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Trainer profile

Ross Burdon

175 runners in the last 5 seasons · 27 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
20–175
Wins / Runs
11.4%
Strike rate
n=175
61 (35%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=174 · 0.82 incl. margin
−61.71
£1 level stake
n=175 at SP · −35.3%
£229k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 175 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (25%, n=32). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 3.3% over 30 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−7.1
n=23 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.2%−7.2
n=24 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −21.20
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
44.4%
n=18 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +6.46
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%−3.4
n=25 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −15.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 25% vs 11.4% · n=32
Off a 8-14-day break 3.3% vs 11.4% · n=30
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.7% vs 11.4% · n=45
With Jack Mitchell 15.9% vs 11.4% · n=44
Off a 15-30-day break 14.3% vs 11.4% · n=77
With C&D winners 8.6% vs 11.4% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 173 20 11.6% −59.71
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 104 12 11.5% −46.34
Good to Firm 44 5 11.4% −18.37
Good 15 1 6.7% −12.50
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Soft 3 1 33.3% +5.50
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 27 2 7.4% −19.00
Southwell (AW) 25 3 12% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 2 10.5% −11.20
Lingfield (AW) 17 2 11.8% −9.97
Windsor 14 3 21.4% −2.87
Chelmsford City (AW) 13 3 23.1% +2.83
Ascot 9 0 0% −9.00
Nottingham 7 1 14.3% +1.50
Yarmouth 7 1 14.3% +1.50
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Newcastle (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 1 33.3% +3.00
Lingfield 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 62 8 12.9% −18.12
Class 5 52 6 11.5% −24.62
Class 4 44 6 13.6% −1.97
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 10 45.5% 1.55 +11.79
2nd–3rd fav 43 4 9.3% 0.54 −22.50
4th–6th fav 66 6 9.1% 1.20 −7.00
7th+ in betting 44 0 0% 0.00 −44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mesaafi (GB)from Simon Pearce 24 4 9 14 Oct 26
Ernie's Valentine (GB)from Jim Boyle 22 2 9 8 Oct 26
Waistcoat (GB)from Dylan Cunha 14 3 6 14 Oct 26
Dust Cover (GB)from Ralph Beckett 14 3 5 10 Oct 26
Beauty Generation (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 9 1 4 2 Oct 26
Seventy (GB)from Richard Hannon 9 3 5 26 Jun 26
Just King High (IRE)from Thomas Faulkner 8 0 0 8 Sep 26
High Point (IRE)from Kevin Philippart De Foy · then Iain Jardine 8 2 3 11 Jun 26
Hellcat (GB)from Seb Spencer 7 0 1 6 Oct 26
Northcliff (IRE)from Thomas Faulkner · then Jane Chapple-Hyam 7 0 5 5 Sep 26
Gundogan (GB)from Simon Pearce · then Tony Carroll 7 0 2 8 Sep 25
Captive Beauty (IRE)from K J Condon 6 0 3 9 Oct 26
All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kevin Philippart De Foy (3) and Simon Pearce (3); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1833006281141410400
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Mitchell
25% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.24
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Mitchell 44 7 15.9% −6.37
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
20
Archived wins
£229k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
Mesaafi (GB) — Enter ITV7 For Free Apprentice Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2025 · Class 4
£15,702
Waistcoat (GB) — Betfred Best Odds All Races Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jan 2026 · Class 5
£7,851
Mesaafi (GB) — Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II) Kempton (AW) · Oct 2026 · Class 4
£6,281
Notable horses
Mesaafi (GB) Waistcoat (GB) Dust Cover (GB) Seventy (GB) Ernie's Valentine (GB) High Point (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 16.7% · 4–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Havana Gold (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,049 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 522. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Showcasing (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,577 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,936 runs since 2008 (1,110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Ulysses (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,969 runs since 2008 (293 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 175 · newest first

The latest 50 of 175 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 April 2025 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Baloo (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 20/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mesaafi (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 10/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Waistcoat (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 7th 20/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gifts Differing (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 25/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dust Cover (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Beerly A Winner Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 3/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Captive Beauty (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 4/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ernie's Valentine (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 100/30
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hellcat (GB)J: William Carver bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 14/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Insuspense (GB)J: William Carver bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 11/4
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mesaafi (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 1st 5/2F
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Nightspell (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 33/1
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Beauty Generation (IRE)J: Jason Hart H. Malone Mechanical & Electrical Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 13/2
26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Hellcat (GB)J: William Carver Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gifts Differing (GB)J: Alexandra Egan attheraces.com/market Movers Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 10/1
19 Sep 26 Newmarket Waistcoat (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 9/1
17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Ernie's Valentine (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Insuspense (GB)J: William Carver Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 7/1
15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Captive Beauty (IRE)J: Alexandra Egan Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 7/2
11 Sep 26 Doncaster Director's Cut (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Pertemps Network Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 17 ran 16th 80/1
10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Wild Rock (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ross Burdon's strike rate?
Ross Burdon has won 20 of 175 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Ross Burdon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ross Burdon's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 174 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).