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Trainer profile

Denis Paul Murphy

62 runners in the last 5 seasons · 24 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–62
Wins / Runs
3.2%
Strike rate
n=62
14 (23%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=62 · 0.49 incl. margin
−43.00
£1 level stake
n=62 at SP · −69.4%
£56,481
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%+2.4
n=18 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
33.3%+30.1
n=3 · A/E 2.33 · £1 +6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.2
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−0.6
n=38 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −29.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 5.7% vs 3.2% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 35 2 5.7% −16.00
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00
Hurdle 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 21 2 9.5% −2.00
Good to Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Good 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 21 1 4.8% −12.00
Wexford 10 1 10% +0.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Cork 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 28 2 7.1% 1.40 −9.00
7th+ in betting 27 0 0% 0.00 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75% completed · 48 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 35 74.3% 0 1 8 0 0
Hurdle 13 76.9% 0 1 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Three By Two (IRE)from Alan McIntyre 20 2 6 9 Oct 26
Lough Derg Spirit (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 6 0 3 30 Apr 26
Secret Order (IRE) 4 0 0 5 Jun 26
Empire Soldier (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Apr 26
Manlikemike (IRE) 3 0 1 21 Apr 25
Angel's Peak (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Oct 24
Snow Delight (IRE) 2 0 0 9 Aug 24
Thief Of The Night (IRE) 2 0 1 12 Aug 23
Fisichella (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Jul 23
Bonilla (IRE) 2 0 0 7 Jul 23
Earl Of Desmond (GB)from Peter Fahey · then Henry Oliver 2 0 2 2 May 22
Kiwi De Cotte (FR)then Dan Skelton 1 0 0 7 May 26
All 24 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 24 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·008001100000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Deegan 13 1 7.7% −3.00
Mr S Cotter 12 0 0% −12.00
Mr J W Hendrick 12 0 0% −12.00
Conor Smithers 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr T Power Roche 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Mr E P Cloke 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr S Cavanagh 2 0 0% −2.00
Shane Fitzgerald 2 0 0% −2.00
Jordan Gainford 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean O'Keeffe 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr J J Berry 1 0 0% −1.00
Eoin Staples 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
16
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£341k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Another Jewel (IRE) — Prix Anjou-Loire Challenge (Chase) (Cross-Country) () (6yo+) (Turf) Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) · May 2010 · Listed
£44,602
Lord Of The Artic (IRE) — Supermacs Summer Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Jul 2005
£18,879
Another Jewel (IRE) — Avon Ri Corporate & Leisure Resort Chase For The La Touche Cup Punchestown · May 2011
£16,250
Notable horses
Another Jewel (IRE) Three By Two (IRE) Lord Of The Artic (IRE) Carlas Dream (IRE) Commanchewardance (IRE) An Culainn Beag (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Order Of St George (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 413 · newest first

The latest 50 of 413 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Three By Two (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 28/1
05 Jun 26 Clonmel Secret Order (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Talbot Hotel Clonmel (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 125/1
30 May 26 Tramore Secret Order (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Dunmore East Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran 12th 200/1
07 May 26 Wexford Kiwi De Cotte (FR)J: Mr J W Hendrick Buy Tickets Online Novice Hunters Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran PU 10/3F
30 Apr 26 Punchestown Lough Derg Spirit (IRE)J: Mr J J Berry Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase33f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 4th 25/1
28 Apr 26 Punchestown Empire Soldier (IRE)J: Mr S Cotter Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 33/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Secret Order (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Mouse Trap Bar & Bridge House Bar Pre Race Party Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 21 ran UR 250/1
07 Mar 26 Gowran Park Lough Derg Spirit (IRE)J: Mr J W Hendrick INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Tetratema Cup Hunters Chase25f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 40/1
03 Mar 26 Leopardstown Secret Order (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Golf, Padel, Range At Leopardstown Launching Spring 2026 Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 200/1
04 Feb 26 Punchestown Empire Soldier (IRE)J: Eoin Staples ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk P.P. Hogan Memorial Cross Country Chase25f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran PU 66/1
04 Feb 26 Punchestown Three By Two (IRE)J: Mr S Cotter ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk P.P. Hogan Memorial Cross Country Chase25f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 6th 25/1
20 Dec 25 Thurles Three By Two (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Molony Cup Handicap Chase25.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 9/1
23 Nov 25 Punchestown Lough Derg Spirit (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran UR 100/1
23 Nov 25 Punchestown Three By Two (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 4th 20/1
29 Aug 25 Wexford Three By Two (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Racing Again October 26th & 27th Handicap Chase (0-100)25f · Good · 16 ran 10th 12/1
22 Aug 25 Kilbeggan Messi Magic (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Peadar's Bar Moate Maiden Hurdle25f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 33/1
29 May 25 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Three By Two (IRE)J: J J Slevin France Sire Prix Anjou-Loire Challenge (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)36.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 11/1
01 May 25 Punchestown Empire Soldier (IRE)J: Mr J L Scallan Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase33f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 33/1
01 May 25 Punchestown Three By Two (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase33f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 11/1
29 Apr 25 Punchestown Iriko D'airy (FR)J: Mr S Cotter Kildare Hunt Club Cross Country Chase For The Ladies Perpetual Cup24.5f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Denis Paul Murphy's strike rate?
Denis Paul Murphy has won 2 of 62 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Denis Paul Murphy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Denis Paul Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 62 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).