Alan O'Sullivan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).
It is weakest at Limerick (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.5% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −140.34 to a £1 stake over 244 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Eugene M O'Sullivan supplies 17% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (4.6% vs 8.3%, A/E 0.96). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.2% over 142 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Aug–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 521 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 521 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2020 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Alan O'Sullivan's strike rate?
- Alan O'Sullivan has won 42 of 507 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Alan O'Sullivan do best at?
- Listowel by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 rides (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Alan O'Sullivan ride most for?
- Eugene M O'Sullivan, with 87 rides since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (4.6%).
- Is Alan O'Sullivan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 18 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.1%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.3% since 2022.
- What is Alan O'Sullivan's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 506 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.