No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).
Deterministic profile computed from 164 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read
The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (6.7%, n=30). The record read poorly on Soft going — 0% over 34 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.70 across 52 rides (1.9% strike, −17.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Maurice de Nieuil at Longchamp (FR) (Jul 2015, £57,442).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2%−1.7
n=98 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −85.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.6%−0.1
n=28 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 6.94 · £1 +4.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.2%−2.5
n=85 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −51.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.1%+7.4
n=9 · A/E 3.22 · £1 +17.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Soft going0% vs 3.7% · n=34
With Luke Comer0% vs 3.7% · n=30
Off a 8-14-day break6.7% vs 3.7% · n=30
On first rides for the horse2% vs 3.7% · n=98 · A/E 0.67
Over 6f – 7f1.9% vs 3.7% · n=52 · A/E 0.70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)4012.5%−25.00
Good3412.9%−7.00
Soft3400%−34.00
Good to Firm2827.1%−16.00
Good to Soft1417.1%+7.00
Heavy1119.1%+23.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW)2500%−25.00
Curragh1616.3%+18.00
Southwell (AW)10110%+5.00
Naas800%−8.00
Wexford800%−8.00
Fairyhouse800%−8.00
Navan700%−7.00
Cork700%−7.00
Roscommon600%−6.00
Leopardstown600%−6.00
Beverley500%−5.00
Down Royal5120%+0.00
Tipperary400%−4.00
Chantilly (FR)400%−4.00
Killarney400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 61300%−13.00
Class 511218.2%+11.00
Class 19111.1%+17.00
Class 4400%−4.00
Class 3300%−3.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite11100%6.94+4.00
2nd–3rd fav500%0.00−5.00
4th–6th fav17317.6%2.49+31.00
7th+ in betting14021.4%0.58−85.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f5211.9%−17.00
1m – 1m1f4712.1%−32.00
1m2f – 1m4f4124.9%−13.00
1m5f – 2m1218.3%+14.00
Under 6f1218.3%−7.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20086723%−28.00
20092913.4%−8.00
20103226.3%−10.00
20111400%−14.00
2014100%—
20155120%+21.00
2016400%−4.00
20201200%−12.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps7845.1%−17.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners5500%−55.00
11-13 runners4212.4%−37.00
17+ runners3013.3%+4.00
8-10 runners2328.7%+13.00
5-7 runners12216.7%+21.00
2-4 runners200%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 108 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0170955400000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£154k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Walzertakt (GER) — Prix Maurice de Nieuil (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2015 · Group 2
Progeny have won 1.4% of 69 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Fath (USA)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Mull of Kintyre (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Distant Music (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,086 runs since 2008 (79 horses).
Statue Of Liberty (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Dr Massini (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 418 · newest first
The latest 50 of 418 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2005 to 11 October 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Francisco Da Silva's strike rate?
Francisco Da Silva has won 6 of 164 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Francisco Da Silva's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Francisco Da Silva·SR 3.7%·A/E 1.09
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