Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat300%−3.00
Hurdle200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Soft200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW)300%−3.00
Fairyhouse100%−1.00
Limerick100%−1.00
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f200%−2.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps200%−2.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners200%−2.00
11-13 runners100%−1.00
17+ runners100%−1.00
8-10 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 4 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 4 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 3 had their first archived run for this yard.
1 has since run for another yard; 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Inistioge (IRE) — I.t.b.a Fillies Scheme E.B.F Dawn Run Mares Novice Chase (grade 3) Limerick · Mar 2010 · Grade 3
£27,625
Home Secretary (GB) — www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2010
Progeny have won 8% of 3,562 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,176 runs since 2008 (401 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,135 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,135 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2005 to 1 February 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Garvan Donnelly's strike rate?
Garvan Donnelly has won 0 of 5 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Garvan Donnelly·SR 0%·A/E 0.00
KTB
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