Skip to content
Trainer profile

John & Rhys Flint

353 runners in the last 5 seasons · 51 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
26–353
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=353
69 (20%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=351 · 0.82 incl. margin
−77.71
£1 level stake
n=353 at SP · −22.0%
£216k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 353 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep
The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (15.6%, n=77), clear of the yard's 7.4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −38.04 to a £1 stake over 130 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (11.3%, n=151). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 50 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%−4.4
n=66 · A/E 0.69 · £1 +22.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.8%−0.6
n=44 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +70.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.6%−1.8
n=18 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −14.75
When favourite
33.3%
n=15 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −1.04
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.9%−0.5
n=130 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −38.04

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Chepstow 15.6% vs 7.4% · n=77
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 7.4% · n=50
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 7.4% · n=32
With C&D winners 13.2% vs 7.4% · n=76
In Class 6 11.3% vs 7.4% · n=151
Off a break of 180+ days 2.9% vs 7.4% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 279 22 7.9% −69.71
Hurdle 47 3 6.4% −4.00
Chase 24 1 4.2% −1.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 118 12 10.2% −7.54
Good to Firm 93 10 10.8% −29.67
Good to Soft 50 0 0% −50.00
Soft 34 2 5.9% +41.50
Standard (AW) 32 0 0% −32.00
Heavy 14 0 0% −14.00
Firm 12 2 16.7% +14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chepstow 77 12 15.6% +53.33
Bath 68 4 5.9% −34.79
Windsor 40 3 7.5% −23.25
Ffos Las 28 1 3.6% −5.00
Newbury 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Salisbury 12 0 0% −12.00
Worcester 11 2 18.2% +6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Newton Abbot 9 1 11.1% +17.00
Lingfield (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Kempton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Sandown 5 0 0% −5.00
Nottingham 5 1 20% +6.00
Southwell (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Exeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 151 17 11.3% +17.09
Class 5 113 5 4.4% −52.80
Class 4 64 4 6.3% −17.00
Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 19 6 31.6% 1.20 −2.04
2nd–3rd fav 47 8 17% 1.11 −5.67
4th–6th fav 117 8 6.8% 0.82 −37.00
7th+ in betting 170 4 2.4% 0.80 −33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vape (GB)from John Flint 22 3 6 31 Aug 26
Lusaka (IRE)from John Flint 21 2 4 13 Sep 26
Spirit Of The Bay (IRE)from Clive Cox 21 2 5 31 Aug 26
Judge Frank (IRE)from Christian Williams 19 2 4 17 Aug 26
Symbol of Hope (GB)from Grace Harris · then Adrian Wintle 18 2 4 18 Aug 25
Rival (GB)from John Flint 16 0 4 12 Sep 26
Lyndon B (IRE)from John Flint 16 1 2 6 Nov 25
Endowed (GB)from John Flint 15 2 4 5 Aug 26
Byzantine Empire (GB)from Fergal O'Brien · then Alison Thorpe 15 1 2 31 Aug 25
Carp Kid (IRE)from John Flint 15 1 3 18 Aug 25
Amateur (IRE)from John Flint 13 1 1 24 Apr 26
Privilege (GB)from Sheila Lewis 9 0 2 13 Jul 26
All 51 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 51 horses listed, 43 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Flint (14) and Alison Thorpe (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry John Murphy (3) and Alison Thorpe (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
000097151013000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Carson
13% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 1.32
RiderRWSR£1
William Carson 47 4 8.5% −13.80
Taylor Fisher 36 3 8.3% −13.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
26
Archived wins
£216k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 12 wins
Lusaka (IRE) — Pegasus Pumps Handicap Newbury · Jul 2025 · Class 5
£5,757
Lyndon B (IRE) — Text Fitzdares For Extra Places Handicap Windsor · Jun 2025 · Class 4
£5,653
Parikarma (IRE) — Racing Partnership TRP Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2024 · Class 5
£5,613
Notable horses
Vape (GB) Crimson Road (IRE) Lusaka (IRE) Spirit Of The Bay (IRE) Judge Frank (IRE) Symbol of Hope (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 13.5% · 5–37
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,881 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Cable Bay (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
The Last Lion (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 7.4% of 913 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4% from 100.
Inns Of Court (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,224 runs since 2008 (231 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,927 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,952 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 353 · newest first

The latest 50 of 353 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 March 2024 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Wildfell (IRE)J: William Carson Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 100/1
17 Oct 26 Stratford Jack's A Legend (GB)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Auburn Avenue (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 25/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Green Icon (FR)J: Millie Wonnacott Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 4/1F
08 Oct 26 Bath Rogue Sea (GB)J: Charles Bishop Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 8th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Bath Crimson Road (IRE)J: William Carson Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 11/2
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Risen Again (FR)J: Luke Morris bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 20/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wildfell (IRE)J: William Carson Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 100/1
01 Oct 26 Nottingham Crimson Road (IRE)J: Adam Wedge Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 4th 11/1
16 Sep 26 Sandown Bellini Spirit (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 40/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Risen Again (FR)J: Charles Bishop Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 22/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Lusaka (IRE)J: Mason Paetel Loud Hire Staging Hire Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 12/1
12 Sep 26 Bath Rival (GB)J: Millie Wonnacott Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 7th 20/1
12 Sep 26 Bath Nammos (GB)J: Mason Paetel Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 6th 11/1
12 Sep 26 Bath Green Icon (FR)J: Millie Wonnacott Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 1st 15/8F
10 Sep 26 Worcester Emilyfromtheknoll (GB)J: Adam Wedge Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 5th 66/1
02 Sep 26 Bath Wildfell (IRE)J: William Carson Regal Gaming Grand Gallop Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1
31 Aug 26 Chepstow Auburn Avenue (IRE)J: William Carson LSL Racing Chepstow Mile Series Final Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 14/1
31 Aug 26 Chepstow Spirit Of The Bay (IRE)J: Mason Paetel LSL Racing Chepstow Mile Series Final Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 9/1
31 Aug 26 Chepstow Vape (GB)J: Miss Amy Tucker Runtech Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John & Rhys Flint's strike rate?
John & Rhys Flint has won 26 of 353 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John & Rhys Flint do best at?
Chepstow by strike rate: 12 wins from 77 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is John & Rhys Flint in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John & Rhys Flint's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 351 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).