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Trainer profile

Phil Middleton

515 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2021 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
64–515
Wins / Runs
12.4%
Strike rate
n=515
156 (30%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=515 · 0.99 incl. margin
−72.54
£1 level stake
n=515 at SP · −14.1%
£608k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14).

Deterministic profile computed from 515 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun 33.3% when favourite Kielan Woods: 17.2% from 99 Sent off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (22.2%, n=36) and Stratford (17.9%, n=78) — all clear of the yard's 12.4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.8% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.82). Kielan Woods rode 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (17.2% vs 12.4%, A/E 1.63) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (34.8%, n=46) and in Chase races (18%, n=111). The market has also underrated the yard on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 1.38 across 53 runners (18.9% strike, +13.08 to a £1 stake). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Byrne Group Handicap Chase at Ascot (Nov 2017, £34,170). The stable star of the record was Exitas (IRE) — 10 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.8%−5.6
n=59 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −33.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.4%−5.0
n=27 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−12.4
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.7%−3.7
n=23 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +1.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=42 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +1.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.4%+0.0
n=339 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −47.20
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.5%−0.9
n=26 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +2.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 34.8% vs 12.4% · n=46
At Uttoxeter 22.2% vs 12.4% · n=36
In Chase races 18% vs 12.4% · n=111
On Good to Firm going 18.9% vs 12.4% · n=53
With Jamie Moore 5.4% vs 12.4% · n=37
At Stratford 17.9% vs 12.4% · n=78
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 361 42 11.6% −59.87
Chase 111 20 18% +22.33
NH Flat 30 2 6.7% −22.00
Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 240 33 13.8% −7.08
Good to Soft 105 8 7.6% −52.25
Soft 76 10 13.2% −5.54
Good to Firm 53 10 18.9% +13.08
Heavy 30 3 10% −9.75
Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Stratford 78 14 17.9% +7.25
Uttoxeter 36 8 22.2% +26.75
Southwell 35 6 17.1% +8.50
Plumpton 31 5 16.1% −0.75
Towcester 30 4 13.3% −11.00
Warwick 28 2 7.1% −11.00
Worcester 25 3 12% +7.88
Huntingdon 22 0 0% −22.00
Fakenham 21 4 19% −1.50
Sandown 20 4 20% +6.33
Kempton 20 2 10% −4.50
Fontwell 20 1 5% −15.50
Cheltenham 16 1 6.3% −1.00
Leicester 14 0 0% −14.00
Ludlow 11 2 18.2% +2.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 230 25 10.9% −57.67
Class 5 115 15 13% −21.78
Class 3 104 17 16.3% +21.41
Class 1 26 3 11.5% +2.50
Class 2 26 3 11.5% −6.00
Class 6 14 1 7.1% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 51 15 29.4% 1.11 −3.87
2nd–3rd fav 118 26 22% 1.32 +21.83
4th–6th fav 203 15 7.4% 0.88 −70.50
7th+ in betting 143 8 5.6% 1.39 −20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.4% completed · 472 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 111 85.6% 2 1 13 0 0
Hurdle 361 90.6% 8 4 21 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Exitas (IRE)from Oliver Sherwood 54 10 20 12 Jun 21
Sail And Return (GB)from Michael Scudamore 42 8 17 19 Jul 15
Olympian (FR)from Gary Moore 36 5 13 30 Aug 12
Marju King (IRE)from Stuart Kittow 30 2 8 12 May 14
Trip The Light (GB)from Richard Fahey 25 2 7 18 Jun 13
Golan Fortune (IRE) 24 5 10 28 Oct 21
Alwaystheoptimist (GB)from Charlie Longsdon · then Shaun Lycett 23 5 8 25 May 14
Mawlood (IRE)then Georgie Howell 21 2 4 18 Oct 21
Holly Bush Henry (IRE)from Graeme McPherson 21 4 6 18 Mar 19
Tales Of Milan (IRE)from Sarah Humphrey 20 3 5 10 Jul 16
Like Ice (GB)from Alan Fleming 20 3 9 2 Jun 12
Satanic Beat (IRE)from Jedd O'Keeffe · then H Speck 19 2 7 10 Dec 16
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Fleming (2) and Donald McCain (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Derek Shaw (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5091320219814131018
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKielan Woods
19% of all rides
17.2% SR · A/E 1.63
RiderRWSR£1
Kielan Woods 99 17 17.2% +9.83
Jamie Moore 37 2 5.4% −7.75
Conor Shoemark 36 6 16.7% +8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
64
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£608k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 10 wins
Exitas (IRE) — Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed) Ascot · Nov 2017 · Listed
£34,170
Tales Of Milan (IRE) — 888Sport London National (Handicap Chase) Sandown · Dec 2014 · Class 2
£25,024
Golan Fortune (IRE) — Spinal Injuries Association Big Buck's Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Cheltenham · Nov 2019 · Listed
£22,508
Notable horses
Exitas (IRE) Sail And Return (GB) Olympian (FR) Golan Fortune (IRE) Alwaystheoptimist (GB) Holly Bush Henry (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exit To Nowhere (USA) 18.5% · 10–54
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.
Kayf Tara (GB) 19% · 8–42
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Video Rock (FR) 13.9% · 5–36
Progeny have won 12% of 661 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.8% from 170. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15% from 253.
Milan (GB) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Golan (IRE) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Marju (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2008 (286 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 515 · newest first

The latest 50 of 515 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 November 2009 to 28 October 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 21 Stratford Golan Fortune (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Charlie Longsdon Racing Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 12/1
18 Oct 21 Plumpton Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Nick Embiricos Memorial 2021 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 16/5J
04 Oct 21 Stratford Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 6/1
25 Sep 21 Market Rasen Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Great Character Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 6/1
14 Sep 21 Fontwell Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Follow starsports_bet On Twitter Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 7/1
31 Aug 21 Newton Abbot Sopat (IRE)J: Luca Morgan Visit Attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th 7/2F
19 Aug 21 Stratford Sopat (IRE)J: Mr Sam Lee Walls & Ceilings International Ltd Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 7/2F
30 Jul 21 Bangor-on-Dee Sopat (IRE)J: Luca Morgan Close Brothers Asset Finance Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 20/1
15 Jul 21 Worcester Sopat (IRE)J: Luca Morgan Visit attheraces.com/marketmovers Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 6th 13/2
15 Jun 21 Stratford Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Mansionbet's Betstival Beaten By A Head Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 7/2F
12 Jun 21 Worcester Exitas (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 1st 11/8F
08 Jun 21 Southwell Exitas (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Dapper Spaniel Gastro Pub Rolleston Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 17/2
31 May 21 Huntingdon Exitas (IRE)J: Luca Morgan Thank You Emily Scott Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 13 ran 5th 40/1
30 May 21 Fontwell Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley vickers.bet Live Casino Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 1st 7/2
23 May 21 Fakenham Mawlood (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Aylsham Show 30th August 2021 Female Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 9/2
19 May 21 Warwick Exitas (IRE)J: Luca Morgan Warwickshire Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 50/1
24 Apr 21 Sandown Golan Fortune (IRE)J: Tom Scudamore bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 29f · Good · 16 ran PU 17/2
13 Apr 21 Southwell Mawlood (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Free Racecourse Entry With Golf Membership Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 5th 3/1F
05 Apr 21 Plumpton Mawlood (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Harry And Betty Savill Memorial Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 14/1
30 Mar 21 Fakenham Sopat (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Aldiss Furnishing Stores Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Phil Middleton's strike rate?
Phil Middleton has won 64 of 515 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Phil Middleton do best at?
Uttoxeter by strike rate: 8 wins from 36 runners (22.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Phil Middleton?
Kielan Woods, with 99 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (17.2%).
What is Phil Middleton's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 515 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).