What is Daniela Mele's strike rate?

Daniela Mele has won 155 of 1,118 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Daniela Mele do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 96 wins from 712 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Daniela Mele?

L Brechet, with 188 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (16%).

Is Daniela Mele in form?

In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 9.1%. That is below the baseline of 13.9% since 2008.

What is Daniela Mele's Fair A/E?

1.19, from 1,109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Daniela Mele

1,118 runners in the lifetime window · 312 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.0% of 267 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

155–1,118

Wins / Runs

13.9%

Strike rate

n=1,118

380 (34%)

Placed

1.19

Fair A/E

n=1,109 · 0.99 incl. margin

−110.23

£1 level stake

n=1,115 at SP · −9.9%

£8.16m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.19). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (311 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,118 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 18.6% 37.9% when favourite L Brechet: 16% from 188 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 18.6% (n=311, Fair A/E 1.57), but debutants struggle at 8.9% (n=292, Fair A/E 0.91). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 13% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +28.42 to a £1 stake over 223 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 2 from 22 runners in the last 14 days (9.1%, 4.8pts below the 13.9% baseline). L Brechet rides 17% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16% vs 13.9%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (20.9%, n=206). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 5.7% over 53 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 42 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2023, £358,407). The stable star of the record: Kandy Park (FR) — 8 wins from 15 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

18.6%+4.7

n=311 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +78.45

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.1%−4.8

n=22 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −10.50

Debutants · first career start

8.9%−5.0

n=292 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −73.88

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13%−0.9

n=223 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +28.42

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

25%+11.1

n=12 · A/E 3.37 · £1 +9.30

When favourite

37.9%

n=132 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +9.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.3%−4.6

n=129 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −42.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.7%+0.8

n=286 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +0.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 29.9% vs 13.9% · n=127

With Johnny Charron 25.4% vs 13.9% · n=142

With James Reveley 22.7% vs 13.9% · n=97

Off a 61-180-day break 20.9% vs 13.9% · n=206

With C&D winners 20.6% vs 13.9% · n=175

Off a 8-14-day break 5.7% vs 13.9% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 578 77 13.3% −69.65

Chase 420 55 13.1% −36.46

Flat 116 20 17.2% −12.22

NH Flat 4 3 75% +8.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 555 73 13.2% −57.15

Soft 479 67 14% −57.58

Standard (AW) 43 7 16.3% +9.70

Good to Soft 30 7 23.3% +4.00

Good 11 1 9.1% −9.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 712 96 13.5% −56.90

Compiegne (FR) 226 28 12.4% −17.70

Deauville (FR) 33 4 12.1% +3.00

Pau (FR) 28 3 10.7% −16.50

Dieppe (FR) 24 2 8.3% −18.76

Saint-Malo (FR) 13 2 15.4% +6.00

Longchamp (FR) 13 3 23.1% +0.80

Clairefontaine (FR) 12 1 8.3% −6.40

Chantilly (FR) 10 3 30% +6.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 10 3 30% −2.50

Craon (FR) 7 1 14.3% −4.62

Argentan (FR) 4 1 25% −2.20

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 4 2 50% +1.50

Moulins (FR) 3 2 66.7% +7.00

Nantes (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 290 42 14.5% −3.30

Class 3 11 1 9.1% −8.75

Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 5 2 1 50% +1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 145 56 38.6% 1.37 +19.27

2nd–3rd fav 270 52 19.3% 1.19 +5.00

4th–6th fav 375 33 8.8% 1.05 −63.70

7th+ in betting 325 12 3.7% 0.97 −70.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.5% completed · 998 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 420 80.2% 35 17 31 0 0

Hurdle 578 80.6% 27 5 80 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Brexit (FR) 22 5 11 1 Mar 26

Pistache Dore (FR) 20 6 8 19 Apr 26

Poulorius (FR) 19 1 6 28 Aug 26

Capodimonte (FR) 18 1 8 29 Nov 25

La Danza (FR) 18 3 10 11 Mar 23

Johnny Roque (FR) 17 5 7 11 Oct 26

Youtwo Glass (FR) 17 3 5 8 Mar 25

Rosario Baron (FR) 16 7 12 18 Sep 25

Grandioso (FR) 16 4 7 18 May 24

Kandy Park (FR) 15 8 10 12 Oct 26

Zelzari (FR) 14 5 10 11 Oct 26

Amarna (FR) 14 0 3 30 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 312 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2); 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 22 9.1% · −4.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days9.1%

Lifetime base13.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8815131817171715101411

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderL Brechet

17% of all rides
16% SR · A/E 1.31

RiderRWSR£1

L Brechet 188 30 16% +17.62

Johnny Charron 142 36 25.4% +85.00

Lucas Zuliani 101 10 9.9% −51.40

James Reveley 97 22 22.7% −9.50

Clement Lefebvre 60 4 6.7% −37.70

Kevin Nabet 57 8 14% −13.50

Romain Julliot 55 5 9.1% +3.70

Nicolas Gauffenic 33 4 12.1% −6.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

155

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.16m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 35 wins

Rosario Baron (FR) — Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2023 · Grade 1

£358,407

Leader Sport (FR) — Prix Maurice Gillois - Grand Steeple-Chase des 4 ans (Chase) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2025 · Grade 1

£122,727

Pistache Dore (FR) — Prix Alain du Breil - Course de Haies de Printemps des Quatre Ans (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2024 · Grade 1

£108,783

Notable horses

Kandy Park (FR) Rosario Baron (FR) Jeu De Thaix (FR) Pistache Dore (FR) Brexit (FR) Johnny Roque (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martinborough (JPN) 12.5% · 8–64

Progeny have won 12.1% of 655 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 16.6% from 157.

Joshua Tree (IRE) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 12% of 834 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 21.9% from 160. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 124.

Masked Marvel (GB) 19.6% · 11–56

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,608 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 283.

Pastorius (GER) 10.9% · 5–46

Progeny have won 12.6% of 746 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 107.

It's Gino (GER) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 13.7% of 963 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.4% from 222. Weakest on Soft going: 10.1% from 308. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.7% from 227.

Kapgarde (FR) 2.4% · 1–41

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,611 runs since 2008 (723 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,118 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,118 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 October 2019 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Precious Lady (FR)J: O Longuet Prix De Putanges9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Liskaria (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix General DonnioClass 1 · 22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 5th 3/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nous Y Voila (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Emilius18f · Very Soft · 13 ran PU 15/2

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Pinotcalo (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Emilius18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 12th 18/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nonpareils (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Emilius18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 10th 10/1

22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Made In'k (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Al Capone IiClass 2 · 22f · Very Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Majara (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Px Merc. 21.10.2026-dern. Journ. Des Anim. Equidays(px D.l'et. D.vtes)12f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Provokateur (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 5/2J

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Skoaz (FR)J: Lucas Zuliani Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Nomade D'ainay (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Bel Atlantique (FR)J: Mathis Zuliani Prix Saccageur17f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 100/30

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Ram Sea (IRE)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 12/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Monsieur Maurice (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 22/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Monsieur Sun (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Adrien BesnouinClass 2 · 18f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 14/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Nemes Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Anthony Renard Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Noirci (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Isopani18f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 5/2F

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Kandy Park (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Gerard De MarisyClass 3 · 21f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/4F

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Inlandsis (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix BayonnetClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Zelzari (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Grand Prix De L'hippodrome De Lyon-la-soieClass 1 · 9f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 5/1

11 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Irish D'aunou (FR)J: Hugo Boutin Prix SareptaClass 3 · 9f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniela Mele's strike rate?: Daniela Mele has won 155 of 1,118 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniela Mele do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 96 wins from 712 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Daniela Mele?: L Brechet, with 188 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (16%).
Is Daniela Mele in form?: In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 9.1%. That is below the baseline of 13.9% since 2008.
What is Daniela Mele's Fair A/E?: 1.19, from 1,109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.