What is Francois Nicolle's strike rate?

Francois Nicolle has won 843 of 4,541 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.6% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Francois Nicolle do best at?

Dieppe by strike rate: 14 wins from 53 runners (26.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Francois Nicolle?

A Zuliani, with 1,062 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 210 (19.8%).

Is Francois Nicolle in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 18.6% since 2008.

What is Francois Nicolle's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 4,300 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Francois Nicolle

4,541 runners in the lifetime window · 962 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.5% of 289 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 31 Oct 2026.

Runners today 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

843–4,541

Wins / Runs

18.6%

Strike rate

n=4,541

1,940 (43%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=4,300 · 0.90 incl. margin

−143.57

£1 level stake

n=4,469 at SP · −3.2%

£49.2m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 19% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). With a claiming rider up the record reads 24% (418 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,541 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 21.3% 34.5% when favourite A Zuliani: 19.8% from 1,062 New recruits: 21.4% Claiming riders: 24.2% Sends off the favourite in 23% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clairefontaine (26%, n=77), clear of the yard's 18.6% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 24.2% (n=418, Fair A/E 1.29), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 14.8% (n=1,787, Fair A/E 0.93). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 21.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.32 and +29.90 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 18.6pts below the 18.6% baseline). A Zuliani rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (19.8%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good going (29.1%, n=55). 267 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Le Defi des Haras - Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris at Auteuil (FR) (May 2025, £334,711). The stable star of the record: L'Autonomie (FR) — 16 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

21.3%+2.7

n=1,467 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +154.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

21.4%+2.8

n=126 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +29.90

Debutants · first career start

15.2%−3.4

n=836 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +51.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16%−2.6

n=451 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −41.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.2%−3.4

n=46 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +16.70

When favourite

34.5%

n=1,048 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −122.47

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

24.2%+5.6

n=418 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +61.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.8%−3.8

n=1,787 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −420.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With T Lemagnen 8.5% vs 18.6% · n=117

On Good going 29.1% vs 18.6% · n=55

With Felix De Giles 6.7% vs 18.6% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 24% vs 18.6% · n=761

With claiming riders up 24.2% vs 18.6% · n=418

At Clairefontaine 26% vs 18.6% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,521 448 17.8% −137.41

Chase 1,961 385 19.6% +12.74

Flat 59 10 16.9% −18.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,619 487 18.6% −14.40

Heavy 1,789 320 17.9% −157.75

Good to Soft 66 17 25.8% −10.60

Good 55 16 29.1% +36.28

Standard (AW) 6 1 16.7% +0.20

Good to Firm 2 1 50% +1.70

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 2,901 474 16.3% −363.55

Compiegne 858 191 22.3% +56.30

Enghien (FR) 295 59 20% +69.20

Clairefontaine 77 20 26% +11.10

Pau 69 11 15.9% −27.50

Dieppe 53 14 26.4% +24.80

Fontainebleau 29 7 24.1% −0.51

Toulouse 27 6 22.2% +5.98

Nantes 25 5 20% +2.30

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 24 9 37.5% +23.10

Angers 21 1 4.8% −17.20

Dax 20 10 50% +42.70

Lyon Parilly 17 4 23.5% −0.60

La Teste De Buch 17 7 41.2% +7.60

Moulins 11 3 27.3% +11.91

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,790 265 14.8% −423.70

Class 3 21 3 14.3% −3.62

Class 2 17 4 23.5% +43.25

Class 4 7 1 14.3% −4.50

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,086 364 33.5% 0.98 −153.27

2nd–3rd fav 1,642 300 18.3% 1.05 −184.10

4th–6th fav 1,241 125 10.1% 1.12 −74.30

7th+ in betting 500 37 7.4% 1.78 +268.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 3,060 597 19.5% −193.32

2m5f – 3m 971 159 16.4% +27.85

1m5f – 2m 409 74 18.1% +51.50

Over 3m 80 9 11.3% −27.90

1m2f – 1m4f 21 4 19% −1.70

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 13 2 15.4% —

2009 1 0 0% —

2010 51 7 13.7% −23.30

2011 73 12 16.4% +82.40

2012 115 24 20.9% +36.90

2013 164 35 21.3% +30.10

2014 157 37 23.6% +40.90

2015 227 37 16.3% −8.40

2016 243 46 18.9% +12.60

2017 286 66 23.1% +72.70

2018 377 74 19.6% +11.49

2019 427 88 20.6% −51.40

2020 489 105 21.5% +15.10

2021 525 101 19.2% −33.50

2022 432 65 15% −144.00

2023 290 43 14.8% −78.30

2024 199 32 16.1% −34.00

2025 226 34 15% −42.10

2026 246 35 14.2% −30.76

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 593 79 13.3% +8.40

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,666 318 19.1% −129.46

5-7 runners 1,101 252 22.9% −95.20

11-13 runners 877 128 14.6% +1.10

14-16 runners 526 55 10.5% −96.40

2-4 runners 193 63 32.6% +117.49

17+ runners 174 23 13.2% +54.40

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.4% completed · 4,481 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,960 82.4% 158 47 133 1 5

Hurdle 2,521 87.7% 101 16 184 0 9

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Poly Grandchamp (FR) 35 5 19 19 Sep 23

Alex De Larredya (FR) 35 11 21 2 Nov 19

The Stomp (FR)from J-C Rouget 34 13 22 11 May 20

Bipolaire (FR) 33 12 19 18 Oct 20

Golden Chop (FR)from M Boutin 33 5 12 26 Apr 18

Srelighonn (FR) 32 6 17 30 May 23

Porto Pollo (FR) 29 9 19 30 Nov 22

Kyrov (FR) 27 8 16 17 Sep 26

Figuero (FR) 27 10 16 8 Dec 24

Polirico (FR) 27 8 16 28 Feb 22

Hermes Baie (FR) 26 12 19 23 Feb 26

Six One (FR) 26 3 13 27 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 962 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J-C Rouget (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for D Sourdeau De Beauregard (2); 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 16 0% · −18.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

Lifetime base18.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

252118201720231821151719

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderA Zuliani

23% of all rides
19.8% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

A Zuliani 1,062 210 19.8% −186.16

Gaetan Masure 611 102 16.7% −91.10

Theo Chevillard 413 64 15.5% −57.50

Thomas Gueguen 291 68 23.4% +53.99

Bertrand Lestrade 230 54 23.5% −9.90

David Gallon 192 36 18.8% +42.00

Kevin Nabet 163 34 20.9% −14.40

Benoit Gicquel 157 39 24.8% +62.00

Lucas Zuliani 143 22 15.4% −44.90

Gaetan Olivier 125 26 20.8% +48.50

T Lemagnen 117 10 8.5% −24.70

Mlle Nathalie Desoutter 88 18 20.5% +24.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

849

Archived wins

267

Pattern / graded wins

£49.5m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 105 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Diamond Carl (FR) — Le Defi des Haras - Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2025 · Grade 1

£334,711

Bipolaire (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2017 · Grade 1

£211,538

Bipolaire (FR) — Prix la Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2019 · Grade 1

£210,811

Notable horses

L'Autonomie (FR) The Stomp (FR) De Bon Coeur (FR) Bipolaire (FR) Hermes Baie (FR) Alex De Larredya (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 17.7% · 41–231

Progeny have won 15% of 5,352 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Martaline (GB) 20.5% · 47–229

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,345 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Cokoriko (FR) 20.9% · 47–225

Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,298 runs since 2008 (379 horses).

Poliglote (GB) 15.5% · 31–200

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Network (GER) 13.6% · 27–198

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,768 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 274.

Doctor Dino (FR) 16.8% · 29–173

Progeny have won 16% of 3,205 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.9% from 557. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.8% from 693. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,568 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,568 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Nicobar (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 13/2

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Marie Rosalie (FR)J: Thomas Journiac Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Don Dino (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 100/30J

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Mon Fils Mady (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Andre AdeleClass 2 · 17f · Very Soft · 10 ran 5th 15/2

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Raffles Choice (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Jocelyn Monnier - Prix D'acheresClass 3 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Colescott (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Du Pont NeufClass 2 · 18.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 12/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Bel Enjeu (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix Robert Bates22f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 6/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Normandy Man (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Santo PietroClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 15 ran 5th 12/1

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Diamant Du Rheu (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix CerillyClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Olympic Story (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix De BesanconClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 9/2

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Kentucky Wood (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Grand Steeple-chase De CompiegneClass 1 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 22/1

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Game Of Storm (FR)J: Kevin Nabet Grand Steeple-chase De CompiegneClass 1 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran F 7/4F

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Boystone (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Dominique SartiniClass 1 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 14/1

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Northman (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix VatelysClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 5/2J

24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Belle Gosse (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix De Beaune18f · Heavy · 15 ran UR 20/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Non Conformiste (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix De Saint-raphael17f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lord Brett (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Ferdinand RiantClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 7/4F

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lacokokeldy (FR)J: Leo-Paul Brechet Prix Heros XiiClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 10 ran F 12/1

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Goliath Du Rheu (FR)J: Angelo Zuliani Prix Heros XiiClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 11/8F

17 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Marinello (FR)J: Tristan Lemagnen Prix OrcadaClass 1 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francois Nicolle's strike rate?: Francois Nicolle has won 843 of 4,541 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.6% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francois Nicolle do best at?: Dieppe by strike rate: 14 wins from 53 runners (26.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Francois Nicolle?: A Zuliani, with 1,062 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 210 (19.8%).
Is Francois Nicolle in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 18.6% since 2008.
What is Francois Nicolle's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 4,300 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.