Colin Bolger
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 7% (59 rides).
It is weakest at Worcester (0% over 44 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −201.67 to a £1 stake over 375 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Chris Gordon supplied 19% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.5%, A/E 0.76). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the E.B.F./TBA Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase Final at Newbury (Mar 2009, £28,189). The standout partner of the record was Aimigayle (GB) — 7 wins from 33 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Dec.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,710 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,710 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 11 September 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Colin Bolger's strike rate?
- Colin Bolger has won 56 of 1,193 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Colin Bolger do best at?
- Towcester by strike rate: 4 wins from 59 rides (6.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Colin Bolger ride most for?
- Chris Gordon, with 221 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (4.5%).
- What is Colin Bolger's Fair A/E?
- 0.77, from 1,191 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.