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Trainer profile

Brian Mortell

94 runners in the lifetime window · 9 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 34 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–94
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=94
4 (4%)
Placed
0.46
Fair A/E
n=94 · 0.36 incl. margin
−86.00
£1 level stake
n=94 at SP · −91.5%
£15,197
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−1.1
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 0% vs 1.1% · n=58 · A/E 0.00
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 1.1% · n=53 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 54 1 1.9% −46.00
Hurdle 28 0 0% −28.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 33 0 0% −33.00
Soft 30 0 0% −30.00
Heavy 19 1 5.3% −11.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 18 0 0% −18.00
Kilbeggan 10 0 0% −10.00
Ballinrobe 8 0 0% −8.00
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Thurles 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 1 50% 5.26 +6.00
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 78 0 0% 0.00 −78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73.2% completed · 82 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 54 68.5% 0 1 16 0 0
Hurdle 28 82.1% 0 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Three Loud Knocks (IRE)from A J McNamara 32 1 3 26 Nov 24
Daicheadacuig (IRE) 21 0 1 26 Jul 24
Three County Star (IRE) 15 0 0 30 Sep 26
Jessie Roe (IRE) 8 0 0 17 Jul 26
My Good Pal (IRE)then Gavin Cromwell 7 0 0 22 Oct 23
Casafierna (IRE) 5 0 0 18 Nov 25
Westwind Star (GB) 3 0 0 18 May 23
Millview Storm (IRE) 2 0 0 14 May 19
Small World (IRE)from Peter Fahey 1 0 0 7 Jun 21
All 9 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 9 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0014000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Darragh O'Keeffe 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Ben Harvey 9 0 0% −9.00
Mr P W Gleeson 8 0 0% −8.00
Michael O'Sullivan 7 0 0% −7.00
J J Slevin 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane O'Callaghan 5 0 0% −5.00
Calum Hogan 4 0 0% −4.00
Phillip Enright 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr J C Barry 3 0 0% −3.00
Miss M O'Sullivan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr S Staples 3 0 0% −3.00
Jack Foley 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
1
Archived wins
£15,197
Prize money
2022
Best season · 1 win
Three Loud Knocks (IRE) — Clonmel Handicap Chase (0-95) Clonmel · Mar 2022
£5,900
Notable horses
Three Loud Knocks (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 2.4% · 1–42
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,869 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,180 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).
Casamento (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,628 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,830 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 94 · newest first

The latest 50 of 94 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2019 to 30 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Three County Star (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 8th 14/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Three County Star (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Racing Again October 25th & 26th Handicap Steeplechase25f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 33/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Three County Star (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Bay Leaf Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 28/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Three County Star (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Steeplechase (Div I)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 12/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Jessie Roe (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran PU 300/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Three County Star (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 7/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Jessie Roe (IRE)J: Mr S J Kenny Old Harbour Bar Tullamore (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 10th 125/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Three County Star (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Paul Kavanagh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22.5f · Good · 15 ran 5th 11/1
28 May 26 Limerick Jessie Roe (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Great National South Court Hotel And Dial A Bus Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 15 ran PU 80/1
11 May 26 Killarney Jessie Roe (IRE)J: Ms E M Shanahan Executive Helicopters Ladies (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 100/1
10 May 26 Cork Three County Star (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran 13th 11/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Jessie Roe (IRE)J: Mr S J Kenny Cork & Waterford Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 80/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Three County Star (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Leisure Dome Ltd. Marquee Hire Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 150/1
15 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Three County Star (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)20f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 50/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Three County Star (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Limerick Racecourse Vets Maiden Hurdle (In Memory Of Andrew McNamara)19f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 8th 100/1
18 Nov 25 Limerick Casafierna (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Racecourse Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 80/1
13 Nov 25 Punchestown Three County Star (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Matchbook Best Odds On Horse Racing Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Heavy · 21 ran 19th 80/1
06 Nov 25 Clonmel Casafierna (IRE)J: Ben Harvey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 300/1
18 Oct 25 Limerick Three County Star (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Vision Contracting Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 9th 33/1
24 Sep 25 Listowel Casafierna (IRE)J: Mr P W Gleeson Listowel Vintners Association Flat Race20f · Yielding · 15 ran 14th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Mortell's strike rate?
Brian Mortell has won 1 of 94 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Brian Mortell's Fair A/E?
0.46, from 94 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).