1:21 Redcar
This Class 4 EBF Novice Stakes over 5f 217y at Redcar on good ground brings together a field of nine two-year-olds, the majority of whom are still relatively unexposed. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Through The Gate heading the numbers as a well-supported newcomer from a yard showing strong recent figures at the track. With limited racecourse evidence overall, the contest looks open and hinges on how the newcomers perform against those with initial racecourse data.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. Several runners, including Kirton Angel, Deputy Vice, Blue Pete and Sankhum Galaxy, tend to be held up and produce their efforts late, which could leave them with plenty to do if the tempo remains modest. The key question is whether any of the unexposed newcomers can seize an advantageous position early or if the race will be decided by those coming from off the pace in the closing stages.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Through The Gate KTB Selection58/100
Through The Gate is a newcomer from the Harry Eustace yard, which has been in good form at Redcar. The stable posts a 31% strike rate here from 16 runs while Hector Crouch matches that figure from an identical number of rides. With only pedigree and sales background to go on, any firm view on his ability would be guesswork at this stage. By Invincible Spirit, he has a 12% overall win rate attached to his sire from a huge sample. Drawn in stall 2, he represents the KTB Selection in a race where being handy is likely to count.
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2Eagles Eternal52/100
Eagles Eternal is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The Jim Goldie yard has an 8% strike rate from 383 runs at Redcar while Mark Winn is operating at a stronger 20% strike rate from 66 rides here. With data confidence low the assessment rests entirely on the limited pedigree and sales information supplied. By Gleneagles, he carries an 11% overall win rate attached to his sire from a large sample. From draw 8 he will need to show natural ability to make an impact in what looks a steadily-run affair.
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3Benbecula51/100
Benbecula showed ordinary form when fifth on debut over this trip and will need to improve to figure. The Kevin Ryan yard has a solid 12% strike rate at Redcar from a big sample while Kevin Stott posts a 14% record here. With only one run on the board and the going sample too small to judge, this remains very much an unknown quantity. Dropping in class, he is by a sire with a modest record on good ground from his one run. Drawn in stall 7, he must find progress to play a part.
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4Pulse Of Fire51/100
Pulse Of Fire showed little on debut when finishing seventh over 5f. The Ed Walker yard has a solid 24% strike rate at Redcar from 72 runs. This remains a very lightly-raced colt with only one run on the board so the trip increase is an unknown and the overall picture is tentative. Ashley Lewis takes the ride with a neutral score at the track. Unproven on good ground, he steps up in trip from a middle draw in a race that may not be run to suit prominent racers.
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5Kirton Angel50/100
Kirton Angel was placed third on debut over this trip at Musselburgh, showing enough to suggest the form is workable in a race of this grade. The Richard and Peter Fahey yard have a solid 19% strike rate at Redcar from 21 runs. Cam Hardie is much less effective here with only a 3% strike rate from 351 rides. Usually held up, he is unproven on good ground and drops in class.
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6Deputy Vice47/100
Deputy Vice is a modest performer who has shown consistent form in four runs this year, finishing no worse than third. Has been placed over today's trip and the yard has a solid record at Redcar despite the modest strike rate. Jockey also has experience here though the small going sample leaves that side of things unknown. Usually held up, he drops in class from draw 6.
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7Sweet Distraction45/100
Sweet Distraction has only one run behind her so the form picture remains thin. She steps back from 7½f to an untried 5f trip which asks a fresh question of her. Both trainer and jockey have solid if unspectacular records at Redcar. Unproven on good ground, she is drawn in stall 4.
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8Blue Pete43/100
Blue Pete has shown fair placed form over today's trip on his only completed start and was not disgraced when stepped up in class last time. The yard's modest 9% strike rate at Redcar from a big sample and the jockey's 10% record here offer no particular encouragement. With just two runs on the board and going suitability unknown this remains very much a watching brief. Usually held up from draw 3.
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9Sankhum Galaxy41/100
Sankhum Galaxy has shown very little in two runs at this trip so far. The yard has a modest 8% strike rate at Redcar from a decent-sized sample while the jockey is operating at a low 3% here. With only two runs on the board and a poor recent form line of 80 this is a lightly-raced colt to treat with real caution. Usually held up from the inside draw and dropping in class.
KTB verdict
Through The Gate is the KTB Selection. He comes from a yard that has been in good form at Redcar, where the trainer and jockey both post 31% strike rates from small but meaningful samples, and any positive market support would add further interest. The race looks tactical with no obvious leader, so his ability to race handily from draw 2 could prove an important asset. Main dangers are the other well-fancied newcomers Eagles Eternal and Benbecula, while Kirton Angel brings placed debut form and could improve dropping in class.
KTB Selection Through The Gate
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:05 UTC, 9 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Through The Gate | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Eagles Eternal | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Benbecula | 7/2 | William Hill |
| Pulse Of Fire | 13/2 | 7Bet |
| Kirton Angel | 9/4 | Bet365 |
| Deputy Vice | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Sweet Distraction | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Blue Pete | 8/1 | William Hill |
| Sankhum Galaxy | 80/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:21 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse represents the KTB Selection in this Redcar novice?
Through The Gate
How does the pace shape suggest the race will be run?
Lacks a leader with medium confidence, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
What are the trainer and jockey strike rates at Redcar for the selection Through The Gate?
Trainer Harry Eustace 31% strike rate at Redcar (A/E 1.41 from 16 runs); jockey Hector Crouch 31% strike rate at Redcar (A/E 1.27 from 16 rides)
Which runners are noted as usually held up?
Kirton Angel, Deputy Vice, Blue Pete and Sankhum Galaxy
What was Benbecula's debut performance?
Fifth over this trip
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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
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