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Trainer profile

Augustine Leahy

1,286 runners in the lifetime window · 164 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 18 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
64–1,286
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=1,286
234 (18%)
Placed
0.81
n=1,286 · 0.64 incl. margin
−574.76
£1 level stake
n=1,286 at SP · −44.7%
£873k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (91 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,286 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 22.2% when favourite Mark Walsh: 7.8% from 64 Headgear returns: 12.1% Claiming riders: 5.5% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races
The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 12.1% (n=91, Fair A/E 1.67), but debutants struggle at 1.4% (n=143, Fair A/E 0.54). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −125.50 to a £1 stake over 283 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mark Walsh rides 5% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.8% vs 5%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14%, n=50) and off a 8-14-day break (8.5%, n=199). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Easyfix Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Dec 2017, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Gra Geal Mo Chroi (IRE) — 6 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.5%−1.5
n=283 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −125.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
1.4%−3.6
n=143 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −115.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.1%−0.9
n=73 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −42.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.1%+7.1
n=91 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +67.75
When favourite
22.2%
n=45 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −6.76
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%+0.5
n=541 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −177.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.5%−0.5
n=22 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Shane Foley 16.3% vs 5% · n=43
Off a 0-7-day break 14% vs 5% · n=50
With headgear back on 12.1% vs 5% · n=91
With Emmet McNamara 11.5% vs 5% · n=61
With Dylan Browne McMonagle 11.3% vs 5% · n=53
Off a 8-14-day break 8.5% vs 5% · n=199
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 764 44 5.8% −282.59
Hurdle 411 15 3.6% −264.17
NH Flat 79 3 3.8% −36.00
Chase 32 2 6.3% +8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 397 22 5.5% −187.79
Good 322 16 5% −155.00
Heavy 290 16 5.5% −118.97
Good to Firm 92 3 3.3% −26.50
Good to Soft 87 2 2.3% −55.50
Standard (AW) 85 5 5.9% −18.00
Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 224 12 5.4% −124.39
Cork 210 10 4.8% −114.50
Tipperary 110 7 6.4% −17.75
Listowel 109 7 6.4% −29.00
Killarney 100 3 3% −62.00
Dundalk (AW) 85 5 5.9% −18.00
Clonmel 57 1 1.8% −44.00
Tramore 46 4 8.7% −4.50
Gowran Park 46 3 6.5% −16.00
Ballinrobe 43 3 7% −10.25
Naas 40 0 0% −40.00
Galway 29 0 0% −29.00
Curragh 29 0 0% −29.00
Thurles 27 0 0% −27.00
Roscommon 25 5 20% +54.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 22 1 4.5% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 57 12 21.1% 1.01 −8.01
2nd–3rd fav 172 9 5.2% 0.38 −120.75
4th–6th fav 331 23 6.9% 1.04 −53.00
7th+ in betting 726 20 2.8% 0.92 −393.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gra Geal Mo Chroi (IRE) 47 6 16 27 Jul 13
Pleased As Punch (IRE) 44 2 18 27 Jul 17
Han Solo (GB) 43 2 11 16 Jul 25
Linger For Longer (IRE) 41 3 8 29 Sep 26
Ecoeye (GB) 40 4 16 4 Jun 22
Improving (IRE) 36 1 8 12 Jun 24
Borussia (IRE) 32 0 6 17 Mar 16
Trade Marked (IRE) 30 2 8 16 Jun 18
Danequest (IRE)then Rodger Sweeney 29 1 8 30 Mar 13
Wait Here (IRE) 28 3 11 8 May 21
Nearly Nama'd (IRE)from Ms Sandra Hughes 26 2 4 18 Apr 21
Drombeg Dream (IRE) 25 5 7 28 Feb 20
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 164 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
032635837745
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMark Walsh
5% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 1.09
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Walsh 64 5 7.8% −20.17
Emmet McNamara 61 7 11.5% +14.50
Dylan Browne McMonagle 53 6 11.3% +9.75
Fran Berry 48 3 6.3% −21.25
Wayne Lordan 43 2 4.7% +4.00
Shane Foley 43 7 16.3% +10.53
Niall P Madden 39 0 0% −39.00
W J Lee 35 1 2.9% −24.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
74
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.01m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nearly Nama'd (IRE) — Easyfix Handicap Chase (grade B) Fairyhouse · Dec 2017 · Grade B
£29,500
Nearly Nama'd (IRE) — John J. Galvin Handicap Chase Listowel · Jun 2019
£23,600
Aseasyas (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F Fillies Handicap (60-90) Cork · Aug 2009
£15,299

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Big Bad Bob (IRE) 3.6% · 3–84
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2008 (314 horses).
High Chaparral (IRE) 3.5% · 2–57
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Imperial Ballet (IRE) 12.8% · 6–47
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.
Stardan (IRE) 2.1% · 1–47
Progeny have won 4.7% of 128 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Havana Gold (IRE) 4.7% · 2–43
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,058 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 117. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Fulbright (GB) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 6.7% of 628 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9.8% from 214.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,553 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,553 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 11 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Augustine Leahy's strike rate?
Augustine Leahy has won 64 of 1,286 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Augustine Leahy do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 4 wins from 46 runners (8.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Augustine Leahy?
Mark Walsh, with 64 runners since 2008 — 5% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.8%).
What is Augustine Leahy's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 1,286 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).