6:15 Kempton (AW)
This Class 4 handicap division at Kempton over 6f on standard to slow ground brings together a field of ten largely exposed handicappers in the London Sprint Series Qualifier. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Moving Force heading the list on 60, closely followed by Sparksmith on 59, while the remainder sit between 55 and 43. With no obvious front-runner in a race that lacks a leader, the contest looks set to be decided by tactical positioning and a late burst of speed on a track where course form and draw will carry extra weight.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay dividends. Most of the field prefer to be held up and produce their effort late, meaning the race is likely to develop into a sprint for the line with those able to negotiate a clear run from mid-pack or behind holding the key. The central question is whether any horse can quicken decisively off a steady gallop or whether the prominent runners, few though they are, can steal an uncontested advantage.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Moving Force KTB Selection60/100
Moving Force is a fair performer who has been placed on three of his last six starts. He showed his best effort when runner-up over this course and trip on his most recent visit to Kempton. The 4-year-old acts on standard to slow ground and holds a solid draw in stall six. Trainer Mark Loughnane operates with a 9% strike rate at Kempton from 522 runs while Jack Mitchell takes the ride. Usually held up, Moving Force produces its effort late and this steadily-run race could suit his style perfectly. His recent form of 928723 underlines a consistent level of ability at this grade.
-
2Sparksmith59/100
Sparksmith is a fair 3-year-old with solid placed form including a second over this course and trip. He has won once at 6f from five starts and his recent efforts show consistency apart from a disappointing last run. Dropping in class looks a positive. The yard's modest 8% strike-rate at Kempton from 213 runs is a negative while the small sample on this surface leaves going suitability unknown, though he has placed once on standard to slow. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and will be hoping for a strong pace to run at from draw four. His form reads 3-2120.
-
3Rock Iguana55/100
Rock Iguana is a fair performer who has shown some spark at this track, finishing second here over 7f on his penultimate start. He drops back to his winning trip today having looked stretched last time out. The 4-year-old has placed on standard to slow going and holds a low draw in stall two. The yard's modest 4% strike rate at Kempton from 47 runs is a clear negative. Usually held up with high confidence, he produces his effort late and will need the steadily-run race to unfold in his favour. His recent form reads -26688.
-
4Star Chorus54/100
Star Chorus is a fair performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He has won over today's trip in the past but showed little on his only run on this type of ground. The trainer operates at an 8% strike rate here from 358 runs while the jockey is making his first appearance at the course. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and will be looking to improve on a recent form line of 566040. Drawn in stall one, he has no course form on record.
-
5Pixie Diva54/100
Pixie Diva is a fair performer who has shown enough consistency through her 11 runs this year, including a win at this trip. She has placed on her only start on standard to slow ground. The wide draw in stall 10 adds a layer of difficulty from a track where her trainer operates at an 8% strike rate from 165 runs. Callum Rodriguez takes the ride on a horse whose recent form reads 612835. Usually held up, she produces her effort late and will need luck in running if the race develops into a sprint for the line.
-
6Em Four52/100
Em Four is a fair sort who has won over this trip and at Kempton, showing he handles the track and standard-to-slow ground well enough. He has been in and out this year with a 785150 record from 35 runs and looks exposed at this level now. The yard posts an 11 percent strike rate here from a big sample while William Carver has a 9 percent record from 67 rides at the track.
-
7Amazonian Dream49/100
Amazonian Dream is a fair performer with a solid course record here, having won one of four starts at Kempton. He has won six times at this trip from 49 attempts and also has a win on standard to slow ground from five runs, though his recent form of 221745 shows mixed results. The trainer has a 10 percent strike rate from 730 runs at the track while the jockey has limited experience here.
-
8From The Hip49/100
From The Hip is a fair performer who has already won over this trip and at Kempton. He showed useful form when third in a stronger race here last time and handles standard to slow ground. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at the track is a negative. Typically settles in midfield.
-
9Goldwork43/100
Goldwork is a modest performer who has shown some consistency on this track, finishing third and fourth in two runs at Kempton. Has won over today's 6f trip but his recent form figures of 037364 suggest he is vulnerable to anything better than average at this level. Trainer's modest 9% strike rate here from a big sample and the horse's placed record on standard to slow going add up to a fairly exposed profile.
-
10Artanis43/100
Artanis is a fair 3-year-old with solid placed form and two wins from five runs, though both victories came over 7f. Dropping back to an untried 6f poses a fresh question. The yard has an 8% strike-rate from 129 runs at Kempton AW. Usually held up.
KTB verdict
Moving Force is the KTB Selection. A fair performer who has been placed on three of his last six starts, he showed his best effort when runner-up over this course and trip on his most recent visit and acts on standard to slow ground from a solid draw in stall six. The steadily-run race should suit his usual held-up style, and the combination of course placings and trainer-jockey figures gives him every chance. His main dangers are Sparksmith, who brings solid placed form and a class drop, and Rock Iguana, who has shown spark at the track and returns to his winning trip.
KTB Selection Moving Force
This is the narrative read of the 6:15 Kempton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Kempton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Kempton (AW) results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best recent course and distance form?
Moving Force showed his best effort when runner-up over this course and trip on his most recent visit.
How does the lack of an obvious leader affect the race?
The race lacks a leader and is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
What is the trainer strike rate at Kempton for the yard of the selection?
Trainer Mark Loughnane has a 9% strike rate at Kempton (AW) from 522 runs.
Which horse is dropping in class?
Sparksmith is dropping in class.
Which runner returns to his winning trip having been stretched over further last time?
Rock Iguana drops back to his winning trip today having looked stretched last time.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies