What is C S Shum's strike rate?

C S Shum has won 15 of 153 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does C S Shum do best at?

Sha Tin by strike rate: 10 wins from 98 runners (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is C S Shum's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

C S Shum

153 runners in the lifetime window · 70 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 35 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

15–153

Wins / Runs

9.8%

Strike rate

n=153

42 (28%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=68 · 0.84 incl. margin

+83.00

£1 level stake

n=68 at SP · +122.1%

£2.31m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them. The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 12% off breaks of two months or more (41 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 153 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.2%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 6.3% (n=48, Fair A/E 2.28). The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (15.2%, n=33). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King's Stand Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2012, £198,485).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.2%+2.4

n=41 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−9.8

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Debutants · first career start

11.5%+1.7

n=61 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +97.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.4%−0.4

n=53 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +94.00

When favourite

10%

n=10 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −7.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.3%−3.5

n=48 · A/E 2.28 · £1 +50.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

50%+40.2

n=2 · A/E 6.18 · £1 +11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 15.2% vs 9.8% · n=33

With claiming riders up 6.3% vs 9.8% · n=48

With a new jockey booking 7.6% vs 9.8% · n=118

At Happy Valley 7.4% vs 9.8% · n=54

In Class 4 7.5% vs 9.8% · n=40

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 17.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 66 7 10.6% +90.00

Good to Firm 65 6 9.2% −14.00

Good to Soft 13 2 15.4% +12.00

Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sha Tin 98 10 10.2% +82.00

Happy Valley 54 4 7.4% −11.00

Ascot 1 1 100% +12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 40 3 7.5% +25.00

Class 3 23 2 8.7% +49.00

Class 5 9 0 0% −7.00

Class 1 2 1 50% +11.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 10 1 10% 0.34 −7.00

2nd–3rd fav 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00

4th–6th fav 14 3 21.4% 3.07 +21.00

7th+ in betting 37 2 5.4% 2.03 +76.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Double Alpha (NZ) 6 0 1 1 Oct 26

Grouper (AUS) 5 0 2 16 Sep 26

Sugar Goodson (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 4 0 0 4 Oct 26

General Smart (AUS) 4 1 2 1 Oct 26

Word Of Kindness (NZ) 4 0 0 27 Sep 26

Circuit Champion (GB) 4 0 3 27 Sep 26

Gorgeous Victory (AUS) 4 0 2 13 Sep 26

Grand Turbo (NZ) 4 0 0 13 Sep 26

The Perfect Match (NZ) 4 1 1 9 Sep 26

Eternal Fortune (GB)from Nigel Tinkler 3 0 0 4 Oct 26

King Equine (AUS) 3 0 1 4 Oct 26

General Redwood (NZ) 3 0 1 4 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 70 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

····01016·130··

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

L Hewitson 28 2 7.1% −7.00

Zac Purton 25 7 28% +4.00

Ellis Wong 18 0 0% −4.00

Matthew Poon 13 0 0% −8.00

Angus Chung 11 0 0% −4.00

Jerry Chau 9 3 33.3% +62.00

H Bowman 8 1 12.5% +7.00

Andrea Atzeni 7 1 14.3% −4.00

Richard Kingscote 6 0 0% —

B Avdulla 5 0 0% −2.00

Nichola Yuen 4 0 0% −2.00

K C Leung 4 1 25% +48.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.31m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 14 wins

Little Bridge (NZ) — King's Stand Stakes (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2012 · Group 1

£198,485

Packing Fighter (IRE) — Mesia Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026

£165,329

Nyx Gluck (NZ) — Yiu Tung Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026

£150,005

Notable horses

Nyx Gluck (NZ) The Perfect Match (NZ) General Smart (AUS) Leading Agility (AUS) Anode (AUS) Winning Champion (AUS)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Darci Brahma (NZ) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 4.3% of 23 runs since 2026 (10 horses). A small sample.

Deep Field (AUS) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2026 (41 horses).

Zousain (AUS) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 7.9% of 38 runs since 2026 (16 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,225 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.

Redwood (GB) 40% · 2–5

Progeny have won 16.7% of 12 runs since 2026 (4 horses). A small sample.

Snitzel (AUS) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 4.5% of 22 runs since 2015 (11 horses). A small sample.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 153 · newest first

The latest 50 of 153 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 June 2012 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Shanghai Warrior (AUS)J: Lyle Hewitson Yau Kom Tau Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Eternal Fortune (GB)J: Britney Wong Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) King Equine (AUS)J: Richard Kingscote The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap)9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Call Me Magnifique (AUS)J: Matthew Poon The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap)9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Forever Folks (AUS)J: K C Leung The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap)9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 2nd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Sugar Goodson (IRE)J: K C Leung The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) General Redwood (NZ)J: Brenton Avdulla Sha Tsui Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Sea Diamond (AUS)J: Nichola Yuen Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Gorgeous Win (AUS)J: Richard Kingscote Muk Min Ha Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Wolf Coming (IRE)J: Lyle Hewitson Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Joyfield (BRZ)J: K C Leung Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Bravefield (BRZ)J: Lyle Hewitson Beijing Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Joker Orbit (AUS)J: Jerry Chau Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Circuit Century (NZ)J: H T Mo Jinan Handicap9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Double Alpha (NZ)J: Matthew Poon Hangzhou Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) President Pegasus (GB)J: Karis Teetan Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) General Smart (AUS)J: Andrea Atzeni Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Flash Star (NZ)J: Jerry Chau Nanning Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Majestic Valour (AUS)J: Zac Purton Shanghai Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Packing Fighter (IRE)J: Zac Purton Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C S Shum's strike rate?: C S Shum has won 15 of 153 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C S Shum do best at?: Sha Tin by strike rate: 10 wins from 98 runners (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is C S Shum's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.