No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).
Deterministic profile computed from 121 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well in Chase races (7.1%, n=42). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.36 across 65 runners (1.5% strike, −50.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−2.1
n=49 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
33.3%+29.2
n=3 · A/E 11.39 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.1
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up0% vs 4.1% · n=37
In Chase races7.1% vs 4.1% · n=42
With a new jockey booking1.5% vs 4.1% · n=67
On Good going1.5% vs 4.1% · n=65
Over 2m1f – 2m4f6.1% vs 4.1% · n=66
In Class 45.9% vs 4.1% · n=85 · A/E 1.58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle7822.6%−51.00
Chase4237.1%−23.50
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good6511.5%−50.00
Good to Soft2414.2%−12.00
Soft2200%−22.00
Good to Firm7342.9%+11.50
Heavy300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Huntingdon2600%−26.00
Fontwell2129.5%−11.00
Worcester1119.1%+4.00
Market Rasen1000%−10.00
Southwell800%−8.00
Fakenham700%−7.00
Warwick600%−6.00
Plumpton500%−5.00
Ludlow400%−4.00
Exeter300%−3.00
Stratford3266.7%+17.50
Wincanton200%−2.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Uttoxeter200%−2.00
Folkestone200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 48555.9%−39.50
Class 52700%−27.00
Class 3700%−7.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite4125%1.36+0.00
2nd–3rd fav7114.3%1.03−1.00
4th–6th fav3126.5%1.26−10.50
7th+ in betting7911.3%0.88−64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f6646.1%−35.50
1m5f – 2m3113.2%−16.00
2m5f – 3m2100%−21.00
Over 3m300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082300%−23.00
200915213.3%−5.00
20101119.1%+4.00
20116116.7%+2.50
201211100%+11.00
2013800%−8.00
20141400%−14.00
2015800%−8.00
20161500%−15.00
20171100%−11.00
2018300%−3.00
2019600%−6.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6646.1%−32.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners3512.9%−23.00
5-7 runners3412.9%−25.50
8-10 runners3026.7%−20.00
14-16 runners1815.6%−3.00
17+ runners400%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 14 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 10 had their first archived run for this yard.
2 have since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000017251340000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Majy D'auteuil (FR) — Happy 50th Birthday Ian Gibbens Handicap Chase Fontwell · Jun 2009 · Class 4
Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.
Beneficial (GB)0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.
Milan (GB)8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,848 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Classic Cliche (IRE)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
Dear Doctor (FR)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 6.6% of 137 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 146 · newest first
The latest 50 of 146 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 26 May 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Alan Jessop's strike rate?
Alan Jessop has won 5 of 121 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Alan Jessop's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 121 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Alan Jessop·SR 4.1%·A/E 1.13
KTB
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