What is Killian Leonard's strike rate?

Killian Leonard has won 19 of 581 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Killian Leonard do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 215 rides (4.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Killian Leonard in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Killian Leonard's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 581 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Killian Leonard

581 rides in the last 5 seasons · 288 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

19–581

Wins / Runs

3.3%

Strike rate

n=581

75 (13%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=581 · 0.64 incl. margin

−341.50

£1 level stake

n=581 at SP · −58.8%

£327k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 581 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

The read

It is weakest at Navan (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 36 rides, 3.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.3%+0.0

n=273 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −179.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−3.3

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.8%−0.5

n=107 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −81.50

When favourite

25%

n=12 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +1.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.4%+0.1

n=324 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −149.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.3

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Tom McGuinness 0% vs 3.3% · n=38

On Heavy going 0% vs 3.3% · n=36

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3.3% · n=36

With Patrick J McKenna 0% vs 3.3% · n=36

At Navan 0% vs 3.3% · n=31

With Noel C Kelly 6.5% vs 3.3% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 217 9 4.1% −120.75

Good 184 5 2.7% −125.00

Soft 97 2 2.1% −63.00

Good to Soft 36 2 5.6% −26.75

Heavy 36 0 0% −36.00

Good to Firm 11 1 9.1% +30.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 215 9 4.2% −118.75

Gowran Park 50 1 2% −43.50

Curragh 50 2 4% −27.50

Cork 36 1 2.8% −32.50

Navan 31 0 0% −31.00

Leopardstown 27 0 0% −27.00

Fairyhouse 26 1 3.8% −18.00

Naas 24 0 0% −24.00

Killarney 19 1 5.3% −2.00

Bellewstown 15 1 6.7% −3.00

Limerick 15 0 0% −15.00

Down Royal 15 0 0% −15.00

Galway 8 0 0% −8.00

Roscommon 8 0 0% −8.00

Tipperary 8 2 25% +62.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 4 23.5% 1.03 +0.75

2nd–3rd fav 43 3 7% 0.52 −25.75

4th–6th fav 82 4 4.9% 0.73 −47.50

7th+ in betting 439 8 1.8% 0.95 −269.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Numidia (IRE) 11 1 6 20 Aug 24

Out On Friday (IRE) 9 1 2 10 May 23

Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE) 8 1 2 24 Jun 26

No Speed Limit (FR) 8 0 1 12 Feb 25

Hastily (GB) 7 0 0 23 Oct 26

Darkened (IRE) 7 1 2 21 Mar 25

Ampeson (GB) 7 0 0 17 Aug 23

Sovereignty (IRE) 7 0 2 2 Nov 22

Chou Chou (IRE) 6 1 1 13 Jan 26

Lorr's Girl (IRE) 6 0 2 17 Dec 25

Coffeemeanscoffee (IRE) 6 0 0 27 Aug 24

Dreamline Amelia (GB) 6 0 0 16 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 288 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

434203354354

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTom McGuinness

7% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00

TrainerRWSR£1

Tom McGuinness 38 0 0% −38.00

Patrick J McKenna 36 0 0% −36.00

Noel C Kelly 31 2 6.5% −10.50

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 31 1 3.2% −14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

127

Archived wins

£2.06m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 31 wins

Sors (IRE) — Tote Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh (IRE) · Jun 2016

£59,000

Repeater (GB) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap Curragh · May 2016

£29,500

Rattling Jewel (GB) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap Curragh · May 2017

£15,990

Notable horses

Youceeyouceecee (IRE) Reckless Lad (IRE) Gopsies Daughter (IRE) Victorious Secret (IRE) Tennesse Waltz (IRE) Doonard Prince (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Estidhkaar (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,591 runs since 2020 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 229.

Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,527 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 325.

No Nay Never (USA) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,355 runs since 2018 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,960 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Zoffany (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,773 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,742 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,742 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 June 2015 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tribal Moon (IRE)T: Noel C. Kelly Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 22/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sceitimini (IRE)T: Rodger Sweeney Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 6/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Positive Thinking (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 50/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cafe Oh Lait (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hastily (GB)T: Tom McGuinness Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Fillies Optional Claiming Race7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 100/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)T: Miss Katy Brown 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 21st 125/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Victors Spirit (SAF)T: Tom McGuinness Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 150/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sceitimini (IRE)T: Rodger Sweeney Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Esticky End (IRE)T: Tom McGuinness Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 66/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)T: Miss Katy Brown M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 200/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Nogs (IRE)T: M J Byrne Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 200/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Banshof (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 15th 80/1

14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Galley Point (IRE)T: T J O'Mara Killarney Plaza Hotel & Spa Handicap8f · Good · 14 ran UR 40/1

13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Stonyfalls (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Heights Hotel, Killarney Handicap11.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 28/1

11 Jul 26 Navan Haughty (GB)T: V C Ward Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap (0-60)10f · Good · 12 ran 8th 66/1

11 Jul 26 Navan Dubai Opulence (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Newgrange Hotel Handicap6f · Good · 15 ran 4th 40/1

03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Wonderwalk (IRE)T: V C Ward Meath Farm Machinery Claiming Race8f · Good · 15 ran 14th 100/1

02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Roman Harry (IRE)T: S M Duffy Ploughman Bar And Grill Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 9th 12/1

02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Stonyfalls (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Champion Lettings Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 25/1

24 Jun 26 Naas Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)T: Miss Katy Brown ARKequine Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 21 ran 13th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Killian Leonard's strike rate?: Killian Leonard has won 19 of 581 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Killian Leonard do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 215 rides (4.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Killian Leonard in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Killian Leonard's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 581 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.