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Trainer profile

Georgie Howell

275 runners in the lifetime window · 32 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–275
Wins / Runs
1.1%
Strike rate
n=275
19 (7%)
Placed
0.40
Fair A/E
n=274 · 0.34 incl. margin
−224.00
£1 level stake
n=275 at SP · −81.5%
£78,425
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.40).

Deterministic profile computed from 275 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Tabitha Worsley: 1.1% from 273 Claiming riders: 1.2%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.47 and −193.00 to a £1 stake over 244 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tabitha Worsley rides 99% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (1.1%, A/E 0.40). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 124 runners (0% strike, −124.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.1
n=90 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −90.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.1
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.2%+0.1
n=244 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −193.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 3.5% vs 1.1% · n=86
In Chase races 0% vs 1.1% · n=124 · A/E 0.00
On Good going 0% vs 1.1% · n=114 · A/E 0.00
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.2% vs 1.1% · n=93 · A/E 0.62
In Hurdle races 2.1% vs 1.1% · n=143 · A/E 0.79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 143 3 2.1% −92.00
Chase 124 0 0% −124.00
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 114 0 0% −114.00
Good to Soft 71 2 2.8% −37.00
Soft 60 1 1.7% −43.00
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Market Rasen 22 1 4.5% −17.00
Huntingdon 22 0 0% −22.00
Fontwell 20 1 5% −3.00
Southwell 20 0 0% −20.00
Worcester 18 0 0% −18.00
Ffos Las 17 0 0% −17.00
Uttoxeter 17 0 0% −17.00
Ludlow 16 0 0% −16.00
Bangor-on-Dee 11 0 0% −11.00
Chepstow 11 0 0% −11.00
Warwick 11 0 0% −11.00
Stratford 11 0 0% −11.00
Hereford 10 0 0% −10.00
Sedgefield 10 0 0% −10.00
Plumpton 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 198 3 1.5% −147.00
Class 4 54 0 0% −54.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 6 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.26 −2.00
4th–6th fav 65 1 1.5% 0.34 −48.00
7th+ in betting 201 1 0.5% 0.30 −172.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.3% completed · 267 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 124 79% 1 1 24 0 0
Hurdle 143 77.6% 2 0 30 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Black Lightning (IRE)from Nick Gifford 30 2 5 7 Jun 24
Tis But A Scratch (GB) 24 0 3 10 Sep 26
Mawlood (IRE)from Phil Middleton 23 0 0 16 Oct 25
Ballywood (FR)from Alan King 19 0 3 3 Nov 26
Betterlatethanneva (IRE)from Robin Dickin 16 0 0 29 May 21
Dontworrywegotthis (GB) 14 0 0 13 Jun 26
Chain Smoker (GB)from Gary Moore 14 0 0 20 Jul 23
Puppet Warrior (GB)from Nick Gifford 14 0 3 11 Feb 23
Poetic Presence (IRE)from Stuart Coltherd 13 0 0 21 Jun 21
Ornua (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 11 0 0 3 Jun 23
Sweet Serene (GB)from James Evans 9 1 1 10 Sep 26
Yourholidayisover (IRE)from Lady Susan Brooke 9 0 2 20 May 22
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nick Gifford (4) and Gary Moore (2); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
004005000400
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTabitha Worsley
99% of all rides
1.1% SR · A/E 0.40
RiderRWSR£1
Tabitha Worsley 273 3 1.1% −222.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
3
Archived wins
£78,425
Prize money
2021
Best season · 2 wins
Sweet Serene (GB) — Ludo Sports And Live Lounge Mares' Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Mar 2026 · Class 5
£4,489
Black Lightning (IRE) — whichbookie.co.uk Best For Racing Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Fontwell · Oct 2021 · Class 5
£2,342
Black Lightning (IRE) — MansionBet's Betstival Bet 10 Get 20 Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) Market Rasen · Jun 2021 · Class 5
£2,342
Notable horses
Black Lightning (IRE) Sweet Serene (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Passing Glance (GB) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,578 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Whitmore's Conn (USA) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 9% of 1,102 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.8% from 329.
Dawn Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 8% of 3,580 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.
Ballingarry (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Albano (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 133 runs since 2010 (9 horses).
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,688 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 275 · newest first

The latest 50 of 275 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2012 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 26 Lingfield Ballywood (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1
22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Laios Tresor (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 300/1
10 Sep 26 Worcester Sweet Serene (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 10th 50/1
10 Sep 26 Worcester Tis But A Scratch (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 11 ran 11th 100/1
13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Dontworrywegotthis (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 66/1
09 Jun 26 Southwell Jacquette (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 300/1
14 May 26 Fontwell Ballywood (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley V2 Radio Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Good · 8 ran 5th 16/1
12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Kingston Kid (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Barry Murphy Racing Syndicate Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 40/1
12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Laios Tresor (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley Paned At 3A's Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 300/1
02 Apr 26 Chepstow Kingston Kid (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley UB40 Live After Racing 24th July Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 50/1
25 Mar 26 Hereford Ballywood (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley CB Security & Protection Services Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 4/1
18 Mar 26 Huntingdon Ballywood (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/1
09 Mar 26 Stratford Don't Cheddar Tear (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley DragonBet The Roar Before Cheltenham Dragonboosts Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Soft · 9 ran PU 80/1
06 Mar 26 Exeter Sweet Serene (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Ludo Sports And Live Lounge Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 28/1
01 Mar 26 Huntingdon Dontworrywegotthis (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Live Race Streaming At CopyBet Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 200/1
26 Feb 26 Ludlow Kingston Kid (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley RacingTV Club Day Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 150/1
19 Feb 26 Huntingdon Don't Cheddar Tear (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Visit Irish Bloodstock Sales With ITM EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 300/1
19 Feb 26 Huntingdon Ballywood (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley Think Thoroughbred, Think Ireland Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
18 Feb 26 Southwell Sweet Serene (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 150/1
05 Feb 26 Huntingdon Dontworrywegotthis (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Nouvelle Habit Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Georgie Howell's strike rate?
Georgie Howell has won 3 of 275 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.1% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Georgie Howell?
Tabitha Worsley, with 273 runners since 2008 — 99% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (1.1%).
Is Georgie Howell in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Georgie Howell's Fair A/E?
0.40, from 274 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).