4:50 Beverley
This EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes over 7f75y at Beverley brings together a field of eight two-year-olds, several of whom are still unexposed. The race is run on good ground in a Class 4 contest that serves as an EBF qualifier. KTB's Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with the selection Zephyra heading the numbers on 53, closely followed by Roku Nana on 51, while the two Edward Bethell newcomers sit on 47 and the remainder are covered by 46 to 44.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. With several runners, including the top two in the KTB Fit order, tending to be held up and produce their efforts late, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace. The key question will be whether those coming from the rear can pick up effectively off a modest gallop or whether one of the more prominent runners can steal a march.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Zephyra KTB Selection53/100
Zephyra has shown fair form in two starts over 6f, finishing second on both occasions, and now steps up in trip for a race where that looks a perfectly reasonable move. The Marco Botti yard is in decent form at Beverley with a 23% strike rate from 26 runs and a trainer and jockey record here of 4/38 (11%) with an A/E of 0.81 and +£24.33 LSP. Jack Gilligan takes the ride but only has a small sample of rides at the track so far. Dropping in class from a mark of no official rating yet recorded, she is drawn in stall 5 and usually held up to produce her effort late. She remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record.
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2Roku Nana51/100
Roku Nana showed fair promise when third on debut over 1m and now drops back to 7f for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. The Roger Varian yard has a strong 35% strike rate at Beverley from 68 runs and a trainer and jockey record here of 286/1350 (21%) with an A/E of 0.87 and -£134.89 LSP. Jack Mitchell is in the saddle with a 22% strike rate at the track from 51 rides and an A/E of 1.02. Dropping in class, he is drawn in stall 6 and usually held up to produce his effort late on limited evidence. He remains unproven on good ground with no course form on record.
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3Benedetti47/100
Benedetti is a half-brother to a couple of useful winners and cost 42,000 euros as a yearling. Edward Bethell has a solid 17% strike rate at Beverley from 64 runs and a trainer and jockey record here of 13/53 (25%) with an A/E of 1.24 and +£5.71 LSP. Oisin Orr takes the mount with a 19% strike rate at the track from 134 rides and an A/E of 1.05. By Stradivarius, who has a 0% overall win rate from 11 runners on this surface, the colt makes his debut in a race where such types are hard to weigh up with any confidence. He has no course win on record.
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4Engedi47/100
Engedi is a newcomer from the Edward Bethell yard that has a solid 17% strike rate at Beverley from 64 runs and a trainer and jockey record here of 16/80 (20%) with an A/E of 0.94 and -£4.78 LSP. Daniel Tudhope is aboard with an 18% strike rate at the track from 559 rides and an A/E of 0.99. The colt cost 52,000 guineas as a yearling and is by Ghaiyyath, who has a 15% overall win rate from 1056 runners. With low data confidence and a debutant profile his actual ability remains untested. He has no course win on record.
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5Moudora46/100
Moudora showed very little on her sole start here over this trip when finishing seventh. The Sara Ender yard has a modest 8% strike rate at Beverley from 24 runs and a trainer and jockey record here of 2/15 (13%) with an A/E of 1.03 and -£10.13 LSP. She remains unproven on good ground, has course form of one run with a seventh and no win or place, and with only one run on the board overall the form must be treated with caution.
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6Bearing In Time44/100
Bearing In Time has only one run in the book so any assessment has to be tentative. The Tim Easterby yard posts a 10% strike-rate at Beverley from 2414 runs and a trainer and jockey record here of 49/582 (8%) with an A/E of 0.96 and -£112.81 LSP. Usually held up to produce his effort late on limited evidence, he steps up from 6½f to this longer trip which asks a fresh question of a horse whose going preference is still unknown.
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7Wells Fargos Envoy44/100
Wells Fargos Envoy showed little on debut when finishing eighth. The Tim Easterby yard has a modest 10% strike rate from 2414 runs at Beverley and a trainer and jockey record here of 262/4053 (6%) with an A/E of 0.75 and -£1,431.26 LSP. Duran Fentiman also operates at a modest level here with a 6% strike rate from 613 rides. With only one run on the board, one run on good with no win or place and no other meaningful data points this is very much a watching brief.
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8Divine Concerto44/100
Divine Concerto has shown little in two starts so far, finishing 9th and 8th. He steps up from 6f to 7f today which is an open question at this stage. The Dylan Cunha yard records a 10% strike rate from 21 runs at Beverley and a trainer and jockey record here that reflects that modest level. Usually held up to produce his effort late on limited evidence, he has one run on good with no win or place.
KTB verdict
Zephyra is the KTB Selection. She has already shown fair form with two seconds over 6f and the step up to this trip looks a logical move in a race that lacks an obvious leader, while the Marco Botti stable's strong record at Beverley adds to the appeal. The selection can be expected to come from off the pace in what is likely to be a tactical contest. Main dangers are Roku Nana, who showed fair promise on debut and represents a yard in excellent form at the track, and the two Edward Bethell debutants Benedetti and Engedi who bring pedigree and yard strength but plenty of unknowns.
KTB Selection Zephyra
This is the narrative read of the 4:50 Beverley. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Beverley racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Beverley results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip after two seconds over 6f?
Zephyra
What is Roger Varian's strike rate at Beverley?
35% strike rate at Beverley from 68 runs
Which two horses share the Edward Bethell stable and what are their respective sires?
Benedetti by Stradivarius and Engedi by Ghaiyyath
How many times has Moudora run at Beverley and what was the result?
Ran 1 time here: 7th, no win or place
Which runners are noted as usually held up?
Zephyra, Roku Nana, Bearing In Time and Divine Concerto
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