester Trackman (GB)J: Jack Quinlan CopyBet Daily World Cup Profit Boost Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 125/1
01 Jun 26 Windsor Nuevo Slovo (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Fitzdares Sprint Series HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 40/1
30 May 26 Lingfield Out In The Cold (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Drain Detectives HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 80/1
27 May 26 Kempton (AW) Kit Gabriel (IRE)J: Mason Paetel Unibet More Extra Place Races Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 10/3F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Simon Pearce's strike rate?
Simon Pearce has won 41 of 426 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Simon Pearce do best at?
Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 50 runners (14%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Simon Pearce?
Jack Mitchell, with 75 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (17.3%).
Is Simon Pearce in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Simon Pearce's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 424 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).