Carmen Bocskai
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.27).
It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (5.2% over 77 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 6.5% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.79). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 7.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +0.10 to a £1 stake over 178 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mickael Forest rides 28% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.4% vs 9.5%, A/E 0.79). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (14%, n=129). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 48 runners, 9.5pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Pays de Bray at Deauville (FR) (Nov 2022, £29,412). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 498 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 498 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 June 2005 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Carmen Bocskai's strike rate?
- Carmen Bocskai has won 47 of 496 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Carmen Bocskai do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 142 runners (10.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Carmen Bocskai?
- Mickael Forest, with 141 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.4%).
- Is Carmen Bocskai in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Carmen Bocskai's Fair A/E?
- 1.27, from 485 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.