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Trainer profile

Chester Williams

58 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
14–58
Wins / Runs
24.1%
Strike rate
n=58
26 (45%)
Placed
1.49
Fair A/E
n=58 · 1.26 incl. margin
+3.17
£1 level stake
n=58 at SP · +5.5%
£176k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
20.5%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 24.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%−17.4
n=15 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −8.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%−7.4
n=6 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +1.00
Debutants · first career start
20%−4.1
n=5 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −2.38
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+0.9
n=4 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +0.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
33.3%+9.2
n=3 · A/E 2.12 · £1 +0.50
When favourite
46.2%
n=13 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +3.37
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−24.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%−9.8
n=7 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +1.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 24.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 27 6 22.2% +4.10
Chase 24 7 29.2% +3.45
NH Flat 7 1 14.3% −4.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 27 10 37% +13.97
Good 20 3 15% −3.30
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 2 1 50% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 9 2 22.2% +4.60
Chepstow 8 2 25% +2.00
Wincanton 8 3 37.5% +1.50
Newton Abbot 5 3 60% +8.62
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 4 1 25% +0.00
Ffos Las 3 2 66.7% +3.25
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Ascot 2 1 50% +2.20
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Worcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Taunton 1 0 0% −1.00
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 22 9 40.9% +16.85
Class 3 13 2 15.4% −5.30
Class 1 8 1 12.5% +0.50
Class 5 8 2 25% −1.88
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 7 43.8% 1.41 +3.87
2nd–3rd fav 17 5 29.4% 1.77 +8.30
4th–6th fav 16 2 12.5% 1.47 +0.00
7th+ in betting 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.2% completed · 51 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 24 87.5% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 27 92.6% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Haas Boy (FR)from Emma Lavelle 9 4 7 31 Oct 26
Great Dance (FR) 7 1 4 4 Nov 26
Loki's Mischief (FR)from Jane Williams 7 2 4 29 Oct 26
Tenter Le Tout (FR) 7 3 3 10 Oct 26
Uncle Phil (IRE)from W P Mullins 7 0 0 4 May 26
Jupiter Allen (FR)from Jane Williams 6 1 2 10 Oct 26
Indannya (FR) 5 2 3 21 Mar 26
Firestream (GB)from Anthony Honeyball 4 0 0 5 Nov 26
The Four Sixes (IRE)from Olly Murphy 2 1 1 28 Oct 26
Triple Edge (GB) 2 0 0 7 Apr 26
Guste's Dance (FR) 2 0 2 4 Apr 26
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jane Williams (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
330251750···0252522
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Lorcan Williams 24 5 20.8% −6.75
Harry Cobden 14 4 28.6% +9.22
Ciaran Gethings 5 0 0% −5.00
Gavin Sheehan 3 1 33.3% +5.50
Tom Bellamy 3 2 66.7% +3.70
Sam Twiston-Davies 2 0 0% −2.00
Bryan Carver 2 0 0% −2.00
Isabelle Ryder 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean Houlihan 1 0 0% −1.00
Rex Dingle 1 1 100% +3.00
Freddie Gingell 1 1 100% +0.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
14
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£176k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
Tenter Le Tout (FR) — Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Chepstow · Dec 2025 · Grade 2
£47,552
Haas Boy (FR) — Ascot Racecourse Supports Priors Court School Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Ascot · Mar 2026 · Class 3
£18,484
Jupiter Allen (FR) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Dick Hunt Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Wincanton · Jan 2026 · Class 3
£13,392
Notable horses
Haas Boy (FR) Tenter Le Tout (FR) Loki's Mischief (FR) Indannya (FR) Great Dance (FR) Jupiter Allen (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
No Risk At All (FR) 35.7% · 5–14
Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,160 runs since 2016 (438 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 953.
Diamond Boy (FR) 44.4% · 4–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 2,296 runs since 2016 (288 horses).
Doctor Dino (FR) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 16% of 3,227 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 563. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 695. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,045 runs since 2011 (707 horses).
Castle Du Berlais (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 12.9% of 518 runs since 2022 (106 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 165.
Bathyrhon (GER) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,194 runs since 2019 (188 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 58 · newest first

The latest 50 of 58 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 October 2025 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Newbury Firestream (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 6th 20/1
04 Nov 26 Chepstow Great Dance (FR)J: Lorcan Williams DragonBet Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 100/30F
31 Oct 26 Ascot Haas Boy (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Sodexo Live! Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 4/1J
29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Loki's Mischief (FR)J: Ciaran Gethings Walters Group Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/4
28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot The Four Sixes (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 3/1
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot The Four Sixes (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 13/2
11 Oct 26 Chepstow Haas Boy (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 15/2
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Jupiter Allen (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 12th 20/1
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Great Dance (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Dragonbet Backing Welsh Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 9/2
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Tenter Le Tout (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow 'four Years Old' Hurdle Race (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 11/2
25 Sep 26 Worcester Loki's Mischief (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 7th 7/1
20 May 26 Ffos Las Loki's Mischief (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Francky Du Berlais Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 1st 7/4F
05 May 26 Ffos Las Loki's Mischief (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Adept GRP Cabinets Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/2F
04 May 26 Warwick Uncle Phil (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Moore & Tibbits Solicitors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 14/1
04 May 26 Warwick Great Dance (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Moore & Tibbits Family Fun Day Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 4/11F
15 Apr 26 Haydock Firestream (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Read Nicky Hendersons Unibet Blog Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 10/1
15 Apr 26 Haydock Great Dance (FR)J: Lorcan Williams Unibet Abram Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 4th 12/1
11 Apr 26 Chepstow Tenter Le Tout (FR)J: Freddie Gingell Tiptop Duel Flush Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 1/2F
07 Apr 26 Exeter Loki's Mischief (FR)J: Lorcan Williams It Pays To Buy Irish Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/4F
07 Apr 26 Exeter Triple Edge (GB)J: Bryan Carver Ludo Sports & Live Lounge 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 6/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Chester Williams's strike rate?
Chester Williams has won 14 of 58 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 24.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Chester Williams in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chester Williams's Fair A/E?
1.49, from 58 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).